Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


National Politics


Battleground States of the Century: Missouri, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin

Only seven states have had more than half of their presidential election contests decided by single digits over the last 100 years: Missouri, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Delaware, and Oregon.

Indiana, North Carolina, and West Virginia Test Romney and Paul Support

Tuesday's primaries are three of the nine contests in the 2008 and 2012 cycles held when the presumptive GOP nominee and Ron Paul were the only active candidates left in the race.

Six Months Out: Will 2012 Resemble 2004 or 2008?

The electoral vote count for the 30 states surveyed in May 2004 was identical to the general election; in 2008, the Election Day vote generated a swing of 176 votes among the 36 states surveyed that May.

Beyond 'Forward': State Mottos and Slogans for the 2012 GOP Field

Obama lifted Wisconsin's motto, so which state mottos and slogans might the Republican candidates have picked for their campaigns?

Ron Paul Still Outraising Romney in at Least 10 States

The Texas Congressman makes large donor fundraising gains in a dozen states on the presumptive GOP nominee in Q1 2012.

Ann Romney Eclipses Michelle Obama in Media Coverage

The Hilary Rosen skirmish has propelled broadcast reports on Ann Romney to double those on the First Lady in April.

Santorum Ends 364-Day White House Bid

Santorum's presidential campaign lasted two months longer than Tim Pawlenty's and Rick Perry's combined.

Country Strong: Santorum Still Flexing His Muscles in Rural America

Santorum has won more than double the number of counties as the rest of the GOP field combined with Romney tallying less than one-quarter.

Will Rick Santorum Win 20 States?

If he remains in the race, Santorum will end up with the third or fourth most states ever won by a failed presidential candidate .

Full House: Santorum Presidency Would Have 2nd Most Children Under 18 in White House History

Only Teddy Roosevelt had more children who were under 18 years of age upon taking office - one more than a potential Rick Santorum presidency

Moments in Etch A Sketch Political History

Al Gore and Barack Obama have both been likened to the classic Ohio Art Company toy.

US House Tenure Varies Wildly Across the 50 States Throughout History

U.S. Representatives from western states serve an average of 2.9 years longer than those from northeastern states throughout history.

Brokered Convention Media Chatter More Than Doubles from 2008

Nearly 200 broadcast reports have discussed the possibility of an open GOP convention this cycle.

Gingrich Advocated Brokered Convention in 2008 GOP Presidential Race

The former House Speaker's dream of an open convention for his party has been lingering for years.

Gingrich Records Weakest GOP Home State Victory in Modern History

Gingrich ties John McCain for the second lowest home state tally for a major GOP presidential candidate since 1972, besting only Pat Robertson.

How to Handicap the Super Tuesday Contests

Santorum vote totals are averaging nearly five points higher than the final polling numbers in primary and caucus states; Paul vote totals average four points higher in caucus states

Rick Perry Edging Herman Cain for the Ex-Candidate Vote

More than 50,000 votes have been cast for ex-GOP presidential candidates this cycle.

Land Baron: Santorum Winning Nearly 60 Percent of Counties in GOP Contests

Buoyed by support in rural areas, Rick Santorum has won 215 more counties than Mitt Romney and 58 percent overall after the first 11 contests.

GOP US House Members in Super Tuesday States Withholding Endorsements

Republican U.S. Representatives from Super Tuesday states have endorsed presidential candidates at half the rate (27 percent) of pre-Super Tuesday states (53 percent).

CNN Gives Candidates the Most Rope While FOX Has the Tightest Leash at GOP Debates

FOX debate moderators speak at a 65 percent higher rate than those at CNN.



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting