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Iowa


Romney, The Speech, and Social Conservatism

It has been speculated by some political strategists (e.g. Dick Morris) that Mitt Romney's recent speech on religion and faith at Texas A&M University was delivered not so much to quell the 'issue' of his Mormonism, but rather to reassure cultural conservatives that he is, in fact, a reliable conservative....

Huckabee Takes First Lead In National Poll; Even With Romney in Iowa

The latest Rasmussen survey of 600 likely Republican voters finds Mike Huckabee with his first outright lead in a national poll. Huckabee registered 20 percent support followed by Rudy Giuliani at 17 percent, Mitt Romney and John McCain at 13 percent, Fred Thompson at 10 percent, and Ron Paul at...

Bill O'Reilly Minimizes Huckabee Surge, Downplays Iowa Caucuses…With Errors

Political junkies and historians must have been throwing their remotes at the television last night when FOX News' Bill O'Reilly stumbled through an error-ridden Campaign '08 segment on The O'Reilly Factor. O'Reilly tried his best to argue three points: 1) Mike Huckabee has no chance to win the Republican...

AP / Pew Poll: Clinton Leads in IA, NH, and SC

An Associated Press / Pew Research Center poll of likely voters in three early primary states finds Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by substantial margins in New Hampshire and South Carolina, but by just 5 points in Iowa. John Edwards registered in double digits in each state, but trailed Clinton...

Iowa Poll: More Good News For Huckabee and Obama

The latest Des Moines Register Iowa Poll finds Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama atop the fields of their respective parties, continuing the momentum for each candidate chronicled in other public polls released during the past week. The poll, conducted November 25-28 of 500 likely Democratic and 500 likely Republican caucus...

Democratic Race in Iowa Remains Deadlocked

While the most open GOP race in several presidential election cycles dominates the political news coverage, the state of Iowa continues to be a stumbling block for Hillary Clinton's coronation as the Democratic nominee. Clinton has dominated in the national polls throughout the year as well as in most state...

Huckabee Takes First Lead In Iowa

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has taken his first lead in a public poll of GOP Iowa caucus voters, according to a survey of 839 likely caucus participants conducted November 26-27 by Rasmussen. While still within the margin of error, Mitt Romney now trails Huckbaee 28 to 25 percent. A...

Political Influence of Upper Midwest In Decline?

Iowa's influence on presidential politics is in the spotlight right now, with its caucuses now just 37 days away, on January 3, 2008. The winner of each party's caucus is by no means guaranteed to go on and win the nomination, but a surprise showing can go a long way...

Terrorism, Immigration Key Issues to Iowa Republican Caucus Vote Choice

A new ABC News / Washington Post poll finds terrorism and illegal immigration topping the list of most important issues determining vote choice among likely Iowa Republican caucus voters. Fourteen percent cited terrorism and national security issues as the most important factor, while thirteen percent cited illegal immigration in the...

McCain Continues To Pose Biggest Threat to Dems in Battleground States

John McCain, long ago the frontrunner for the Republican nomination, has been polling a distant fourth in national surveys in recent weeks (behind Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson), and even polled in fifth place behind Mike Huckabee in the latest Rasmussen poll. Despite these lagging numbers, John McCain...

Obama Leads Clinton In New ABC News/W. Post Iowa Poll

A new ABC News / Washington Post Iowa poll finds Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton—and the Democratic field—for the first time since July 2007. The poll, conducted November 14-18 of 500 likely Democratic caucus voters, gives Obama a 30 percent to 26 percent advantage over Clinton, with John Edwards coming...

Richardson and Obama Unlikely to Bolster Support in Iowa After CNN Debate

CNN's Thursday night Democratic debate from Las Vegas revealed some policy positions from Bill Richardson and Barack Obama that may not have been previously known to the average democratic voter. Presuming other candidates like Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, or Chris Dodd are able to exploit this information on the campaign...

Another Day, Another Two New Polls of Iowans

Two new polls were released Thursday for the presidential race in Iowa, by Rasmussen and American Research Group (ARG), each showing a battle unfolding at the top of the Democratic and Republican tickets. On the Democratic side, a new Rasmussen poll of 1,239 likely voters found Hillary Clinton at 29...

Latest IA Poll: Dem. Caucus Heats Up; Romney in Sight For Huckabee

The first CBS News/New York Times poll of the presidential race in Iowa finds Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, and Barack Obama in a statistical tie. In the new poll, Clinton's support is measured at 25 percent, followed by Edwards at 23 percent, Obama at 22 percent, Bill Richardson at 12...

Romney Doubles Up Nearest Competitor In Latest Zogby Iowa Poll

For months Mitt Romney's success in early polling in Iowa was attributed to the former Massachusetts governor sinking lots of money into ads in the state. Now, less than 2 months from the caucuses, Romney's lead is as strong as ever, and his nearest competitor is one of the least...

Immigration Gaffe Doesn't Erode Clinton's Lead in Iowa...Yet

Hillary Clinton still leads the race for the nod of Democratic caucus voters in Iowa, according to the latest Zogby poll. The survey, conducted November 6 of 502 likely Democratic caucus voters, measures voter preferences a week after an MSNBC Democratic debate in which Clinton had a much-publicized gaffe on...

Presidential Politics in Iowa: A Historical Overview

Despite being a competitive battle ground state in recent years, and an important state in determining the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties, the state of Iowa has not had a long history of voting for Democrats in the race for the White House. Overall, Republicans have carried the...

The Huckabee Surge Is Real

Mike Huckabee's second place finish in the August 2007 Republican Iowa Straw Poll was largely dismissed at the time, due to the non-participation in the event by three of the leading GOP candidates—Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Fred Thompson (who hadn't yet announced his candidacy at that time). But...

U of IA Poll Stakes Romney To Biggest Campaign '08 Lead To Date

Mitt Romney has been leading the Republican field in Iowa for several months, but the latest University of Iowa poll has measured his lead at nearly three times that of his nearest competitor. Romney received the support of 36 percent of 282 likely Republican caucus voters, according to the poll,...

Gore More Competitive Than Clinton In IA

Despite campaigning for an entire year, Hillary Clinton does not fare as well against national Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani in Iowa, as compared to non-candidate and former Vice President Al Gore. In a head-to-head matchup poll of registered Iowa voters conducted October 12-14 by SurveyUSA, Clinton leads Giuliani by...

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Political Crumbs

Six for Thirteen

Collin Peterson remarked last month that he is leaning to run for reelection to Minnesota's 7th Congressional District in 2016. If he does and is victorious, he will creep even closer to the top of the list of the longest-serving U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history. The DFL congressman is only the sixth Minnesotan to win at least 13 terms to the U.S. House of the 135 elected to the chamber in state history. Peterson trails 18-term DFLer Jim Oberstar (1975-2011), 16-term Republicans Harold Knutson (1917-1949) and August Andresen (1925-1933; 1935-1958), and 14-term DFLers Martin Sabo (1979-2007) and John Blatnik (1947-1974). Andresen died in office, Sabo and Blatnik retired, and Knutson and Oberstar were defeated at the ballot box in 1948 and 2010 respectively. At 70 years, 7 months, 11 days through Monday, Peterson is currently the ninth oldest Gopher State U.S. Representative in history. DFLer Rick Nolan of the 8th CD is the seventh oldest at 71 years, 1 month, 23 days.


Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


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