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Minnesota


Minnesota Eyes Most Competitive US House Races Since 1994

The last time three Gopher State congressional races were decided by single digits was during the Republican Revolution.

GOP Bracing for 2nd Worst Finish in MN US Senate Race Since Great Depression

Kurt Bills' poll numbers show him with the second lowest support of any GOP U.S. Senate nominee since 1944 and third lowest since direct elections began 100 years ago.

Two-Candidate Race a Rarity in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District

The Minneapolis area congressional district had fielded 16 third party and independent U.S. House candidates over the last eight cycles, averaging 9 percent of the vote.

GOPer Bills Would Engage Grover Norquist in "Verbal or Physical Confrontation" Over Taxes

A champion of the 'great compromise,' Minnesota's GOP U.S. Senate nominee is open to tax increases and vows, "I don't care if I have to have a verbal or physical confrontation with Grover Norquist."

Through the Dark-Colored Lenses of Mark Dayton

"Death," "dead end," "decline" and "grim future" were but a few of the words and phrases Minnesota's governor used to frame the problems of his state and country.

Does Anyone Care About Minnesota? (Polling the 2012 Presidential Race)

The Gopher State has been polled in the presidential race at one-sixth the rate in 2012 compared to this stage of the 2008 cycle.

Third Parties Vanish from Minnesota's 2012 US House Races

There are 11 fewer independent and third party candidates running for Minnesota's eight congressional seats in 2012 compared to two years ago.

Changing Tides? GOP Eyes Rare Majority Control of Upper Midwest Senate Delegation

After November, Democrats in the five-state Upper Midwest region could control less than half of the 10 U.S. Senate seats for only the 4th time in 50 Years.

Minnesota DFL 8th CD Primary Sets Statewide Record in Post-Merger Era

The last time the margin between first and third place was less than nine points in a Minnesota U.S. House primary race was 1942

Bachmann Scores Weakest Minnesota GOP US House Incumbent Primary Win in 50 Years

The last time a Republican incumbent won a lower percentage of the vote in a Gopher State U.S. House primary was 1962 (Herman Carl Andersen).

Pawlenty VP Pick Would Run Counter to 60-Year Trend in Republican Politics

Only one fellow presidential candidate has won the GOP VP nomination out of the last 15 cycles dating back to 1952.

McCarthyism Charge First Levied at Bachmann in 2005

The origin of what is now the critics' favorite charge against Representative Bachmann dates back to 2005, before gaining steam three years later with Katrina vanden Heuvel, Chris Matthews, Rachel Maddow, and Joan Walsh.

Defense of Abedin, McCain Slow from Senate Colleagues after Bachmann Rebuke

As of mid-day Thursday, no other U.S. Senator has issued a press release defending Huma Abedin after the senior senator from Arizona's impassioned remarks in the chamber Wednesday.

VP Hype Began Several Years Ago for 2012's Rumored Frontrunners

Tim Pawlenty VP chatter started in 2003 with rumors surrounding Rob Portman and Bobby Jindal as viable #2 picks swirling in early 2008.

No Bachmann Fatigue: Fundraising Up a Quarter Million from Two Years Ago

Despite a failed presidential bid and risk of overexposure, the Minnesota Congresswoman raises 15 percent more funds in Q2 2012 than she did in Q2 2010 during her record-breaking campaign.

Michele Bachmann Makes Third Appearance on Jeopardy!

The Tea Party favorite's unceremonious exit from the 2012 presidential race is immortalized on TV's popular game show.

Deep Benches: Which States Consistently Field US House Candidates from Both Parties?

Democrats and Republicans in New Hampshire, Indiana, Minnesota, and Idaho have fielded candidates in each of the last 100+ U.S. House races in their respective states.

Choices, Choices, Choices

In 2010, a total of 29 candidates ran across Minnesota's eight congressional districts - good for the seventh highest per district average in the history of the state (at 3.63 candidates) across the 78 general cycles dating back to 1857. That number appears to have declined significantly with just 18...

Minnesota's Gender Gap: The Disappearing Female Candidate?

After notching five of the 16 major party U.S. House nominations in 2010, women may secure only two such slots across Minnesota's eight districts this November.

Minnesota Labor Force Participation Rate Reaches 29-Year Low

The last time the labor force participation rate was this low in the Gopher State was July 1983.



Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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