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Minnesota


Election Profile: Minnesota's 6th Congressional District

The fight for Bachmann's seat has seen $16.2 million in campaign contributions across all candidates - the most of any U.S. House race in the nation by more than $6 million

Election Profile: Minnesota's 5th Congressional District

Ellison enjoyed the largest margin of victory for a one-term incumbent in the history of the Gopher State in 2008

Election Profile: Minnesota's 4th Congressional District

The DFL has carried the 4th District in every race from 1948 through 2008

Election Profile: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District

Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District has not voted for a DFL candidate since 1958 - a string of 25 consecutive elections

Election Profile: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District

Gopher State's 2nd CD's 14.5-point average margin of victory sine 2002 is the 36th smallest in the country

Election Profile: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District

With the exception of DFLer Tim Penny's six-term service from 1984-1992, the GOP had won every 1st District contest from 1892 through 2004

PAC Dogs: Oberstar and Peterson Receive More than Half Their Money from Special Interests

PAC contributions to Paulsen up 36 percent from 2008 cycle; contributions to Bachmann down 51.2 percent

Emmer Defeat During GOP Wave Would End Nearly 100-Year Trend in Minnesota Gubernatorial Elections

Minnesota has elected a GOP governor during every Republican wave dating back to 1916

Fun Facts about Minnesota's Gubernatorial Race

Many Gopher State records could be set or tied during another barn burner of a gubernatorial election in 2010

The Still Very Long Odds of an Oberstar (or Walz) Defeat in November

Less than 4 percent of Minnesota U.S. House incumbents have been defeated out of more than 200 who won at least 60 percent of the vote during the previous election cycle

From the Yankees to the Jets: Will the Vikings End Minnesota's New York Curse Tonight?

Vikings are just 1-7 against the Jets all time

Was Amy Klobuchar Snookered by Chuck Schumer?

Everything Minnesota fans do not want to know about the Twins-Yankees rivalry

Event Highlights Redistricting from National, State, and Local Political Perspectives

Should Minnesota reduce its number of state legislative districts?

Minnesota Twins Notch 5th Best Home Record for New MLB Stadiums in Modern Era

Twins' 53-28 record (.654) at home during the 2010 season is the fifth best home winning percentage among the 20 MLB franchises who have opened up new stadiums over the past 21 years

Twitter Wars: Tarryl Clark vs. Michele Bachmann

Clark campaign delivers twelve times as many 'tweet attacks' as Bachmann

Pollster Interest in Minnesota Gubernatorial Race Only Up Slightly from 2006

Modest uptick in polling at this point in the campaign is a bit curious considering 2010 is an open-seat race with three viable candidates

Will Minnesotans Turn out to Vote in Record Numbers this Midterm Election?

Pollsters' numbers suggest turnout may well exceed 2002's record 64.9 percent mark, but are those numbers reliable?

History Predicts Republicans Will Gain 19 Seats in Minnesota House in 2010

Study of midterm elections since 1954 finds party out of power in the White House makes double digit gains in Minnesota House more than 60 percent of the time

Twins Clinch, But Division Victory Not Unusual in Year 1 of New Stadium

More than one-third of baseball franchises win their division in first year of new stadium out of 20 teams since 1989; only two have finished in last place

Will Representative Mark Buesgens' Arrest Put House District 35B in Play? (Not Likely)

HD 35 has averaged a 28-point GOP tilt in top of the ticket races since redistricting in 2002



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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