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U.S. House


How Frequently Do Oregon Congressional Districts Flip?

The opposing party has gained control of just 27 U.S. House districts in state history, or 11 percent of the time; Oregon is in the midst of its second-longest partisan turnover dry spell.

Could Heath Shuler or Brad Miller Buck History in North Carolina's Gubernatorial Race?

Only four sitting North Carolina U.S. Representatives or U.S. Senators have won a gubernatorial election in state history, and only one in the last 100 years.

Bachmann Celebrates Reelection Bid Announcement with Second 'Appearance' on Jeopardy!

Bachmann clues have netted Jeopardy! contestants $1,200 over the past year

Joe Kennedy III May Reboot the Kennedy Dynasty's Congressional Franchise

Five Kennedys in Joe's ancestral line have logged more than 92 years of service in Congress - besting the Longs of Louisiana by 21 years.

The Top Five Smart Politics Reports of 2011

A look back at some of the most illuminating and controversial of the 200+ Smart Politics reports published this year.

Impenetrable: Which States Have the Greatest Democratic Dry Spells in Picking Up US House Seats?

South Carolina Republicans have successfully defended their last 42 House seats since 1988; the Missouri GOP is 40-0 in defending its districts since 1994.

Can Massachusetts GOP End Its 88 US House Seat Pick-Up Drought in Frank's Open 4th CD?

Bay State Republicans have the second biggest dry spell in the nation and have picked off just 2 of 284 Democratic U.S. House seats since 1944.

Which State's US Senators are Drawn from the House at the Highest Rate?

Hawaii, Virginia, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Connecticut dip into the US House the most frequently; Alaska, Oregon, Wyoming, Florida, and Nebraska the least.

Rick Nolan's Pathway: A Historical Review of Minnesota U.S. Representatives Serving Nonconsecutive Terms

Nine of Minnesota's 134 U.S. Representatives since statehood have had a gap in U.S. House service, although none since 1938 and for no more than 14 years.

Study: Faint Praise for Obama in U.S. House After Qaddafi's Death

Only six House Democrats and one Republican issue press releases crediting Obama in ending the Libyan dictator's regime.

Mitt Romney's Gold Star for Electability

It has been 115 years since a presidential candidate was nominated from a state without a single U.S. Representative from his own party.

Big GOP Gain in NY-09 Mirrors 50-Year Average in New York US House Special Elections

Turner's 29-point net bump from the 2010 general is just 1-point shy of the 30-point average gain against the vacating party since 1962.

Nevada's 1st US House Special Election to Break 45-45 Partisan Draw Since Statehood

Democrats and Republicans have each won 45 U.S. House races in the Silver State since 1864.

New York US House Special Elections Average 30-Point Swing Over the Last Half-Century

The vacating incumbent's party has shed an average of 30 points from the previous general election's MoV in New York special election races since 1962.

The Invisible Erik Paulsen

No member of the Minnesota congressional delegation has received less attention in the national media since Paulsen was first sworn into office in 2009.

When Will Wyoming Elect a Democrat to D.C.?

The Equality State has not been represented by a Democrat on Capitol Hill for 11,925 days and counting (32+ years).

Shays to Seek Connecticut US Senate Seat Despite Narrow Historical Pathway

Only two former U.S. Representatives have been popularly elected to the U.S. Senate in Connecticut; neither won their first Senate race.

GOP Aims to Hold All North Dakota Seats on Capitol Hill for 1st Time in Over 50 Years

Republicans last held all of North Dakota's U.S. Senate and House seats in January 1959.

Significant Partisan Shift Likely in 2012 US House Races

Redistricting cycles have seen the greatest net partisan advantage change in the US House over the last 100 years compared to election years ending in 0, 4, 6, or 8.

Did Ozzy Osbourne Make the First "Satan Sandwich?"

Emmanuel Cleaver was not the first public figure to use this devilish metaphor.



Political Crumbs

No 100-Year Curse for Roberts

Defeating his Tea Party primary challenger Milton Wolf with just 48.1 percent of the vote, Pat Roberts narrowly escaped becoming the first elected U.S. Senator from Kansas to lose a renomination bid in 100 years. The last - and so far only - elected U.S. Senator to lose a Kansas primary was one-term Republican Joseph Bristow in 1914. Bristow was defeated by former U.S. Senator Charles Curtis who went on to win three terms before becoming Herbert Hoover's running mate in 1928. Only one other U.S. Senator from the Sunflower State has lost a primary since the passage of the 17th Amendment: Sheila Frahm in 1996. Frahm was appointed to fill Bob Dole's seat earlier that year and finished 13.2 points behind Sam Brownback in the three-candidate primary field. Overall, incumbent senators from Kansas have won 29 times against two defeats in the direct vote era. (Curtis also lost a primary in 1912 to Walter Stubbs, one year before the nation moved to direct elections).


The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


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