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Minnesota


Why Does Keith Ellison Keep Getting Primaried?

Incumbent DFL U.S. Representatives have faced primary challengers only 30 percent of the time in party history; Ellison has faced at least one every cycle.

Can Mark Dayton Reach 50% in 2014?

The state with the lowest level of voter support for Democratic gubernatorial candidates in the 20th and 21st Centuries is...Minnesota?

Norm Coleman: Minnesota's Forgotten Man?

On a recent episode of Jeopardy!, none of the contestants could identify the state from which Coleman served as U.S. Senator and mayor - but had no problem with Loretta Sanchez, Jim Webb, Arlen Specter, or Michael Bloomberg.

A Brief History of Keith Ellison on FOX News

Ellison has spoken 425+ more words on Hannity than the host himself during his two interviews on the program; the congressman has been on FOX's primetime shows nine times in two years.

Keeping Up with Erik Paulsen

His words say 'no' but his campaign manager floats a 'maybe.' Does the three-term congressman still have one toe in Minnesota's 2014 Senate pool?

Michele Bachmann Jeopardy! Curse Continues

Every contestant who has correctly answered clues about Minnesota's controversial Congresswoman failed to win their match including the latest in the Teen Tournament on Friday.

The Birth States of U.S. Representatives (113th Congress)

Eight U.S. House delegations boast an all homegrown membership, led by Iowa and Mississippi; five delegations come in at 25 percent or less including Virginia and Minnesota.

Paulsen's Pathway? Minnesota Senators Who First Served in the House

Will he or won't he? Until we know for sure, here is a profile of the nine U.S. Senators from the Gopher State who previously served in the nation's lower legislative chamber.

Tim Kaine: Another Minnesota Export?

Two Minnesota-born U.S. Senators have been elected to seats outside of the Gopher State over the last two cycles.

Minnesota Becomes 1st State Outside South to Vote Democratic in 10 Straight Presidential Elections

Minnesota joins Virginia as the only states with 10+ consecutive cycle stretches backing Democratic and Republican presidential nominees in state history.

Projections: 2012 Upper Midwestern U.S. House Races

More than a half-dozen contests in the five-state region could be decided by single digits.

Romney-Bills and Klobuchar-Obama Voter Gaps Could Make History in Minnesota

Kurt Bills is running 22 points behind his party's presidential nominee in Minnesota according to a new Star Tribune poll - on pace to eclipse the worst-ever mark of -17 points since the DFL merger in 1944.

Minnesota Eyes Most Competitive US House Races Since 1994

The last time three Gopher State congressional races were decided by single digits was during the Republican Revolution.

GOP Bracing for 2nd Worst Finish in MN US Senate Race Since Great Depression

Kurt Bills' poll numbers show him with the second lowest support of any GOP U.S. Senate nominee since 1944 and third lowest since direct elections began 100 years ago.

Two-Candidate Race a Rarity in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District

The Minneapolis area congressional district had fielded 16 third party and independent U.S. House candidates over the last eight cycles, averaging 9 percent of the vote.

GOPer Bills Would Engage Grover Norquist in "Verbal or Physical Confrontation" Over Taxes

A champion of the 'great compromise,' Minnesota's GOP U.S. Senate nominee is open to tax increases and vows, "I don't care if I have to have a verbal or physical confrontation with Grover Norquist."

Through the Dark-Colored Lenses of Mark Dayton

"Death," "dead end," "decline" and "grim future" were but a few of the words and phrases Minnesota's governor used to frame the problems of his state and country.

Does Anyone Care About Minnesota? (Polling the 2012 Presidential Race)

The Gopher State has been polled in the presidential race at one-sixth the rate in 2012 compared to this stage of the 2008 cycle.

Third Parties Vanish from Minnesota's 2012 US House Races

There are 11 fewer independent and third party candidates running for Minnesota's eight congressional seats in 2012 compared to two years ago.

Changing Tides? GOP Eyes Rare Majority Control of Upper Midwest Senate Delegation

After November, Democrats in the five-state Upper Midwest region could control less than half of the 10 U.S. Senate seats for only the 4th time in 50 Years.



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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