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Minnesota


Rob Eastlund's Open HD 17A Seat to Remain GOP-Favored

GOP loses veteran Representative who staved off DFLers in five consecutive competitive races

Bachmann, Kline, and Paulsen Respond to U.S. House Health Care Bill Passage

The only three members of Minnesota's U.S. House delegation to issue press releases in the immediate hours after the 219-212 passage of a landmark overhaul of the nation's health care system were its three GOP critics

Counting One's Blessings: Minnesota's New Unemployment Numbers

Minnesota is one of only four states nationwide which has not experienced a rise in unemployment in any month since May 2009

How Competitive Are Minnesota's Congressional Districts?

Bachmann's 6th CD is the 11th most competitive in the nation since 2002; seven of the Gopher State's eight CDs are more competitive than the national average

Will Minnesotans Elect Another Lawyer to the Governor's Mansion in 2010?

Pawlenty was first Gopher State Governor elected with a law degree since 1974; from 1910-1974, 90 percent of elected governors had a legal education

Minnesota Has Lowest Rate of Increase in Unemployment in Nation During Obama's First Year in Office

Gopher State shed the fewest jobs across the country with just a 1.4 percent net rise in its jobless rate from January 2009-January 2010; 50-state average is +25.5 percent

Will the DFL Cancel Minnesota's Membership to the 'Lonely Republican Governors Club' in 2010?

Minnesota could emerge from Election 2010 as one of just two states in the nation with a Republican governor and Democratic-led delegations to the U.S. Senate, U.S. House, State Senate, and State House

Tim Pawlenty Job Approval Rating Hits All-Time Low

Analysis of over 70 polls since 2003 finds Pawlenty's current job approval rating lowest in 7+ years in office

Kalin Announcement Opens Up Ripe Opportunity in HD 17B for GOP in 2010

Minnesota HD 17B has had a double-digit tilt for Republican candidates against their statewide average across several offices since 2002

Bachmann's Narrow Victory in 2008 Did Not Curb Conservative Voting Record in 2009

Congresswoman followed up the narrowest victory for a GOP U.S. House incumbent in 2008 with the 28th most conservative voting record

Tom Emmer's Voter ID Amendment Lures 11 DFLers, Fails 73-58

Many of the 11 DFL defectors represent vulnerable House districts; Norm Coleman carried nine of these districts in 2008, including eight by double digits

Minnesota Republicans Look to End 10-Year Vote Skid in House Races in 2010

Votes for GOP House candidates statewide have gradually fallen each election cycle from 52 to 43 percent over the last ten years

Klobuchar and Franken to Get Boost in Senate Seniority After 2010 Election

Gopher State delegation currently has second lowest collective seniority in the U.S. Senate

Pawlenty Prepares Veto #101 for Health Care Bill

Governor begins 8th year in office with 100 vetoes under his belt and a policy agenda undaunted by large DFL legislative majorities

Minnesota's GOP U.S. Representatives Launching Aggressive Media Campaign in 2010; DFLers Shying Away

Bachmann, Kline, and Paulsen issuing nearly twice as many press releases in 2010 as Gopher State's DFL Representatives

Minnesota Ranks 10th in Nation in Campaign Contributions Per Congressional District in 2009

South Carolina tops list at $1.6 million per district with Minnesota 10th at $983,029; candidates in Northeastern congressional districts receiving the most money overall

A Content Analysis of Governor Pawlenty's 2010 State of the State Address

Governor's focus on jobs in speech up more than threefold from 2009 Address despite yearly drop in unemployment

Bachmann's Election 2010 Out of State Fundraising Fueled by Democratic States

Conservative Congresswoman's large donor out of state individual fundraising for 2009 was 33 percent higher per capita in blue states than in red states

Pawlenty Proposal to Get Tough on Sex Offenders Likely to Have Huge Public Support

Previous polling suggests Minnesota residents back various tougher penalties on sex offenders by greater than 3:1 margins

Bachmann 2010 Election Fundraising Effort Outpacing '08 by 32 Percent

Small donor contributions to Bachmann soar by 355 percent compared to two years ago while special interest PAC money declines 51 percent



Political Crumbs

73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


Two Dakotas, One Voice?

For each of the last 24 presidential elections since 1920, North and South Dakota have voted in unison - casting their ballots for the same nominee. For 21 of these cycles (including each of the last 12 since 1968) Republicans carried the Dakotas with just three cycles going to the Democrats (1932, 1936, and 1964). This streak stands in contrast to the first few decades after statehood when North and South Dakota supported different nominees in four of the first seven cycles. North Dakota narrowly backed Populist James Weaver in 1892 while South Dakota voted for incumbent Republican Benjamin Harrison. In 1896, it was North Dakota backing GOPer William McKinley while South Dakota supported Democrat William Jennings Bryan by less than 200 votes. North Dakota voted Democratic in 1912 and 1916 supporting Woodrow Wilson while South Dakota cast its Electoral College votes for Progressive Teddy Roosevelt and Republican Charles Hughes respectively.


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