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Election Profile: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District

Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District has not voted for a DFL candidate since 1958 - a string of 25 consecutive elections

Election Profile: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District

Gopher State's 2nd CD's 14.5-point average margin of victory sine 2002 is the 36th smallest in the country

Election Profile: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District

With the exception of DFLer Tim Penny's six-term service from 1984-1992, the GOP had won every 1st District contest from 1892 through 2004

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District

From 1978 to 2004, only 3 of the 14 elections in the 8th District were decided by less than 10 points; during the last two election cycles, the district has been one of the most competitive in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District

The retirement of 21-term incumbent (and Appropriations Chair) David Obey has opened up one of the GOP's prized districts in 2010

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 6th CD only has a +4 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt, making it just the 190th most Republican district in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District

Democrats have failed to field a candidate against Sensenbrenner six times during his 16 victorious congressional campaigns

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 4th CD has voted for the Democratic Party in every U.S. House election since 1948, with an average margin of victory of approximately 50 points since 1960

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District

Wisconsin's 3rd CD has been the 157th most Democratic U.S. House District in the nation over the last two presidential election cycles

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District

Baldwin's district is the 71st most Democratic in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District

Wisconsin's 1st CD has a +2 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt; Ryan's vote total on Election Day will reflect an advantage of at least 10 times that amount

Election Profile: South Dakota's At-Large Congressional Seat

Democrats won the first seven at-large races, and 11 of 15 overall, since the number of South Dakota's representatives dropped from two to one in 1982

Election Profile: Iowa's 5th Congressional District

The reelection of King and fellow GOPer Tom Latham from the state's 4th CD means Iowa will continue its streak of sending at least one Republican to the U.S. House in every election cycle since 1856

Election Profile: Iowa's 4th Congressional District

Latham was part of the Republican Revolution that swept into Congress with a large number of first-time GOP victors in 1994

Election Profile: Iowa's 3rd Congressional District

Boswell has been a thorn in the side of the Iowa Republican Party for years - often seeming vulnerable, but always managing to eke out a victory

Election Profile: Iowa's 2nd Congressional District

The 38.8 percent won by Miller-Meeks in 2008 was the best performance for a female Republican running for Congress in Hawkeye State history

Third Party U.S. House Candidates Spike to Largest Midterm Election Mark Since 1934

With an average of more than one candidate per district, it has been over 75 years since this many independent and third party U.S. House candidates appeared on midterm general election ballots

Election Profile: Iowa's 1st Congressional District

Although the district has only been in the Democratic column for two consecutive election cycles, it is not one of the many vulnerable Democratic U.S. House seats in the Midwest this cycle

PAC Dogs: Oberstar and Peterson Receive More than Half Their Money from Special Interests

PAC contributions to Paulsen up 36 percent from 2008 cycle; contributions to Bachmann down 51.2 percent

Emmer Defeat During GOP Wave Would End Nearly 100-Year Trend in Minnesota Gubernatorial Elections

Minnesota has elected a GOP governor during every Republican wave dating back to 1916



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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