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National Politics


Anatomy of a Non-Candidacy: Media Coverage of Christie, Palin, and Giuliani in 2011

Despite a recent surge in attention on the New Jersey governor, Palin coverage has outpaced that of Christie for 35 of 39 weeks this year.

Herman Cain Media Coverage Quintuples after Florida Straw Poll Win

Cain eclipses Bachmann in media coverage for the first time since she entered the race.

The Cliché King: Rick Perry's Verbal Crutches at the GOP Debates

Perry has used nearly twice as many classic political clichés in the Republican debates than all other candidates combined.

The Presidential Name Game: Flip-Flopping from an Early Age?

Seven US presidents and four 2012 GOP candidates are known by names other than their birth name .

Mitt Romney's Gold Star for Electability

It has been 115 years since a presidential candidate was nominated from a state without a single U.S. Representative from his own party.

Head of the Class: The Most Buzzworthy House Freshmen of the 112th Congress

Allen West, Joe Walsh, Tim Scott, and Sean Duffy are the most covered U.S. House freshmen of 2011.

Paul and Romney Lead 2012 GOP Field in Strongest Anti-Washington Rhetoric

Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have levied the most attacks against the role, scope, and effectiveness of the federal government during the first four Republican debates.

Romney Only Candidate Not to Invoke Reagan at Reagan Library Debate

Reagan's name was mentioned 24 times by the GOP presidential candidates, but not once by Romney.

Significant Partisan Shift Likely in 2012 US House Races

Redistricting cycles have seen the greatest net partisan advantage change in the US House over the last 100 years compared to election years ending in 0, 4, 6, or 8.

How Many GOP Presidential Candidates Will Drop Out Before the Iowa Caucuses?

A Top 5 finish at the Iowa Straw Poll is often not enough to sustain a presidential campaign even to the end of the year.

What Happened to $5 per Gallon Gasoline?

Despite dire predictions, the average price of gasoline in the US has not yet even hit $4.00 per gallon this year.

Did Ozzy Osbourne Make the First "Satan Sandwich?"

Emmanuel Cleaver was not the first public figure to use this devilish metaphor.

Top Google Autocomplete Search Results for the 2012 GOP Presidential Field

"Affair," "gay," "wives," and "Paul Revere" are among the most commonly-searched terms associated with announced and rumored 2012 Republican presidential candidates.

'The Hill' Finds Republicans Beautiful

GOPers dominate Democrats 27 to 16 on the annual '50 Most Beautiful' list after Democrats held a 111-70 advantage over the four previous years.

Old Guard 2012 US Senate Incumbent Fundraising Down Millions from 2006

Contributions have dropped more than $6 million in real dollars among the nine 2+ term Senators on the ballot in 2012; almost all among Democrats.

Keeping Up with the Smiths: Surnames in the U.S. House

More than 110 Smiths have been elected to the U.S. House - more than twice the number of any other surname except for Johnson at 65.

Will Any Century-Long Streaks End in 2012 U.S. Senate Races?

More than a dozen states have never popularly elected a GOP Senator while voting for a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle; will any break with tradition in 2012?

All-Star Special: Will Baseball Fans Be Obama's Secret Weapon in 2012?

The real cost of baseball tickets, souvenirs, hot dogs, and beer have all dropped since Barack Obama took office.

Bachmann Easily Navigates Vin Weber 'Sex Appeal' Incident

Congresswoman has long endured dozens of both awkwardly well-meaning and snarky comments about her appearance by political operatives and the media.

Which State Will Be the Most Electoral Vote Rich to Flip in 2012?

Since 1832, at least one state with 10+ Electoral College votes has flipped from the previous cycle in 43 of 45 elections; the largest flipped state has voted for the winner 36 times.



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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