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U.S. House


African Americans Notch Record Number of U.S. House Seats in 2010 Election

However, decade-by-decade rate of growth of number of blacks in the U.S. House has stalled to its lowest level since the 1920s

African-Americans Still Dreaming of Equal Representation in Congress

Black Americans have been elected to the U.S. House in less than half the states throughout history and to the U.S. Senate in just three

Ohio's Population Rank Over the Last 100 Years

Five decades of sluggish growth see the Buckeye State shed one third of its U.S. House delegation since 1960

Republican Female U.S. Representatives Lead Commentary on Giffords Shooting

Nearly 40 percent of female GOP U.S. House members issued early press releases on House websites after the shooting in Arizona, compared to 25 percent of female Democrats, male Republicans, and male Democrats

Wisconsin's Population Rank Over the Last 100 Years

Badger State population has dropped from 13th to 20th in the nation over the past century

Bachmann's Potential Presidential Pathway Not Well-Trodden

Only one sitting member of the U.S. House has been elected president in history (Garfield); only three presidents have been elected with U.S. Representative as the highest elected office attained on their resume

Iowa's Population Rank Over the Last 100 Years

Iowa has been eclipsed in population by 15 states since its #15 ranking after the 1910 Census (and passed none)

Ex-Con Traficant Tops Independent & 3rd Party Candidates in Contested 2010 U.S. House Races

Former 9-term congressman and federal convict wins 16.1 percent in bid for his old seat - best among alternative party candidates in 2010 in districts contested by both Democrats and Republicans

Race, Not Party, Defines Charlie Rangel Censure Vote

Just 25 percent of racial minorities in the U.S. House (and only 1 black) voted for Rangel censure, compared to 92 percent of whites and 87 percent of white Democrats

Cravaack Bolsters Military Record of Minnesota's U.S. House Delegation

With Chip Cravaack's election to Congress, half of Minnesota's 2011 U.S. House delegation has a military background, compared to 36 percent of the 134 U.S. Representatives elected since statehood

Bachmann Survives Sixth Closest Victory Among 2010 Republican House Incumbents

Fellow controversial Congressman Joe Wilson (SC-02) at #3; Bachmann had the narrowest victory among GOP incumbents in 2008

Are Democrats Becoming a Two-State Party?

Percentage of Democratic U.S. House Seats from California and New York soars to a record high of 28.1 percent after the 2010 elections

Heath Shuler Would Be Greenest (and Youngest) Floor Leader in U.S. House History

If elected, Shuler would become the first majority or minority leader with less than five terms of service in the U.S. House and the first elected below the age of 45

Support for Minnesota GOP US House Candidates Rises 22 Percent in 2010

Support increases across all eight districts for Republicans; cumulative vote for DFLers falls below 48 percent for just the 3rd time in six decades

'No' Vote on Health Care May Have Saved Several Democratic House Seats in McCain Districts

House Democrats from McCain districts voting 'no' on health care were reelected at nearly four times the rate as those voting 'yes'

Nancy Pelosi 1 of 8 House Democrats to Win by Bigger Margin in 2010 than 2008

Only 3 percent of 230 Democratic U.S. House incumbents on the ballot increased their margin of victory in 2010 compared to 2008; Nancy Pelosi had the second largest increase

Michele Bachmann Raised More Than $70 Per Vote Won on Election Day

Incumbent in nation's most expensive U.S. House contest raises $70 per vote won in 6th CD race through mid-October FEC filings

John Dingell Escapes with Narrowest Victory of Congressional Career

Democratic Congressman from Michigan not immune from GOP surges during the Republican waves of 1966, 1994, and 2010

Smart Politics Projections: U.S. House of Representatives

Projected partisan shift: GOP +62

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota U.S. House

Two-term incumbents have won 88 percent of their reelection bids in Minnesota history (75 of 85 races)



Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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