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National Politics


How Many GOP Presidential Candidates Will Drop Out Before the Iowa Caucuses?

A Top 5 finish at the Iowa Straw Poll is often not enough to sustain a presidential campaign even to the end of the year.

What Happened to $5 per Gallon Gasoline?

Despite dire predictions, the average price of gasoline in the US has not yet even hit $4.00 per gallon this year.

Did Ozzy Osbourne Make the First "Satan Sandwich?"

Emmanuel Cleaver was not the first public figure to use this devilish metaphor.

Top Google Autocomplete Search Results for the 2012 GOP Presidential Field

"Affair," "gay," "wives," and "Paul Revere" are among the most commonly-searched terms associated with announced and rumored 2012 Republican presidential candidates.

'The Hill' Finds Republicans Beautiful

GOPers dominate Democrats 27 to 16 on the annual '50 Most Beautiful' list after Democrats held a 111-70 advantage over the four previous years.

Old Guard 2012 US Senate Incumbent Fundraising Down Millions from 2006

Contributions have dropped more than $6 million in real dollars among the nine 2+ term Senators on the ballot in 2012; almost all among Democrats.

Keeping Up with the Smiths: Surnames in the U.S. House

More than 110 Smiths have been elected to the U.S. House - more than twice the number of any other surname except for Johnson at 65.

Will Any Century-Long Streaks End in 2012 U.S. Senate Races?

More than a dozen states have never popularly elected a GOP Senator while voting for a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle; will any break with tradition in 2012?

All-Star Special: Will Baseball Fans Be Obama's Secret Weapon in 2012?

The real cost of baseball tickets, souvenirs, hot dogs, and beer have all dropped since Barack Obama took office.

Bachmann Easily Navigates Vin Weber 'Sex Appeal' Incident

Congresswoman has long endured dozens of both awkwardly well-meaning and snarky comments about her appearance by political operatives and the media.

Which State Will Be the Most Electoral Vote Rich to Flip in 2012?

Since 1832, at least one state with 10+ Electoral College votes has flipped from the previous cycle in 43 of 45 elections; the largest flipped state has voted for the winner 36 times.

Casey Anthony Mentioned in More Broadcast News Reports than Any GOP Presidential Candidate Since Day 1 of Trial

Anthony is mentioned in nearly 900 programs since May 24th opening statements across six major broadcast outlets; Romney (764) and Bachmann (609) lead the GOP field.

McCotter Tries to Buck Michigan's Dismal History of Presidential Campaigns

The Wolverine State has produced more than a dozen presidential candidacies; two resulted in party nominations, but none have been elected to the White House.

Do Governors Make the "Most Successful Presidents?"

The top rated presidents in U.S. history are split 50/50 between those who had gubernatorial experience and those that did not.

U.S. Senate Eyes First Session During 4th of July Holiday Since Watergate

The last time Congress did not take a July 4th recess was in 1974 in the midst of President Richard Nixon's last days in office at the climax of the Watergate scandal.

Who Could Play the 'Turner' in Michele's Bachman(n) Turner Overdrive?

If nominated, which Turner would be Michele Bachmann's best pick as a VP running mate to see a worn-out journalistic pun come full circle?

Bachmann Tries to Defy History's Long Trail of Failed U.S. Representative Presidential Bids

More than 30 presidential campaigns have been launched by sitting U.S. House members over the last 100 years; all have failed and more than 3/4 ultimately ran for reelection to their House seat

Romney Remains Lone Blue State GOP Presidential Candidate

Nine of the 10 announced GOP candidates hail from red or purple states.

Did Obama Mislead Americans on Trends in U.S. Troop Fatalities?

U.S. troop fatalities in Iraq are on pace for a 16 percent increase from 2010; American deaths in Afghanistan over the last three months are up 7 percent from the same period in 2010.

The Myth of the Convention State Boost, Part II: The Republicans

Republican presidential nominees have averaged a 1-point decline in convention host state's adjusted margin of victory (or loss) vis-à-vis the national vote compared to the previous election cycle since the first televised convention in 1940.



Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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