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Wisconsin


Can Democrats Pick Up Three Wisconsin Senate Seats?

Democrats have recorded cycle-to-cycle gains of three or more Badger State Senate seats just 10 times over the last 64 election cycles since the mid-1880s.

Will Any Century-Long Streaks End in 2012 U.S. Senate Races?

More than a dozen states have never popularly elected a GOP Senator while voting for a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle; will any break with tradition in 2012?

Could Tommy Thompson Win Wisconsin's U.S. Senate Seat?

No ex- (non-sitting) Wisconsin governor has ever been elected to a 1st term in the U.S. Senate

Prosser-Kloppenburg Supreme Court Matchup 2nd Closest in Wisconsin Since 1878

106-cycle span finds just one Supreme Court race closer than April's election in the Badger State

The Incumbency Advantage in Wisconsin Supreme Court Elections

Only six Wisconsin Supreme Court incumbents have been defeated in state history across more than 120 contests

Kloppenburg Vote Tally Largest in WI History for Contested Supreme Court Race

Both candidates break old state record by nearly 77,000 votes

History Says Wisconsin's Freshmen GOP U.S. House Members Will be Safe in 2012

It has been 100 years since the last Wisconsin House freshman lost in a redistricting cycle

Herb Kohl FEC Filings Do Not Tip Hand as to 2012 Election Plans

Kohl's end of the year cash on hand amounts have been pretty low throughout the decade

Scott Walker Dominates 2011 Media Coverage of Gubernatorial Politics

Wisconsin governor has been mentioned in 26 percent of cable TV gubernatorial news stories in 2011 - more than 42 other governors combined

Could Walker Have Used Redistricting as a Stick to Keep Wisconsin Senate Democrats in Madison?

Would Senate Democrats have left the state in the first instance if they knew Wisconsin's new legislative and congressional district maps could be created and voted on without any of their input?

Presidential Battleground States by the Numbers Since 1968

Wisconsin and Pennsylvania lead the way with nine races decided by single-digits over the last 11 presidential election cycles; Missouri and Oregon are next with eight

Is Democratic Hold on Wisconsin's 2012 U.S. Senate Seat Tied to an Obama Victory?

Badger State has voted for same party of U.S. Senate and Presidential nominees in 14 of 16 election cycles over the last century

Could Republicans Sweep the Midwest in US Senate Races Again in 2012?

GOP won nine Senate seats in the region last November for the first time since 1920

Could Russ Feingold Win Herb Kohl's U.S. Senate Seat in 2012?

Nineteen U.S. Senators have served both U.S. Senate seats from their state over the past 100 years including ten who (like Feingold) were previously voted out of office

U.S.-Wisconsin Unemployment Rate Differential at Largest Mark in 17 Years

Not since 1993 has Wisconsin's jobless rate been 2.2 points lower than that of the nation overall

Upper Midwestern Republicans Reach Five-Decade High in State House Seats

After the 2010 election, GOP holds 311 of 497 lower chamber seats in IA, MN, ND, SD, and WI (62.2 percent) - the highest level since 1968 election (68.0 percent)

Republican Dominance over Upper Midwestern Governorships through the Years

Republicans have controlled the governor's mansions of IA, MN, ND, SD, and WI for over 72 percent of the time since 1846

Wisconsin Closes 3rd Least Competitive Congressional Redistricting Period in State History

Average margin of victory in Wisconsin's U.S. House races since 2002 is 37.4 points - eclipsed by only two other redistricting periods

Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin U.S. House

Republicans eye first two-seat U.S. House pick up in Badger State since 1966 GOP wave

Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Assembly

Republicans look to take back control of Assembly during GOP wave in Wisconsin



Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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