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National Politics


How to Handicap the Super Tuesday Contests

Santorum vote totals are averaging nearly five points higher than the final polling numbers in primary and caucus states; Paul vote totals average four points higher in caucus states

Rick Perry Edging Herman Cain for the Ex-Candidate Vote

More than 50,000 votes have been cast for ex-GOP presidential candidates this cycle.

Land Baron: Santorum Winning Nearly 60 Percent of Counties in GOP Contests

Buoyed by support in rural areas, Rick Santorum has won 215 more counties than Mitt Romney and 58 percent overall after the first 11 contests.

GOP US House Members in Super Tuesday States Withholding Endorsements

Republican U.S. Representatives from Super Tuesday states have endorsed presidential candidates at half the rate (27 percent) of pre-Super Tuesday states (53 percent).

CNN Gives Candidates the Most Rope While FOX Has the Tightest Leash at GOP Debates

FOX debate moderators speak at a 65 percent higher rate than those at CNN.

Santorum Given the Most Airtime at Arizona GOP Debate

Santorum clocks in with the most speaking time for just the second time in 20 debates this cycle.

Presidents' Day Special: Small State Blues

A president has been elected from a state with less than 10 electoral votes just four times since 1789.

Will Mitt Romney Win the Battle for the Middle Class?

The former Massachusetts governor has discussed middle class Americans in debates more than all other candidates combined.

O Canada: Ron Paul Excels in Northern Border States

The vote for Paul is nearly double in states bordering Canada compared to the rest of the nation for both caucuses and primaries during the 2008 and 2012 election cycles.

Snowflakes and Fingerprints: No Two Media GOP Delegate Counts Are Alike

Each media outlet uses its own math to estimate the current delegate tally of the four remaining GOP candidates...and comes up with different numbers.

Ron Paul Outraising Mitt Romney in 10 States

The Texas Congressman has netted more large donor money than Romney in 10 states including Tuesday's caucus state of Minnesota.

Media Overload on Mitt Romney's "Poor" Comment Comes Nearly Four Months Late

The former Massachusetts governor served up a nearly identical quote at the Dartmouth College New Hampshire debate in mid-October.

Ron Paul: Don't Pin Me Down!

The Texas Congressman is the only major 2012 Republican presidential candidate to take the debate stage without once wearing a lapel pin.

Candidate Code Names: Fun with Anagrams and the 2012 Republican Field

Would Barack Obama rather run against "Metro Minty," "Ethnic Wronging," or "Cranium Stork?"

Why is Mitt Romney Feeling Blue? Candidate Necktie Colors at the GOP Debates

Romney has worn a blue tie in 17 of 18 presidential debates; his opponents usually wear red and Gingrich has not worn a blue tie once.

"My Message is Simple": Obama's SOTU Written at 8th Grade Level for Third Straight Year

Obama's SOTU addresses have the lowest average Flesch-Kincaid score of any modern president; Obama owns three of the six lowest-scoring addresses since FDR.

Number of Presidential Candidates Tops 330 and Counting

Individuals still filing at a rate of nearly one per day; men file at a 10:1 rate over women.

Gingrich Remains Go-To Candidate for Opening Question in GOP Debates

The former House Speaker has received the moderator's first question in six of the last seven debates.

Romney Speaks 8+ Minutes More than Closest Rival at SC Debate

FOX gives the GOP frontrunner 8 minutes and 23 seconds more speaking time than his closest competitor - the largest gap in the debates thus far.

Does Rick Santorum Have a Blinking Problem?

Santorum blinks while speaking at more than twice the rate of the rest of the GOP field.



Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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