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Minnesota


Election Night Observations

9:20 p.m. There have not been any shockers on Election Night so far, but there have been a few surprises on the presidential race: 1. Ohio being called so quickly for Barack Obama (about 90 minutes after polls closed) and North Dakota being called so quickly for John McCain (the...

Upper Midwestern Election Results Links

To track updated state and federal election results for the Upper Midwest, visit these links: Iowa: Secretary of State Minnesota: Secretary of State South Dakota: Secretary of State Wisconsin: Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel...

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota State House (2008)

Through the morning of November 4th, Smart Politics is running a series of electoral projections for national and Upper Midwestern federal and state governmental contests. The thirteenth projections in the series are State House races in the State of Minnesota. Minnesota: State House. Balance of power: DFL (85 to 49)...

Smart Politics Projections: Federal Races in Minnesota

Through the morning of November 4th, Smart Politics is running a series of electoral projections for Upper Midwestern federal and state governmental contests. The tenth projections in the series are federal races in the State of Minnesota. Minnesota: President. Barack Obama has trailed John McCain only once in 40 non-partisan...

Humphrey Institute / MPR Poll: Franken and Coleman in Tight Race

The final Humphrey Institute / Minnesota Public Radio poll of Minnesota's U.S. Senate race gives DFL nominee Al Franken a narrow 41 to 37 percent lead over Republican incumbent Norm Coleman. Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley received 17 percent. From the Humphrey Institute's Center for the Study of Politics and...

DFL Tries to Make History in U.S. House Races

As pundits weigh in on their pre-Election Day predictions, a great deal of attention has turned to the Gopher State – not only for its high profile Senate race, but also due to its two competitive U.S. House races in the 3rd and 6th Districts. The DFL plan to sweep...

Humphrey Institute / MPR Poll: Obama Surging in Minnesota

The latest Humphrey Institute / Minnesota Public Radio poll conducted October 24-28 of 451 likely voters in the Gopher State finds Barack Obama with a commanding 19-point lead, 56 to 37 percent over John McCain. The 19-point advantage matches the largest lead for Obama ever measured by a non-partisan pollster...

Franken Losing His Grip on Obama's Coattails

A new Senate poll by Rasmussen released on Wednesday gave a boost of confidence to Norm Coleman’s re-election campaign, with the Senior Senator from Minnesota leading Al Franken by a 43 to 39 percent margin. Dean Barkley received the support of 14 percent of the 500 likely voters surveyed on...

Third CD Race in Minnesota Stil Deadlocked

One of the most high profile and competitive U.S. House races in the country appears to be going down to the wire – according to a new SurveyUSA poll of 643 likely voters in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District. The new poll, conducted October 26-27, finds Republican Erik Paulsen with a...

Election Profile: Minnesota U.S. Senate

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-fifth profile in the series is Minnesota’s U.S. Senate race. Candidates: Republican: Norm...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 8th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-fourth profile in the series is Minnesota's 8th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 7th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-third profile in the series is Minnesota's 7th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 6th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-second profile in the series is Minnesota's 6th Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Humphrey Institute / MPR Poll: Bachmann Fighting for Political Life in MN-06

A new poll released today by the Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs and Minnesota Public Radio of Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District finds 1-term Republican incumbent Michele Bachmann in a dead head with DFL challenger Elwyn Tinklenberg. Bachmann trails Tinklenberg 45 to 43 percent (within the polls 4.7 percent margin of...

Michele Bachmann Still Courting the National Media

Michele Bachmann, a cable television fixture this year with multiple appearances on Larry King Live, is hitting TV and radio programs hard to get her side of the Chris Matthews controversy across the airwaves, during which she questioned whether Barack Obama and other members of Congress were “anti-American.? But...

Live Blog: Norm Coleman on Energy Independence

11:55 a.m. In the sixth of a series of candidate forums sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute, Republican U.S. Senate candidate Norm Coleman is giving a speech entitled, "The Bipartisan Path to Energy Independence." Ed Morrissey from Hot...

Live Blog: Al Franken on the Economy

1:00 p.m. In the fifth of a series of candidate forums sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute, DFL U.S. Senate candidate Al Franken is giving a speech entitled, "An Economy That Works for the Middle Class." 1:05 p.m.Humphrey...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 5th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-first profile in the series is Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 4th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twentieth profile in the series is Minnesota's 4th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Will the DFL Reach 90 Seats in the Minnesota House?

As detailed in a report released today that I co-authored with Larry Jacobs at the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance, the DFL is fighting to reach a veto-proof 90 seat supermajority in this November’s election. Gaining a net five seats would mean the DFL (which already has...



Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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