Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Minnesota


What Are Mark Dayton's True Reelection Odds?

Prognosticators list the Minnesota gubernatorial seat as 'safe' for the incumbent in 2014; history suggests the odds are just shy of that.

Bachmann Fundraising Falls 61 Percent from 2011

Minnesota's famous congresswoman sees her campaign receipts dip by over $1 million compared to the same three-month period during the previous election cycle.

Jim Graves Hopes Second Time's a Charm in Congressional Seat Bid

One in six Minnesota U.S. Representatives in history lost their first general election House race, including three current members of the Gopher State delegation.

Tim Pawlenty Returns to Jeopardy! After Three-Year Hiatus

But a single pop culture moment is unlikely to launch a new political campaign for one of Minnesota's biggest Republican names any time soon.

Why Does Keith Ellison Keep Getting Primaried?

Incumbent DFL U.S. Representatives have faced primary challengers only 30 percent of the time in party history; Ellison has faced at least one every cycle.

Can Mark Dayton Reach 50% in 2014?

The state with the lowest level of voter support for Democratic gubernatorial candidates in the 20th and 21st Centuries is...Minnesota?

Norm Coleman: Minnesota's Forgotten Man?

On a recent episode of Jeopardy!, none of the contestants could identify the state from which Coleman served as U.S. Senator and mayor - but had no problem with Loretta Sanchez, Jim Webb, Arlen Specter, or Michael Bloomberg.

A Brief History of Keith Ellison on FOX News

Ellison has spoken 425+ more words on Hannity than the host himself during his two interviews on the program; the congressman has been on FOX's primetime shows nine times in two years.

Keeping Up with Erik Paulsen

His words say 'no' but his campaign manager floats a 'maybe.' Does the three-term congressman still have one toe in Minnesota's 2014 Senate pool?

Michele Bachmann Jeopardy! Curse Continues

Every contestant who has correctly answered clues about Minnesota's controversial Congresswoman failed to win their match including the latest in the Teen Tournament on Friday.

The Birth States of U.S. Representatives (113th Congress)

Eight U.S. House delegations boast an all homegrown membership, led by Iowa and Mississippi; five delegations come in at 25 percent or less including Virginia and Minnesota.

Paulsen's Pathway? Minnesota Senators Who First Served in the House

Will he or won't he? Until we know for sure, here is a profile of the nine U.S. Senators from the Gopher State who previously served in the nation's lower legislative chamber.

Tim Kaine: Another Minnesota Export?

Two Minnesota-born U.S. Senators have been elected to seats outside of the Gopher State over the last two cycles.

Minnesota Becomes 1st State Outside South to Vote Democratic in 10 Straight Presidential Elections

Minnesota joins Virginia as the only states with 10+ consecutive cycle stretches backing Democratic and Republican presidential nominees in state history.

Projections: 2012 Upper Midwestern U.S. House Races

More than a half-dozen contests in the five-state region could be decided by single digits.

Romney-Bills and Klobuchar-Obama Voter Gaps Could Make History in Minnesota

Kurt Bills is running 22 points behind his party's presidential nominee in Minnesota according to a new Star Tribune poll - on pace to eclipse the worst-ever mark of -17 points since the DFL merger in 1944.

Minnesota Eyes Most Competitive US House Races Since 1994

The last time three Gopher State congressional races were decided by single digits was during the Republican Revolution.

GOP Bracing for 2nd Worst Finish in MN US Senate Race Since Great Depression

Kurt Bills' poll numbers show him with the second lowest support of any GOP U.S. Senate nominee since 1944 and third lowest since direct elections began 100 years ago.

Two-Candidate Race a Rarity in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District

The Minneapolis area congressional district had fielded 16 third party and independent U.S. House candidates over the last eight cycles, averaging 9 percent of the vote.

GOPer Bills Would Engage Grover Norquist in "Verbal or Physical Confrontation" Over Taxes

A champion of the 'great compromise,' Minnesota's GOP U.S. Senate nominee is open to tax increases and vows, "I don't care if I have to have a verbal or physical confrontation with Grover Norquist."



Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting