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Minnesota


Brett Favre Returns: How Many Games Will the Vikings Win?

Favre has 85-50 career mark against this year's Vikings opponents, including a 68-31 record against them vis-à-vis the team's 2010 home/away schedule

Minnesota Political Elites Backing Clark, Not Bachmann

Clark has received 400+ times more money from current and former Minnesota politicians than Congresswoman Bachmann

Will the Defeat of Handel and Anderson Kelliher Dash 'Year of the Woman' Prospects?

Female gubernatorial candidates still on track to break records for total number of nominees on the ballot and elections won in 2010, despite set-backs in Minnesota and Georgia

Dayton Eyes Minnesota History as Gubernatorial Campaign Moves Forward

Election of Dayton to a third statewide office this November would set multiple Minnesota electoral records

Bachmann vs Clark: Who's Receiving More Money from Minnesotans?

Bachmann raising $1.02 for every $1.00 Clark raises in Minnesota; Congresswoman outraising Clark in 48 of 50 states overall

Is Winning a Contested Primary in Minnesota a Path to General Election Success?

Many DFLers since 2000 who won less than 2/3 of the primary vote in statewide elections went on to win in November

You Say You Want a Revolution? Third Party Gubernatorial Candidates Thriving in 2010

Third party gubernatorial candidates rivaling 1994 for their best showing since the Great Depression

Can the DFL Win Minnesota's Governorship in the Face of a GOP Sweep of its Upper Midwestern Neighbors?

Democrats have won gubernatorial elections in Minnesota only four times since statehood without also holding one of its neighboring four states; last time was 1954

Emmer's Statewide Support Still Ahead of Pawlenty's 2002 Pace

Pawlenty did not poll at 30 percent until mid-October 2002 before winning first term

Minnesota U.S. Representatives Silent on Illegal Immigration on Campaign Websites

Delegation campaign websites largely silent on issue as support to adopt Arizona's anti-illegal immigration law eclipses 60 percent in Minnesota

The $32 Million Victory: Wins Not Coming Any Easier for High Payroll Minnesota Twins

Twins payroll increased 49 percent from $65 million in 2009 to $97 million in 2010 but team is on pace for just one more victory

Is Tim Pawlenty Running for a 3rd Term?

DFL gubernatorial candidate TV ads target outgoing governor eight times more than attacks on GOP endorsee Tom Emmer

Face Time: DFL Gubernatorial Candidate Communication Strategies in TV Ads

Anderson Kelliher delivers more face time in ads than other candidates; Dayton utilizes more voice-over artists

Redistricting Historically Fails to Make Minnesota U.S. Representatives Vulnerable

Only 10 Representatives from Minnesota's Congressional Districts have been defeated after redistricting in election years ending in '2' since statehood

Minnesota's 6th CD: The Most Politically Volatile District in the State Since 1944 DFL Merger

District has switched parties eight times since DFL merger in April 1944, including five times since 1980 - twice as many as any other district in Minnesota

Inside the SurveyUSA Poll of Minnesota's 6th Congressional District

July 2010 poll shows notable sampling differences in percentage of males, independents, and voters above the age of 50 from spot-on late October 2008 poll of the district

Older and Wiser? Minnesota's Aging U.S. House Delegation

Delegation has three 60+ year-old members for first time since 1958

Minnesota U.S. Representatives throughout History: A (Geographically) Open Casting Call

Less than 40 percent of Minnesota's 133 U.S. Representatives were born in the Gopher State, including just two of eight in the current state delegation

Bachmann Has Raised $13.41 per 6th CD Likely Voter in 2010 Election Cycle to Date

6th CD candidates could spend $35+ per voter collectively by Election Day

Breeding Brilliant Legal Minds: Minnesotans on the U.S. Supreme Court

No other state west of the Mississippi River has given birth to more justices than the Gopher State



Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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