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Election Profile: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District

With the exception of DFLer Tim Penny's six-term service from 1984-1992, the GOP had won every 1st District contest from 1892 through 2004

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District

From 1978 to 2004, only 3 of the 14 elections in the 8th District were decided by less than 10 points; during the last two election cycles, the district has been one of the most competitive in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District

The retirement of 21-term incumbent (and Appropriations Chair) David Obey has opened up one of the GOP's prized districts in 2010

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 6th CD only has a +4 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt, making it just the 190th most Republican district in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District

Democrats have failed to field a candidate against Sensenbrenner six times during his 16 victorious congressional campaigns

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District

Wisconsin's 4th CD has voted for the Democratic Party in every U.S. House election since 1948, with an average margin of victory of approximately 50 points since 1960

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District

Wisconsin's 3rd CD has been the 157th most Democratic U.S. House District in the nation over the last two presidential election cycles

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District

Baldwin's district is the 71st most Democratic in the nation

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District

Wisconsin's 1st CD has a +2 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt; Ryan's vote total on Election Day will reflect an advantage of at least 10 times that amount

Election Profile: South Dakota's At-Large Congressional Seat

Democrats won the first seven at-large races, and 11 of 15 overall, since the number of South Dakota's representatives dropped from two to one in 1982

Election Profile: Iowa's 5th Congressional District

The reelection of King and fellow GOPer Tom Latham from the state's 4th CD means Iowa will continue its streak of sending at least one Republican to the U.S. House in every election cycle since 1856

Election Profile: Iowa's 4th Congressional District

Latham was part of the Republican Revolution that swept into Congress with a large number of first-time GOP victors in 1994

Election Profile: Iowa's 3rd Congressional District

Boswell has been a thorn in the side of the Iowa Republican Party for years - often seeming vulnerable, but always managing to eke out a victory

Election Profile: Iowa's 2nd Congressional District

The 38.8 percent won by Miller-Meeks in 2008 was the best performance for a female Republican running for Congress in Hawkeye State history

Third Party U.S. House Candidates Spike to Largest Midterm Election Mark Since 1934

With an average of more than one candidate per district, it has been over 75 years since this many independent and third party U.S. House candidates appeared on midterm general election ballots

Election Profile: Iowa's 1st Congressional District

Although the district has only been in the Democratic column for two consecutive election cycles, it is not one of the many vulnerable Democratic U.S. House seats in the Midwest this cycle

PAC Dogs: Oberstar and Peterson Receive More than Half Their Money from Special Interests

PAC contributions to Paulsen up 36 percent from 2008 cycle; contributions to Bachmann down 51.2 percent

Emmer Defeat During GOP Wave Would End Nearly 100-Year Trend in Minnesota Gubernatorial Elections

Minnesota has elected a GOP governor during every Republican wave dating back to 1916

The Still Very Long Odds of an Oberstar (or Walz) Defeat in November

Less than 4 percent of Minnesota U.S. House incumbents have been defeated out of more than 200 who won at least 60 percent of the vote during the previous election cycle

Western States to Eclipse Midwest in Representation to U.S. House for First Time in History

It took 160 years, but Western states will finally eclipse the Midwest in the number of Representatives it sends to D.C. in 2012



Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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