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DFL Goal to Defeat Bachmann Faces Significant Historical Challenges

Minnesota GOP has held 95 percent of its U.S. House seats when Republicans net a dozen or more seats nationwide since the DFL merger in 1944

Unfamiliar Faces: 2010 Likely to Set Mark for Fewest U.S. House Incumbents on the Ballot this Decade

Seats without incumbents on the ballot are 56 percent more likely to be Republican than Democratic since 2002

How Competitive Are U.S. House Special Elections?

Special elections are 17.4 points more competitive than general election contests; special election seats are also 4 times more likely to switch parties

David Obey's Exit and the Badger State Congressmen Who Left Before Him

Obey served alongside 31 different Wisconsin U.S. Representatives since election in 1969

Reapportionment Winners and Losers Through the Years

Pennsylvania (-17 seats) and New York (-16 seats) have lost the largest number of seats from their peak U.S. House delegations; the Keystone State is slated to lose a seat again for a 9th consecutive census period

Will the GOP Sweep North and South Dakota's U.S. House Seats?

Republicans have never carried both single-member at-large districts in the same election cycle; Democrats have won 25 of 29 U.S. House contests in the Dakotas since 1982

Has Gerrymandering Lost Its Punch?

Current redistricting period has produced the closest relationship between votes received and seats won by party across the nation's 435 U.S. House districts since the 1940s

PAC Money Comprises Only 5 Percent of Bachmann's Q1 2010 Fundraising

Special interest PAC contributions fall for 4th consecutive quarter as percentage of Bachmann's total fundraising

Is the Democratic Party 'Overrepresented' in the U.S. House?

Democratic candidates have won 772 more U.S. House seats since 1942 than their cumulative 'proportional vote share,' or 23 seats per election cycle; +27 seats in 2008

Can Minnesota Republicans Win a 4th U.S. House Seat in 2010?

Minnesota GOP has failed to net a U.S. House seat in 9 of 15 election cycles in which the Republican Party made gains nationally since 1944

Bachmann Sets New Benchmark in Minnesota Politics with Q1 2010 Fundraising Haul

Bachmann outraises Clark by 60 percent in Q1 2010; sets new Minnesota fundraising record for the 1st quarter of an election year

How Do Members of Congress Use the American Flag in Their Reelection Campaigns?

Republican U.S. Representatives are 36 percent more likely to incorporate the American flag on campaign websites than Democrats

Which States Have the Most Proportional Female Representation in Congress?

Women are still proportionally underrepresented in 48 states, with 19 states and 22 percent of the nation's population without a female U.S. Senator or Representative

Will 2010 Be the Year of the Woman in Minnesota's U.S. House Races?

Up to eight female U.S. House candidates could be on the ballot this November - the highest in Gopher State history

Tarryl Clark Shatters Minnesota U.S. House Fundraising Record for Q1 of Election Year

$500,000+ haul more than $120,000 greater than funds raised by any Minnesota incumbent or challenger this decade for Q1 of an election year; Bachmann Q1 receipts still pending

They Love to Hate Her: The Left-Wing Media's Love Affair with Michele Bachmann

1 out of 5 Minnesota Independent reports have featured Bachmann over the past 6 months; coverage of the Congresswoman rose to nearly 1 out of 3 this March

Is Bart Stupak's U.S. House Seat Vulnerable?

Nine-term Democrat has won by more than 32 points in each of the last four election cycles

Fun Facts about House Democrats Voting 'No' on the Health Care Bill

Years of service in U.S. House, district competitiveness, and district vote for McCain in '08 shaped Democratic votes; percentage of uninsured constituents in district had no impact

Bachmann, Kline, and Paulsen Respond to U.S. House Health Care Bill Passage

The only three members of Minnesota's U.S. House delegation to issue press releases in the immediate hours after the 219-212 passage of a landmark overhaul of the nation's health care system were its three GOP critics

How Competitive Are Minnesota's Congressional Districts?

Bachmann's 6th CD is the 11th most competitive in the nation since 2002; seven of the Gopher State's eight CDs are more competitive than the national average



Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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