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Wisconsin


Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Senate

Republicans to take back control of Senate during GOP wave in Wisconsin

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District

From 1978 to 2004, only 3 of the 14 elections in the 8th District were decided by less than 10 points; during the last two election cycles, the district has been one of the most competitive in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District

The retirement of 21-term incumbent (and Appropriations Chair) David Obey has opened up one of the GOP's prized districts in 2010

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 6th CD only has a +4 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt, making it just the 190th most Republican district in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District

Democrats have failed to field a candidate against Sensenbrenner six times during his 16 victorious congressional campaigns

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 4th CD has voted for the Democratic Party in every U.S. House election since 1948, with an average margin of victory of approximately 50 points since 1960

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District

Wisconsin's 3rd CD has been the 157th most Democratic U.S. House District in the nation over the last two presidential election cycles

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District

Baldwin's district is the 71st most Democratic in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District

Wisconsin's 1st CD has a +2 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt; Ryan's vote total on Election Day will reflect an advantage of at least 10 times that amount

Wisconsin Republicans Field Candidates in Most Assembly Districts in Quarter Century

Republicans running candidates in 85 of 99 Badger State Assembly districts in 2010; largest number of districts contested by GOP since 1986

Third Parties Flourishing in Wisconsin State Assembly Races

Number of 2010 independent and third party Assembly candidates in Badger State reach highest level since 1974

History Says Barrett Win in Wisconsin Governor's Race Hinges on Feingold Victory

Democrats have never won a gubernatorial election in Wisconsin when they have lost their U.S. Senate race

Minnesota Unemployment Numbers and Trends at a Glance

Gopher State job data trend lines generally favorable compared to the nation and the Upper Midwest region

What Does Wisconsin History Say About Russ Feingold's Chances in 2010?

Five of six U.S. Senators from Wisconsin have won bids for a fourth term

Can the DFL Win Minnesota's Governorship in the Face of a GOP Sweep of its Upper Midwestern Neighbors?

Democrats have won gubernatorial elections in Minnesota only four times since statehood without also holding one of its neighboring four states; last time was 1954

Minnesota-U.S. Unemployment Gap Reaches Historic Level

April's 2.7-point unemployment rate difference in Minnesota's favor vis-à-vis the national average is the largest in decades

David Obey's Exit and the Badger State Congressmen Who Left Before Him

Obey served alongside 31 different Wisconsin U.S. Representatives since election in 1969

Will Margaret Anderson Kelliher Break the Upper Midwestern Glass Ceiling?

Just 17 women have appeared on the gubernatorial ballot in 257 elections across Minnesota, Iowa, South Dakota, and Wisconsin; only 2 from major political parties

Wisconsin-Minnesota Unemployment Gap Biggest in 22+ Years

Badger State continues to endure biggest jobs crisis in the Upper Midwest during current recession

Can the GOP Sweep All Four Upper Midwestern Gubernatorial Contests in November?

Republicans have swept nearly half the gubernatorial election cycles in the region over the past 100 years, including 1990 and 1994



Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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