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Iowa


Democratic Race in Iowa Remains Deadlocked

While the most open GOP race in several presidential election cycles dominates the political news coverage, the state of Iowa continues to be a stumbling block for Hillary Clinton's coronation as the Democratic nominee. Clinton has dominated in the national polls throughout the year as well as in most state...

Huckabee Takes First Lead In Iowa

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has taken his first lead in a public poll of GOP Iowa caucus voters, according to a survey of 839 likely caucus participants conducted November 26-27 by Rasmussen. While still within the margin of error, Mitt Romney now trails Huckbaee 28 to 25 percent. A...

Political Influence of Upper Midwest In Decline?

Iowa's influence on presidential politics is in the spotlight right now, with its caucuses now just 37 days away, on January 3, 2008. The winner of each party's caucus is by no means guaranteed to go on and win the nomination, but a surprise showing can go a long way...

Terrorism, Immigration Key Issues to Iowa Republican Caucus Vote Choice

A new ABC News / Washington Post poll finds terrorism and illegal immigration topping the list of most important issues determining vote choice among likely Iowa Republican caucus voters. Fourteen percent cited terrorism and national security issues as the most important factor, while thirteen percent cited illegal immigration in the...

McCain Continues To Pose Biggest Threat to Dems in Battleground States

John McCain, long ago the frontrunner for the Republican nomination, has been polling a distant fourth in national surveys in recent weeks (behind Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson), and even polled in fifth place behind Mike Huckabee in the latest Rasmussen poll. Despite these lagging numbers, John McCain...

Obama Leads Clinton In New ABC News/W. Post Iowa Poll

A new ABC News / Washington Post Iowa poll finds Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton—and the Democratic field—for the first time since July 2007. The poll, conducted November 14-18 of 500 likely Democratic caucus voters, gives Obama a 30 percent to 26 percent advantage over Clinton, with John Edwards coming...

Richardson and Obama Unlikely to Bolster Support in Iowa After CNN Debate

CNN's Thursday night Democratic debate from Las Vegas revealed some policy positions from Bill Richardson and Barack Obama that may not have been previously known to the average democratic voter. Presuming other candidates like Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, or Chris Dodd are able to exploit this information on the campaign...

Another Day, Another Two New Polls of Iowans

Two new polls were released Thursday for the presidential race in Iowa, by Rasmussen and American Research Group (ARG), each showing a battle unfolding at the top of the Democratic and Republican tickets. On the Democratic side, a new Rasmussen poll of 1,239 likely voters found Hillary Clinton at 29...

Latest IA Poll: Dem. Caucus Heats Up; Romney in Sight For Huckabee

The first CBS News/New York Times poll of the presidential race in Iowa finds Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, and Barack Obama in a statistical tie. In the new poll, Clinton's support is measured at 25 percent, followed by Edwards at 23 percent, Obama at 22 percent, Bill Richardson at 12...

Romney Doubles Up Nearest Competitor In Latest Zogby Iowa Poll

For months Mitt Romney's success in early polling in Iowa was attributed to the former Massachusetts governor sinking lots of money into ads in the state. Now, less than 2 months from the caucuses, Romney's lead is as strong as ever, and his nearest competitor is one of the least...

Immigration Gaffe Doesn't Erode Clinton's Lead in Iowa...Yet

Hillary Clinton still leads the race for the nod of Democratic caucus voters in Iowa, according to the latest Zogby poll. The survey, conducted November 6 of 502 likely Democratic caucus voters, measures voter preferences a week after an MSNBC Democratic debate in which Clinton had a much-publicized gaffe on...

Presidential Politics in Iowa: A Historical Overview

Despite being a competitive battle ground state in recent years, and an important state in determining the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties, the state of Iowa has not had a long history of voting for Democrats in the race for the White House. Overall, Republicans have carried the...

The Huckabee Surge Is Real

Mike Huckabee's second place finish in the August 2007 Republican Iowa Straw Poll was largely dismissed at the time, due to the non-participation in the event by three of the leading GOP candidates—Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Fred Thompson (who hadn't yet announced his candidacy at that time). But...

U of IA Poll Stakes Romney To Biggest Campaign '08 Lead To Date

Mitt Romney has been leading the Republican field in Iowa for several months, but the latest University of Iowa poll has measured his lead at nearly three times that of his nearest competitor. Romney received the support of 36 percent of 282 likely Republican caucus voters, according to the poll,...

Gore More Competitive Than Clinton In IA

Despite campaigning for an entire year, Hillary Clinton does not fare as well against national Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani in Iowa, as compared to non-candidate and former Vice President Al Gore. In a head-to-head matchup poll of registered Iowa voters conducted October 12-14 by SurveyUSA, Clinton leads Giuliani by...

Romney and Clinton Remain On Top In Iowa

With 75 days until the Iowa Caucuses (at least the Republican Caucus), Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton remain atop their respective party's field in the race for president as measured by the first Rasmussen poll of Iowans (650 likely Republican caucus voters and 1,007 likely Democratic caucus voters; the poll...

IA Republican Party Sets Caucus Date of January 3rd

After much speculation Iowa would be forced to set its caucus dates as early as December 2007 due to the compressed primary schedule brought upon by the decisions of other states, Iowa's Republican Party has officially set its caucuses for Thursday, January 3rd. On Tuesday, the State Party announced it's...

Edwards, Brownback Campaigning in Iowa the Most

It has been said John Edwards' bid for the Democratic presidential nomination begins (and ends) in Iowa. Edwards is trailing Hillary Clinton in every national poll by at least 30 points and Barack Obama by about a dozen points. Edwards remains competitive in Iowa in part due to the frequent...

Latest IA Poll Shows No Change At the Top

Another survey of likely caucus voters in Iowa finds Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton in the lead once again. The new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll conducted October 1-3 measures Romney's support at 29 percent, virtually the same level measured back in the paper's last poll in May (30 percent)....

Iowa Democratic Caucus Time Capsule: October 2003

As Hillary Clinton continues to lead by a modest margin in most public polls in Iowa with the caucus three months away, a look back to polls in October 2003 reminds one of how quickly things can change just a few months before the caucuses. In the three public polls...

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Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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