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Minnesota


Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota U.S. House

Two-term incumbents have won 88 percent of their reelection bids in Minnesota history (75 of 85 races)

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota State House

GOP looks to notch biggest gains in Minnesota House since 1978

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota State Senate

Republican pick-ups of as many as 15 seats look quite feasible on paper

Election Profile: Minnesota's 8th Congressional District

Oberstar is the longest serving Congressman in Gopher State history

Election Profile: Minnesota's 7th Congressional District

In 2008, the Congressman enjoyed the largest margin of victory of his career - 44.5 points over Republican Glen Menze

Election Profile: Minnesota's 6th Congressional District

The fight for Bachmann's seat has seen $16.2 million in campaign contributions across all candidates - the most of any U.S. House race in the nation by more than $6 million

Election Profile: Minnesota's 5th Congressional District

Ellison enjoyed the largest margin of victory for a one-term incumbent in the history of the Gopher State in 2008

Election Profile: Minnesota's 4th Congressional District

The DFL has carried the 4th District in every race from 1948 through 2008

Election Profile: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District

Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District has not voted for a DFL candidate since 1958 - a string of 25 consecutive elections

Election Profile: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District

Gopher State's 2nd CD's 14.5-point average margin of victory sine 2002 is the 36th smallest in the country

Election Profile: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District

With the exception of DFLer Tim Penny's six-term service from 1984-1992, the GOP had won every 1st District contest from 1892 through 2004

PAC Dogs: Oberstar and Peterson Receive More than Half Their Money from Special Interests

PAC contributions to Paulsen up 36 percent from 2008 cycle; contributions to Bachmann down 51.2 percent

Emmer Defeat During GOP Wave Would End Nearly 100-Year Trend in Minnesota Gubernatorial Elections

Minnesota has elected a GOP governor during every Republican wave dating back to 1916

Fun Facts about Minnesota's Gubernatorial Race

Many Gopher State records could be set or tied during another barn burner of a gubernatorial election in 2010

The Still Very Long Odds of an Oberstar (or Walz) Defeat in November

Less than 4 percent of Minnesota U.S. House incumbents have been defeated out of more than 200 who won at least 60 percent of the vote during the previous election cycle

From the Yankees to the Jets: Will the Vikings End Minnesota's New York Curse Tonight?

Vikings are just 1-7 against the Jets all time

Was Amy Klobuchar Snookered by Chuck Schumer?

Everything Minnesota fans do not want to know about the Twins-Yankees rivalry

Event Highlights Redistricting from National, State, and Local Political Perspectives

Should Minnesota reduce its number of state legislative districts?

Minnesota Twins Notch 5th Best Home Record for New MLB Stadiums in Modern Era

Twins' 53-28 record (.654) at home during the 2010 season is the fifth best home winning percentage among the 20 MLB franchises who have opened up new stadiums over the past 21 years

Twitter Wars: Tarryl Clark vs. Michele Bachmann

Clark campaign delivers twelve times as many 'tweet attacks' as Bachmann



Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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