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U.S. House


Hoekstra Challenge in Michigan U.S. Senate Race Faces Long Historical Odds

It has been over 150 years since an ex-U.S. Representative won a Senate seat in Michigan.

Chip Cravaack: Building Political Ties Between Minnesota and New Hampshire

None of Minnesota's 134 U.S. Representatives or 39 Senators were born in the Granite State.

Republicans Fail to Pick up Democratic Seat in 200th Consecutive California U.S. House Race

The California GOP has not picked up a Democratic held U.S. House seat in general or special elections since 1998.

Bachmann Tries to Defy History's Long Trail of Failed U.S. Representative Presidential Bids

More than 30 presidential campaigns have been launched by sitting U.S. House members over the last 100 years; all have failed and more than 3/4 ultimately ran for reelection to their House seat

Bill O'Reilly Errs: Weiner Represents 40th Most Conservative Democratic U.S. House District

NY-09 not the "very, very far left district" O'Reilly claims it to be.

The Camera Does Not Lie: A Content Analysis of Anthony Weiner's Official House Photo Album

The camera catches Weiner without a suit jacket 50 percent of the time, his shirt sleeves rolled up in 37 percent of photos, and 23 percent of snapshots cannot confirm the congressman is wearing trousers.

The Quotable Weiner: A Second Look

He said what last month?

Bachmann Money Bomb Doubles Yield of 2009's 'Send a Message to the Left' Campaign

Team Bachmann raises $257,000+ in 36 hours targeting Obama vs. $118,000 over 48 hours in October 2009's campaign targeting Pelosi and Reid

With Hochul Victory, 1 in 5 Democrats First Entered US House via Special Election

15 percent of current U.S. Representatives (63 members) were first elected by special election including 20 percent of the current Democratic caucus

Media Misfires During NY-26 Election Night Coverage

Erroneous statements abound during coverage and analysis of NY-26 Tuesday evening

NY-26: One in Four U.S. House Seats Flipped in Special Elections Since 2002

Special elections have seen 9 of 37 seats change parties over the last 9+ years, or 24.3 percent of all races

Tarryl Clark in 2012: How Many Minnesota U.S. Representatives Lost Their First House Race?

Nearly one out of six Minnesota U.S. Representatives in history did not win their first congressional race

Dennis Kucinich Reelection Scheme from Washington Would Make U.S. History

No U.S. Representative has won reelection in back-to-back cycles after moving to a new state in the history of the House

Gingrich Launches First Presidential Bid by House Speaker Since 1940

Gingrich becomes just the 4th sitting or ex-House Speaker to run for president since 1900 and the first since World War II

Joe Donnelly Tries to Pull a Quayle

Only one sitting U.S. House member has won a Senate race from Indiana since popular vote elections were introduced: Dan Quayle

Pence Seeks First Governorship by Sitting Indiana Congressman Since 1888

A sitting U.S. Representative from Indiana has not won a gubernatorial election in 123 years

A House Divided: A Content Analysis of Congressional Press Releases on the bin Laden Killing

Less than 25 percent of Republican U.S. House members give credit to Obama in press releases on the bin Laden kill; less than 3 percent of Democrats acknowledge Bush

Bachmann Raising 44 Percent More Out of State Money Per Capita in Obama vs. McCain States

States won by Barack Obama in 2008 populate 21 of the Top 25 slots in per capita large donor out of state donations to Bachmann's 2012 campaign

Andre Carson and Keith Ellison Respond to bin Laden Killing

Ellison's relative Twitter silence on the killing of bin Laden is noteworthy insomuch as the congressman had tweeted 14 times over the weekend including six times on Sunday

Sharron's Angle: Independents Find Little Success in Nevada US House Races

Only seven candidates from Nevada have run for the U.S. House as an independent since statehood; none have eclipsed 15 percent



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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