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Iowa


Latest IA Poll: Clinton Continues to Lead, GOP Race Tightens

In American Research Group's (ARG) 10th consecutive monthly poll of likely Iowa caucus voters, Hillary Clinton leads the Democratic pack for the 9th time. Clinton reached the 30 percent support mark for the 8th time, good for a 6-point lead over Barack Obama. At 24 percent, this was the largest...

John Edwards Fares Best in Head-to-Head Matchups In Iowa

Despite the fact that most recent public polls find John Edwards trailing Hillary Clinton in Iowa's Democratic Party caucus horserace, Edwards fares the best among his chief Democratic Party rivals when matched up against the leading GOP candidates. A mid-September poll of registered voters by SurveyUSA measured all head-to-head...

LA Times Poll Shows Clinton, Romney Leading the Pack in IA

In the first LA Times / Bloomberg poll of likely Iowa caucus voters, Hillary Clinton maintains her lead over John Edwards while failing to reach the 30 percent mark; meanwhile, Mitt Romney continues to enjoy a double-digit lead over his chief rivals. The poll was conducted September 6-10 of 462...

Early Signs Edwards Most Electable Democrat in Key Battleground States

While Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama continue their 1-2 punch in all national polls and most state polls, John Edwards consistently fares the best among the Democratic field when matched up against the leading Republican contenders. This is especially the case in key battleground states. In recent polling in Iowa...

Romney, Clinton Lead In New ARG Iowa Poll

Mitt Romney has opened up a 10-point lead in the latest American Research Group (ARG) poll of likely Republican Iowa caucus voters. Romney had trailed Giuliani by one point in ARG's previous poll in late July, but the former Massachusetts Governor now leads all GOP contenders in the most recent...

Romney Catapults To Big Lead In Iowa After Straw Poll Victory

In the first public poll conducted after the Iowa Republican Straw Poll, Mitt Romney has jumped out to his biggest lead to date. Romney, who won the straw poll with 32 percent, received 33 percent of the support of likely Iowa Republican caucus voters, in a telephone survey conducted by...

Zogby Poll: Clinton Surges to Top in Iowa

For the first time in five Zogby polls of likely Democratic caucus voters conducted in Iowa this year, Hillary Clinton has moved into sole possession of first place. At 30 percent, Clinton's measured support is also the highest received by any Democratic candidate in Zogby's 2007 horserace polling in the...

Tommy Thompson Ends Presidential Bid

Former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson officially ended his campaign to win the Republican nomination this weekend, after a disappointing 6th place finish in an Iowa Straw Poll that was missing three of the GOP's top-tier candidates. Thompson had previously stated he would likely end his presidential bid if he...

Mitt Romney Wins Iowa Straw Poll; Tommy Thompson and Duncan Hunter Fall Short

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney met expectations by easily winning the GOP Iowa Straw Poll on Saturday, garnering 31.5 percent of the vote. Romney was expected to win because of his strong showing in early scientific polls and due to the no-shows at the Straw Poll of three other top...

Iowa Leaning Democratic for '08 Presidential Election

A new poll conducted by the University of Iowa gives an insight into the inroads the Democratic Party may still be making—building off their success in the 2006 Election. A survey conducted July 29—August 5 of 907 registered voters asked an open-ended question of Iowans as to whom they would...

How Predictive Are the Iowa Caucuses?

As the first state to select delegates in Election 2008, the Iowa caucuses are understandably considered very important in the presidential nomination process. The caucuses present an opportunity for national frontrunners to solidify their lead as well as underdogs in national polls to gain momentum heading into New Hampshire...

ABC News / Wash. Post Iowa Poll: Romney Up Big, 3-Way Race for Dems

The first ABC News / Washington Post poll of likely Iowa caucus voters finds it tight at the top on the Democratic side and Mitt Romney with a double-digit lead over his GOP rivals. The poll was conducted July 26-31 among 500 likely Democratic caucus voters (MoE = ±...

New ARG Iowa Poll Finds Rudy & Hillary On Top

Less than a week after the Des Moines Register's Iowa Poll found the leads of John Edwards and Mitt Romney growing in their respective party presidential bids, the eighth in a series of monthly American Research Group (ARG) polls finds Hillary Clinton with nearly a double digit lead, and Giuliani...

Tancredo Yet to Effectively Leverage Immigration Issue In Iowa

Colorado Congressman and Republican presidential candidate Tom Tancredo boasts traditional conservative credentials, but has made a name for himself in the U.S. House during the past decade primarily on a single issue: as a staunch advocate for border security and putting an end to illegal immigration – particularly along...

Edwards and Romney Maintain Advantage in Iowa

Underdogs John Edwards and Mitt Romney continue to lead their respective Republican and Democratic caucus matchups, according to a brand new poll by KCCI-TV / Research 2000. The poll of 400 likely Iowa Democratic caucus voters, conducted July 23-25, finds John Edwards with a 5-point lead over Hillary Clinton, at...

Bush Ratings Tumble To Record Lows in Iowa

In what seems like a monthly tradition at Smart Politics comes the latest report of new record low job approval ratings for President George W. Bush in the Upper Midwest—this time in Iowa. The latest SurveyUSA poll conducted July 13-15 of 600 adults in Iowa shows only 28 percent...

Senators Harkin and Feingold Don't View Terrorist Threat In Iraq To Be In U.S. National Security Interest

In one of many votes held during a late night session on Capitol Hill Tuesday night, the U.S. Senate overwhelming passed an amendment expressing: The sense of the Senate that it is in the national security interest of the United States that Iraq not become a failed state and a...

How Will Upper Midwestern Independents Vote In 2008?

With the prospects of a potential high profile Independent presidential candidacy by New York Mayor (and billionaire) Michael Bloomberg on the horizon, gaining the votes of political independents becomes even a higher prize for the establishment parties in 2008. Independents comprise approximately 25 percent of the electorate in Minnesota and...

Clinton-Edwards Still in Dead Heat in Iowa

One of the few states Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton has not jumped out to a significant lead in early polling is the state of Iowa. John Edwards has lead Clinton or been nipping at her heels in most public polls taken during the past 7 months. It has been...

Romney Again Leads GOP Iowa Caucus Hopefuls in New Poll

Mitt Romney has solidified himself as the leader of the pack on the GOP side of the equation in the quest for Iowa caucus voters, as demonstrated by the latest monthly poll by American Research Group (ARG). Romney has the support of 25 percent of likely Republican caucus voters...

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Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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