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Iowa


U of IA Poll Stakes Romney To Biggest Campaign '08 Lead To Date

Mitt Romney has been leading the Republican field in Iowa for several months, but the latest University of Iowa poll has measured his lead at nearly three times that of his nearest competitor. Romney received the support of 36 percent of 282 likely Republican caucus voters, according to the poll,...

Gore More Competitive Than Clinton In IA

Despite campaigning for an entire year, Hillary Clinton does not fare as well against national Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani in Iowa, as compared to non-candidate and former Vice President Al Gore. In a head-to-head matchup poll of registered Iowa voters conducted October 12-14 by SurveyUSA, Clinton leads Giuliani by...

Romney and Clinton Remain On Top In Iowa

With 75 days until the Iowa Caucuses (at least the Republican Caucus), Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton remain atop their respective party's field in the race for president as measured by the first Rasmussen poll of Iowans (650 likely Republican caucus voters and 1,007 likely Democratic caucus voters; the poll...

IA Republican Party Sets Caucus Date of January 3rd

After much speculation Iowa would be forced to set its caucus dates as early as December 2007 due to the compressed primary schedule brought upon by the decisions of other states, Iowa's Republican Party has officially set its caucuses for Thursday, January 3rd. On Tuesday, the State Party announced it's...

Edwards, Brownback Campaigning in Iowa the Most

It has been said John Edwards' bid for the Democratic presidential nomination begins (and ends) in Iowa. Edwards is trailing Hillary Clinton in every national poll by at least 30 points and Barack Obama by about a dozen points. Edwards remains competitive in Iowa in part due to the frequent...

Latest IA Poll Shows No Change At the Top

Another survey of likely caucus voters in Iowa finds Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton in the lead once again. The new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll conducted October 1-3 measures Romney's support at 29 percent, virtually the same level measured back in the paper's last poll in May (30 percent)....

Iowa Democratic Caucus Time Capsule: October 2003

As Hillary Clinton continues to lead by a modest margin in most public polls in Iowa with the caucus three months away, a look back to polls in October 2003 reminds one of how quickly things can change just a few months before the caucuses. In the three public polls...

Latest IA Poll: Clinton Continues to Lead, GOP Race Tightens

In American Research Group's (ARG) 10th consecutive monthly poll of likely Iowa caucus voters, Hillary Clinton leads the Democratic pack for the 9th time. Clinton reached the 30 percent support mark for the 8th time, good for a 6-point lead over Barack Obama. At 24 percent, this was the largest...

John Edwards Fares Best in Head-to-Head Matchups In Iowa

Despite the fact that most recent public polls find John Edwards trailing Hillary Clinton in Iowa's Democratic Party caucus horserace, Edwards fares the best among his chief Democratic Party rivals when matched up against the leading GOP candidates. A mid-September poll of registered voters by SurveyUSA measured all head-to-head...

LA Times Poll Shows Clinton, Romney Leading the Pack in IA

In the first LA Times / Bloomberg poll of likely Iowa caucus voters, Hillary Clinton maintains her lead over John Edwards while failing to reach the 30 percent mark; meanwhile, Mitt Romney continues to enjoy a double-digit lead over his chief rivals. The poll was conducted September 6-10 of 462...

Early Signs Edwards Most Electable Democrat in Key Battleground States

While Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama continue their 1-2 punch in all national polls and most state polls, John Edwards consistently fares the best among the Democratic field when matched up against the leading Republican contenders. This is especially the case in key battleground states. In recent polling in Iowa...

Romney, Clinton Lead In New ARG Iowa Poll

Mitt Romney has opened up a 10-point lead in the latest American Research Group (ARG) poll of likely Republican Iowa caucus voters. Romney had trailed Giuliani by one point in ARG's previous poll in late July, but the former Massachusetts Governor now leads all GOP contenders in the most recent...

Romney Catapults To Big Lead In Iowa After Straw Poll Victory

In the first public poll conducted after the Iowa Republican Straw Poll, Mitt Romney has jumped out to his biggest lead to date. Romney, who won the straw poll with 32 percent, received 33 percent of the support of likely Iowa Republican caucus voters, in a telephone survey conducted by...

Zogby Poll: Clinton Surges to Top in Iowa

For the first time in five Zogby polls of likely Democratic caucus voters conducted in Iowa this year, Hillary Clinton has moved into sole possession of first place. At 30 percent, Clinton's measured support is also the highest received by any Democratic candidate in Zogby's 2007 horserace polling in the...

Tommy Thompson Ends Presidential Bid

Former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson officially ended his campaign to win the Republican nomination this weekend, after a disappointing 6th place finish in an Iowa Straw Poll that was missing three of the GOP's top-tier candidates. Thompson had previously stated he would likely end his presidential bid if he...

Mitt Romney Wins Iowa Straw Poll; Tommy Thompson and Duncan Hunter Fall Short

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney met expectations by easily winning the GOP Iowa Straw Poll on Saturday, garnering 31.5 percent of the vote. Romney was expected to win because of his strong showing in early scientific polls and due to the no-shows at the Straw Poll of three other top...

Iowa Leaning Democratic for '08 Presidential Election

A new poll conducted by the University of Iowa gives an insight into the inroads the Democratic Party may still be making—building off their success in the 2006 Election. A survey conducted July 29—August 5 of 907 registered voters asked an open-ended question of Iowans as to whom they would...

How Predictive Are the Iowa Caucuses?

As the first state to select delegates in Election 2008, the Iowa caucuses are understandably considered very important in the presidential nomination process. The caucuses present an opportunity for national frontrunners to solidify their lead as well as underdogs in national polls to gain momentum heading into New Hampshire...

ABC News / Wash. Post Iowa Poll: Romney Up Big, 3-Way Race for Dems

The first ABC News / Washington Post poll of likely Iowa caucus voters finds it tight at the top on the Democratic side and Mitt Romney with a double-digit lead over his GOP rivals. The poll was conducted July 26-31 among 500 likely Democratic caucus voters (MoE = ±...

New ARG Iowa Poll Finds Rudy & Hillary On Top

Less than a week after the Des Moines Register's Iowa Poll found the leads of John Edwards and Mitt Romney growing in their respective party presidential bids, the eighth in a series of monthly American Research Group (ARG) polls finds Hillary Clinton with nearly a double digit lead, and Giuliani...

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Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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