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Minnesota


South Dakota Edges Minnesota for Largest Population Growth Rate in Midwest

South Dakota ends a string of three consecutive decades in which Minnesota led the 12-state region in rate of growth

Minneapolis Projected to End 2010 with 2nd Lowest Number of Homicides in 25 Years

Despite media cries of a murder rampage in January, the number of homicides in Minneapolis is on pace to tie its second lowest tally since 1986

Upper Midwestern Republicans Reach Five-Decade High in State House Seats

After the 2010 election, GOP holds 311 of 497 lower chamber seats in IA, MN, ND, SD, and WI (62.2 percent) - the highest level since 1968 election (68.0 percent)

Minnesota GOP Scores 4th Biggest Increase in State House Seats Nationwide

Only New Hampshire, Alabama, and Michigan gained a larger percentage of House seats in 2010 than Minnesota Republicans (+18.7 percent)

Minnesota Republicans Notch 3rd Biggest Increase in State Senate Seats Nationwide

Only New Hampshire and South Dakota gained a larger percentage of Senate seats in 2010 than Minnesota GOPers (+23.9 percent)

History Gives Klobuchar a 2 in 3 Chance to Win Reelection in 2012

10 of 15 freshmen Minnesota U.S. Senators have won reelection to a second term since popular vote contests began 100 years ago

Cravaack Bolsters Military Record of Minnesota's U.S. House Delegation

With Chip Cravaack's election to Congress, half of Minnesota's 2011 U.S. House delegation has a military background, compared to 36 percent of the 134 U.S. Representatives elected since statehood

Republican Dominance over Upper Midwestern Governorships through the Years

Republicans have controlled the governor's mansions of IA, MN, ND, SD, and WI for over 72 percent of the time since 1846

Minnesota to Have Only Democratic Upper Midwestern Governor for First Time Since 1954

Dayton one of four Minnesotan 'lone Democratic wolves' to govern in the five-state region since the Dakotas achieved statehood in 1889

Bachmann Survives Sixth Closest Victory Among 2010 Republican House Incumbents

Fellow controversial Congressman Joe Wilson (SC-02) at #3; Bachmann had the narrowest victory among GOP incumbents in 2008

Support for Minnesota GOP US House Candidates Rises 22 Percent in 2010

Support increases across all eight districts for Republicans; cumulative vote for DFLers falls below 48 percent for just the 3rd time in six decades

Minnesota Gubernatorial Recount Event to be Held at Humphrey Institute

Panelists include elections managers from Hennepin and Ramsey Counties as well as attorneys involved in the 2008 U.S. Senate race recount between Norm Coleman and Al Franken

Third Parties Leave Footprints in Minnesota's 2010 U.S. House Contests

Votes for third party candidates eclipse 5 percent in six congressional districts; most since DFL merger in 1944

Michele Bachmann Raised More Than $70 Per Vote Won on Election Day

Incumbent in nation's most expensive U.S. House contest raises $70 per vote won in 6th CD race through mid-October FEC filings

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota U.S. House

Two-term incumbents have won 88 percent of their reelection bids in Minnesota history (75 of 85 races)

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota State House

GOP looks to notch biggest gains in Minnesota House since 1978

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota State Senate

Republican pick-ups of as many as 15 seats look quite feasible on paper

Election Profile: Minnesota's 8th Congressional District

Oberstar is the longest serving Congressman in Gopher State history

Election Profile: Minnesota's 7th Congressional District

In 2008, the Congressman enjoyed the largest margin of victory of his career - 44.5 points over Republican Glen Menze

Election Profile: Minnesota's 6th Congressional District

The fight for Bachmann's seat has seen $16.2 million in campaign contributions across all candidates - the most of any U.S. House race in the nation by more than $6 million



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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