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Wisconsin


Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Senate

Republicans to take back control of Senate during GOP wave in Wisconsin

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District

From 1978 to 2004, only 3 of the 14 elections in the 8th District were decided by less than 10 points; during the last two election cycles, the district has been one of the most competitive in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District

The retirement of 21-term incumbent (and Appropriations Chair) David Obey has opened up one of the GOP's prized districts in 2010

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 6th CD only has a +4 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt, making it just the 190th most Republican district in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District

Democrats have failed to field a candidate against Sensenbrenner six times during his 16 victorious congressional campaigns

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 4th CD has voted for the Democratic Party in every U.S. House election since 1948, with an average margin of victory of approximately 50 points since 1960

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District

Wisconsin's 3rd CD has been the 157th most Democratic U.S. House District in the nation over the last two presidential election cycles

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District

Baldwin's district is the 71st most Democratic in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District

Wisconsin's 1st CD has a +2 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt; Ryan's vote total on Election Day will reflect an advantage of at least 10 times that amount

Wisconsin Republicans Field Candidates in Most Assembly Districts in Quarter Century

Republicans running candidates in 85 of 99 Badger State Assembly districts in 2010; largest number of districts contested by GOP since 1986

Third Parties Flourishing in Wisconsin State Assembly Races

Number of 2010 independent and third party Assembly candidates in Badger State reach highest level since 1974

History Says Barrett Win in Wisconsin Governor's Race Hinges on Feingold Victory

Democrats have never won a gubernatorial election in Wisconsin when they have lost their U.S. Senate race

Minnesota Unemployment Numbers and Trends at a Glance

Gopher State job data trend lines generally favorable compared to the nation and the Upper Midwest region

What Does Wisconsin History Say About Russ Feingold's Chances in 2010?

Five of six U.S. Senators from Wisconsin have won bids for a fourth term

Can the DFL Win Minnesota's Governorship in the Face of a GOP Sweep of its Upper Midwestern Neighbors?

Democrats have won gubernatorial elections in Minnesota only four times since statehood without also holding one of its neighboring four states; last time was 1954

Minnesota-U.S. Unemployment Gap Reaches Historic Level

April's 2.7-point unemployment rate difference in Minnesota's favor vis-à-vis the national average is the largest in decades

David Obey's Exit and the Badger State Congressmen Who Left Before Him

Obey served alongside 31 different Wisconsin U.S. Representatives since election in 1969

Will Margaret Anderson Kelliher Break the Upper Midwestern Glass Ceiling?

Just 17 women have appeared on the gubernatorial ballot in 257 elections across Minnesota, Iowa, South Dakota, and Wisconsin; only 2 from major political parties

Wisconsin-Minnesota Unemployment Gap Biggest in 22+ Years

Badger State continues to endure biggest jobs crisis in the Upper Midwest during current recession

Can the GOP Sweep All Four Upper Midwestern Gubernatorial Contests in November?

Republicans have swept nearly half the gubernatorial election cycles in the region over the past 100 years, including 1990 and 1994



Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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