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Joe Kennedy III May Reboot the Kennedy Dynasty's Congressional Franchise

Five Kennedys in Joe's ancestral line have logged more than 92 years of service in Congress - besting the Longs of Louisiana by 21 years.

The Top Five Smart Politics Reports of 2011

A look back at some of the most illuminating and controversial of the 200+ Smart Politics reports published this year.

Impenetrable: Which States Have the Greatest Democratic Dry Spells in Picking Up US House Seats?

South Carolina Republicans have successfully defended their last 42 House seats since 1988; the Missouri GOP is 40-0 in defending its districts since 1994.

Can Massachusetts GOP End Its 88 US House Seat Pick-Up Drought in Frank's Open 4th CD?

Bay State Republicans have the second biggest dry spell in the nation and have picked off just 2 of 284 Democratic U.S. House seats since 1944.

Which State's US Senators are Drawn from the House at the Highest Rate?

Hawaii, Virginia, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Connecticut dip into the US House the most frequently; Alaska, Oregon, Wyoming, Florida, and Nebraska the least.

Rick Nolan's Pathway: A Historical Review of Minnesota U.S. Representatives Serving Nonconsecutive Terms

Nine of Minnesota's 134 U.S. Representatives since statehood have had a gap in U.S. House service, although none since 1938 and for no more than 14 years.

Study: Faint Praise for Obama in U.S. House After Qaddafi's Death

Only six House Democrats and one Republican issue press releases crediting Obama in ending the Libyan dictator's regime.

Mitt Romney's Gold Star for Electability

It has been 115 years since a presidential candidate was nominated from a state without a single U.S. Representative from his own party.

Big GOP Gain in NY-09 Mirrors 50-Year Average in New York US House Special Elections

Turner's 29-point net bump from the 2010 general is just 1-point shy of the 30-point average gain against the vacating party since 1962.

Nevada's 1st US House Special Election to Break 45-45 Partisan Draw Since Statehood

Democrats and Republicans have each won 45 U.S. House races in the Silver State since 1864.

New York US House Special Elections Average 30-Point Swing Over the Last Half-Century

The vacating incumbent's party has shed an average of 30 points from the previous general election's MoV in New York special election races since 1962.

The Invisible Erik Paulsen

No member of the Minnesota congressional delegation has received less attention in the national media since Paulsen was first sworn into office in 2009.

When Will Wyoming Elect a Democrat to D.C.?

The Equality State has not been represented by a Democrat on Capitol Hill for 11,925 days and counting (32+ years).

Shays to Seek Connecticut US Senate Seat Despite Narrow Historical Pathway

Only two former U.S. Representatives have been popularly elected to the U.S. Senate in Connecticut; neither won their first Senate race.

GOP Aims to Hold All North Dakota Seats on Capitol Hill for 1st Time in Over 50 Years

Republicans last held all of North Dakota's U.S. Senate and House seats in January 1959.

Significant Partisan Shift Likely in 2012 US House Races

Redistricting cycles have seen the greatest net partisan advantage change in the US House over the last 100 years compared to election years ending in 0, 4, 6, or 8.

Did Ozzy Osbourne Make the First "Satan Sandwich?"

Emmanuel Cleaver was not the first public figure to use this devilish metaphor.

'The Hill' Finds Republicans Beautiful

GOPers dominate Democrats 27 to 16 on the annual '50 Most Beautiful' list after Democrats held a 111-70 advantage over the four previous years.

Wu Is First Oregon U.S. Representative to Resign Under Scandal

Nearly twice as many Oregon Representatives have died in office (7) than have resigned their seat (4).

Meet the 'Other Bachmann'

All about Michele's long forgotten namesake in the U.S. House.



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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