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Minnesota


Dayton Eyes Minnesota History as Gubernatorial Campaign Moves Forward

Election of Dayton to a third statewide office this November would set multiple Minnesota electoral records

Bachmann vs Clark: Who's Receiving More Money from Minnesotans?

Bachmann raising $1.02 for every $1.00 Clark raises in Minnesota; Congresswoman outraising Clark in 48 of 50 states overall

Is Winning a Contested Primary in Minnesota a Path to General Election Success?

Many DFLers since 2000 who won less than 2/3 of the primary vote in statewide elections went on to win in November

You Say You Want a Revolution? Third Party Gubernatorial Candidates Thriving in 2010

Third party gubernatorial candidates rivaling 1994 for their best showing since the Great Depression

Can the DFL Win Minnesota's Governorship in the Face of a GOP Sweep of its Upper Midwestern Neighbors?

Democrats have won gubernatorial elections in Minnesota only four times since statehood without also holding one of its neighboring four states; last time was 1954

Emmer's Statewide Support Still Ahead of Pawlenty's 2002 Pace

Pawlenty did not poll at 30 percent until mid-October 2002 before winning first term

Minnesota U.S. Representatives Silent on Illegal Immigration on Campaign Websites

Delegation campaign websites largely silent on issue as support to adopt Arizona's anti-illegal immigration law eclipses 60 percent in Minnesota

The $32 Million Victory: Wins Not Coming Any Easier for High Payroll Minnesota Twins

Twins payroll increased 49 percent from $65 million in 2009 to $97 million in 2010 but team is on pace for just one more victory

Is Tim Pawlenty Running for a 3rd Term?

DFL gubernatorial candidate TV ads target outgoing governor eight times more than attacks on GOP endorsee Tom Emmer

Face Time: DFL Gubernatorial Candidate Communication Strategies in TV Ads

Anderson Kelliher delivers more face time in ads than other candidates; Dayton utilizes more voice-over artists

Redistricting Historically Fails to Make Minnesota U.S. Representatives Vulnerable

Only 10 Representatives from Minnesota's Congressional Districts have been defeated after redistricting in election years ending in '2' since statehood

Minnesota's 6th CD: The Most Politically Volatile District in the State Since 1944 DFL Merger

District has switched parties eight times since DFL merger in April 1944, including five times since 1980 - twice as many as any other district in Minnesota

Inside the SurveyUSA Poll of Minnesota's 6th Congressional District

July 2010 poll shows notable sampling differences in percentage of males, independents, and voters above the age of 50 from spot-on late October 2008 poll of the district

Older and Wiser? Minnesota's Aging U.S. House Delegation

Delegation has three 60+ year-old members for first time since 1958

Minnesota U.S. Representatives throughout History: A (Geographically) Open Casting Call

Less than 40 percent of Minnesota's 133 U.S. Representatives were born in the Gopher State, including just two of eight in the current state delegation

Bachmann Has Raised $13.41 per 6th CD Likely Voter in 2010 Election Cycle to Date

6th CD candidates could spend $35+ per voter collectively by Election Day

Breeding Brilliant Legal Minds: Minnesotans on the U.S. Supreme Court

No other state west of the Mississippi River has given birth to more justices than the Gopher State

City Pages Errs in Latest Pawlenty Snark

Tennessee not quite as Republican-friendly as article suggests

The Sky Is Not Falling: Minneapolis 2010 Homicide Tally Settling at Decade-Long Average

Despite rash of homicides in January, number of murders in Minneapolis projected by end of 2010 right at 10-year average

Will Minnesota Have the Most Competitive Gubernatorial Race in the Nation for the 2nd Consecutive Election Cycle?

Gopher State could follow the nation's closest gubernatorial race in 2006 and closest Senate race in 2008 with another nail-biter in 2010



Political Crumbs

Haugh to Reach New Heights

The North Carolina U.S. Senate race between Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan and Republican Thom Tillis may go down to the wire next Tuesday, but along the way Libertarian nominee Sean Haugh is poised to set a state record for a non-major party candidate. Haugh, who previously won 1.5 percent of the vote in the Tar Heel State's 2002 race, has polled at or above five percent in 10 of the last 12 polls that included his name. The current high water mark for a third party or independent candidate in a North Carolina U.S. Senate election is just 3.3 percent, recorded by Libertarian Robert Emory back in 1992. Only one other candidate has eclipsed the three percent mark - Libertarian Christopher Cole with 3.1 percent in 2008.


Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


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