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Minnesota


Will Minnesotans Elect a Plurality-Winning Governor for a 4th Straight Cycle?

Only one other state has elected plurality-winning governors into office four times in a row since World War II (Alaska); Minnesota has not done so in 114 years

That Was Then, This Is Now: What (Political) Life Looked Like the Last Time Minnesota Elected a DFLer Governor

Do you remember when the cost of a postage stamp was 22 cents?

Is Military Experience No Longer Valued in Minnesota Gubernatorial Elections?

Prior to Tim Pawlenty, 10 of the previous 14 Minnesota governors had military service; Minnesotans elected veterans in 16 of 19 gubernatorial elections from 1944-1998

Pawlenty Still Shedding Support for Presidential Candidacy in Home State

Statewide support for 'President Pawlenty' in Minnesota reaches all-time low of 35 percent while his gubernatorial approval rating remains solid

DFL Goal to Defeat Bachmann Faces Significant Historical Challenges

Minnesota GOP has held 95 percent of its U.S. House seats when Republicans net a dozen or more seats nationwide since the DFL merger in 1944

Otremba Retirement Inches GOP Closer Towards Goal of House Takeover

Republican presidential and gubernatorial candidates have won the conservative House District 11B by double-digit margins since 2002

Minnesota-U.S. Unemployment Gap Reaches Historic Level

April's 2.7-point unemployment rate difference in Minnesota's favor vis-à-vis the national average is the largest in decades

How Does Tim Pawlenty Rank in the Gubernatorial Class of 2002 on Jobs?

Minnesota Governor has presided over 64.4 percent increase in unemployment, slightly better than his gubernatorial Class of '02 as well as the national average

Retirements from Minnesota State House in 2010 Currently Down from '06 and '08

Republicans account for 63 percent of open seats over the last four election cycles; percentage of open GOP seats is more than twice that of DFL seats since 2004

Is Representative Ryan Winkler the DFL's New Attack Dog?

Partisan attacks by Winkler against GOP have more than quadrupled in press releases from 1st to 2nd term in office

Is the 'S' Word Scaring People Away from the 'L' Word? (The Vanishing Liberal in Minnesota)

Ratio of self-identified conservatives to liberals is at a five-year high in the Gopher State while charges of socialism are hurled at D.C. Democrats

Republicans Outnumber Democrats in Minnesota for First Time Since 2005

Study of nearly 70 SurveyUSA polls finds GOP holding first party ID advantage since October 2005; percentage of Minnesotans identifying as Republicans at highest level ever recorded by polling organization

Long Legislative Service Not a Prescription for Gubernatorial Electoral Success in Minnesota

Only one Minnesota Governor since statehood has spent as much time in the legislature as 2010 DFL candidates Margaret Anderson Kelliher and Matt Entenza

Can Pawlenty Launch a Sam's Club Presidential Campaign from a Target State?

Minnesota ranks #33 in the nation in Sam's Club & Wal-Mart stores per capita, and ranks #1 for Target

Will Voter ID Issue Turn Conservative Democrats Into 'Emmercrats' in MN Gubernatorial Race?

Emmer continues to highlight voter ID as core issue to 2010 campaign; popular issue may be the lure to get conservative Democrats onto his coalition's hook

Minnesota Twins Begin Target Field Era at Near Record Pace

Twins' 14-8 start and 'projected' 103-59 finish are tied for second best for first seasons with a new ball park among MLB teams

Will Margaret Anderson Kelliher Break the Upper Midwestern Glass Ceiling?

Just 17 women have appeared on the gubernatorial ballot in 257 elections across Minnesota, Iowa, South Dakota, and Wisconsin; only 2 from major political parties

PAC Money Comprises Only 5 Percent of Bachmann's Q1 2010 Fundraising

Special interest PAC contributions fall for 4th consecutive quarter as percentage of Bachmann's total fundraising

Can Minnesota Republicans Win a 4th U.S. House Seat in 2010?

Minnesota GOP has failed to net a U.S. House seat in 9 of 15 election cycles in which the Republican Party made gains nationally since 1944

Bachmann Sets New Benchmark in Minnesota Politics with Q1 2010 Fundraising Haul

Bachmann outraises Clark by 60 percent in Q1 2010; sets new Minnesota fundraising record for the 1st quarter of an election year



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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