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Minnesota


Projections: 2012 Upper Midwestern U.S. House Races

More than a half-dozen contests in the five-state region could be decided by single digits.

Romney-Bills and Klobuchar-Obama Voter Gaps Could Make History in Minnesota

Kurt Bills is running 22 points behind his party's presidential nominee in Minnesota according to a new Star Tribune poll - on pace to eclipse the worst-ever mark of -17 points since the DFL merger in 1944.

Minnesota Eyes Most Competitive US House Races Since 1994

The last time three Gopher State congressional races were decided by single digits was during the Republican Revolution.

GOP Bracing for 2nd Worst Finish in MN US Senate Race Since Great Depression

Kurt Bills' poll numbers show him with the second lowest support of any GOP U.S. Senate nominee since 1944 and third lowest since direct elections began 100 years ago.

Two-Candidate Race a Rarity in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District

The Minneapolis area congressional district had fielded 16 third party and independent U.S. House candidates over the last eight cycles, averaging 9 percent of the vote.

GOPer Bills Would Engage Grover Norquist in "Verbal or Physical Confrontation" Over Taxes

A champion of the 'great compromise,' Minnesota's GOP U.S. Senate nominee is open to tax increases and vows, "I don't care if I have to have a verbal or physical confrontation with Grover Norquist."

Through the Dark-Colored Lenses of Mark Dayton

"Death," "dead end," "decline" and "grim future" were but a few of the words and phrases Minnesota's governor used to frame the problems of his state and country.

Does Anyone Care About Minnesota? (Polling the 2012 Presidential Race)

The Gopher State has been polled in the presidential race at one-sixth the rate in 2012 compared to this stage of the 2008 cycle.

Third Parties Vanish from Minnesota's 2012 US House Races

There are 11 fewer independent and third party candidates running for Minnesota's eight congressional seats in 2012 compared to two years ago.

Changing Tides? GOP Eyes Rare Majority Control of Upper Midwest Senate Delegation

After November, Democrats in the five-state Upper Midwest region could control less than half of the 10 U.S. Senate seats for only the 4th time in 50 Years.

Minnesota DFL 8th CD Primary Sets Statewide Record in Post-Merger Era

The last time the margin between first and third place was less than nine points in a Minnesota U.S. House primary race was 1942

Bachmann Scores Weakest Minnesota GOP US House Incumbent Primary Win in 50 Years

The last time a Republican incumbent won a lower percentage of the vote in a Gopher State U.S. House primary was 1962 (Herman Carl Andersen).

Pawlenty VP Pick Would Run Counter to 60-Year Trend in Republican Politics

Only one fellow presidential candidate has won the GOP VP nomination out of the last 15 cycles dating back to 1952.

McCarthyism Charge First Levied at Bachmann in 2005

The origin of what is now the critics' favorite charge against Representative Bachmann dates back to 2005, before gaining steam three years later with Katrina vanden Heuvel, Chris Matthews, Rachel Maddow, and Joan Walsh.

Defense of Abedin, McCain Slow from Senate Colleagues after Bachmann Rebuke

As of mid-day Thursday, no other U.S. Senator has issued a press release defending Huma Abedin after the senior senator from Arizona's impassioned remarks in the chamber Wednesday.

VP Hype Began Several Years Ago for 2012's Rumored Frontrunners

Tim Pawlenty VP chatter started in 2003 with rumors surrounding Rob Portman and Bobby Jindal as viable #2 picks swirling in early 2008.

No Bachmann Fatigue: Fundraising Up a Quarter Million from Two Years Ago

Despite a failed presidential bid and risk of overexposure, the Minnesota Congresswoman raises 15 percent more funds in Q2 2012 than she did in Q2 2010 during her record-breaking campaign.

Michele Bachmann Makes Third Appearance on Jeopardy!

The Tea Party favorite's unceremonious exit from the 2012 presidential race is immortalized on TV's popular game show.

Deep Benches: Which States Consistently Field US House Candidates from Both Parties?

Democrats and Republicans in New Hampshire, Indiana, Minnesota, and Idaho have fielded candidates in each of the last 100+ U.S. House races in their respective states.

Choices, Choices, Choices

In 2010, a total of 29 candidates ran across Minnesota's eight congressional districts - good for the seventh highest per district average in the history of the state (at 3.63 candidates) across the 78 general cycles dating back to 1857. That number appears to have declined significantly with just 18...



Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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