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National Politics


A House Divided: A Content Analysis of Congressional Press Releases on the bin Laden Killing

Less than 25 percent of Republican U.S. House members give credit to Obama in press releases on the bin Laden kill; less than 3 percent of Democrats acknowledge Bush

How Many U.S. Secretaries of Defense Have Served in the Military?

3 in 10 defense secretaries never served in the nation's Armed Forces

Ron Paul to Become 3rd Oldest Major Party Presidential Candidate in U.S. History

Only Minnesota's Harold Stassen and Alaska's Mike Gravel would have made older presidents if elected

House Republican Committee Chairs Enjoy Huge Spike in Fundraising

Collective contributions to 21 GOP House Committee chairs up 93 percent in Q1 2011 from same period in 2009

Extra! Hollywood Casting Call for "Budget Battles" (House Republicans Edition)

Who would Hollywood cast to play the key House Republicans as D.C. sorts out its accounting mess?

Will 2nd Time Be a Charm for Mitt Romney as He Attempts to Buck History in 2012?

Only five candidates have been elected to the White House on their second attempt

2012 U.S. Senate Incumbent Cash on Hand Rankings

Most "safe" incumbents lagging behind the pack in cash on hand through 2010

Out of Power But Leading the Charge: Nancy Pelosi Issues the Most Press Releases of 2011

Former Speaker Pelosi issues the most press releases of any U.S. Representative during the first three months of 2011

2012 Preview: How Often Do Female U.S. Senate Incumbents Win Reelection?

A record seven female Senators will be on the ballot in 2012; history suggests one will not return to D.C

Political Flashback: What Politicians Were Saying About Libya in 2004

Many Republicans and Democrats sang a different tune about Libya and Colonel Ghadafi just a few years ago

What's in a Photo? A Political Analysis of Gubernatorial Portraits

Republican governors are eight times more likely to wear flag pins on their lapels than Democrats, and three times more likely to wear red ties over blue

Most Popular Google Autocomplete Search Results for the Nation's 50 Governors

While most top gubernatorial Google autocomplete search results are mundane, "Nazi," "racist," "birth certificate," and "death panel" define some governors

Which States Have the Longest-Serving U.S. House Delegations?

Alaska, Massachusetts, and Michigan boast the longest average length of service; Democrats average 5+ years more experience than Republicans

Republican Women 2010 U.S. House Voting Record Most Conservative in History

Analysis of National Journal vote rankings finds record highs among female GOP Representatives for conservatism in 2010

Which States Have the Longest-Serving US Senate Delegations?

Hawaii and Iowa lead the pack with battleground states littering the Bottom 10; Daniel Inouye's 48+ years of service is equal to 33 other Senators combined

Presidents' Day Special: Will Obama's Youth Be an Asset Again in 2012?

At five consecutive cycles, the U.S. is in the midst of its longest period in presidential election history in which the younger candidate has won the popular vote

Meet the New Bellwether States: Ohio and Nevada

Ohio has the longest current streak in the nation with 12 consecutive elections voting for the winning presidential candidate; Nevada has the highest rate over the last 100 years at 96 percent (24 of 25 cycles)

Presidential Battleground States by the Numbers Since 1968

Wisconsin and Pennsylvania lead the way with nine races decided by single-digits over the last 11 presidential election cycles; Missouri and Oregon are next with eight

Selection Bias? PolitiFact Rates Republican Statements as False at 3 Times the Rate of Democrats

PolitiFact assigns "Pants on Fire" or "False" ratings to 39 percent of Republican statements compared to just 12 percent of Democrats since January 2010

How High Is Too High? Unemployment and the 2012 Presidential Race

Ronald Reagan got reelected in a landslide in 1984 with an unemployment rate of 7.2 percent, while George H.W. Bush was defeated in 1992 with a nearly identical 7.4 percent rate



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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