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U.S. House


Two-Candidate Race a Rarity in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District

The Minneapolis area congressional district had fielded 16 third party and independent U.S. House candidates over the last eight cycles, averaging 9 percent of the vote.

Third Parties Vanish from Minnesota's 2012 US House Races

There are 11 fewer independent and third party candidates running for Minnesota's eight congressional seats in 2012 compared to two years ago.

Ryan Seeks to Become 1st GOPer to Simultaneously Win VP and Congressional Seat

Only three previous individuals - all Democrats - have won the vice-presidency and were reelected to their seat on Capitol Hill on Election Day.

Minnesota DFL 8th CD Primary Sets Statewide Record in Post-Merger Era

The last time the margin between first and third place was less than nine points in a Minnesota U.S. House primary race was 1942

Bachmann Scores Weakest Minnesota GOP US House Incumbent Primary Win in 50 Years

The last time a Republican incumbent won a lower percentage of the vote in a Gopher State U.S. House primary was 1962 (Herman Carl Andersen).

Is Being Named to The Hill's 50 Most Beautiful People List a Blessing or a Curse?

Nearly one-third of the members of Congress who made the list prior to the last election cycle eventually lost their seat, lost a race for higher office, retired, or resigned in scandal.

McCarthyism Charge First Levied at Bachmann in 2005

The origin of what is now the critics' favorite charge against Representative Bachmann dates back to 2005, before gaining steam three years later with Katrina vanden Heuvel, Chris Matthews, Rachel Maddow, and Joan Walsh.

House Democrats Issue Statements on Aurora Massacre at 3x Rate of Republicans

Although both sides of the aisle largely steered clear of discussing the incident, House Democrats have issued official press releases on the Aurora tragedy at three times the rate of GOPers.

No Bachmann Fatigue: Fundraising Up a Quarter Million from Two Years Ago

Despite a failed presidential bid and risk of overexposure, the Minnesota Congresswoman raises 15 percent more funds in Q2 2012 than she did in Q2 2010 during her record-breaking campaign.

Safety First

Although freshman Republican U.S. Representatives Sean Duffy (WI-07) and Reid Ribble (WI-08) are considered vulnerable by many D.C. prognosticators this November, redistricting has not spelled trouble for congressional incumbents in the Badger State over the last six decades. Since 1952, only one of 52 incumbents went down in the general...

House and Senate GOP Rooting for NL Victory in Tuesday's All-Star Game

Since 1950, gains of 5+ Republican seats in the U.S. Senate and 10+ seats in the House have always been preceded by a National League victory.

Michele Bachmann Makes Third Appearance on Jeopardy!

The Tea Party favorite's unceremonious exit from the 2012 presidential race is immortalized on TV's popular game show.

History Gives Baldwin, Neumann Long Odds in Wisconsin US Senate Bids

Only two of 15 ex- or sitting Badger State U.S. Representatives have run successful U.S. Senate campaigns; two more may go down in 2012.

Connecticut Democrats Seek to Extend US House Streak to 15

Connecticut currently has the fourth longest Democratic congressional victory streak in the nation with Democrats in the midst of the third longest partisan streak in the Constitution State since the founding of the GOP.

Oklahoma GOP Poised to Run Table in US House Races for Just 3rd Time Since Statehood

Democrats won 79 percent of congressional contests in the Sooner State prior to the Republican Revolution and just 14 percent since.

Will Confidence in Supreme Court Erode or Rebound After Obamacare Decision?

The U.S. Supreme Court's net confidence rating during Barack Obama's presidency is at an all-time low since Gallup's measurement began in the early 1970s.

Deep Benches: Which States Consistently Field US House Candidates from Both Parties?

Democrats and Republicans in New Hampshire, Indiana, Minnesota, and Idaho have fielded candidates in each of the last 100+ U.S. House races in their respective states.

Choices, Choices, Choices

In 2010, a total of 29 candidates ran across Minnesota's eight congressional districts - good for the seventh highest per district average in the history of the state (at 3.63 candidates) across the 78 general cycles dating back to 1857. That number appears to have declined significantly with just 18...

Minnesota's Gender Gap: The Disappearing Female Candidate?

After notching five of the 16 major party U.S. House nominations in 2010, women may secure only two such slots across Minnesota's eight districts this November.

With Barber Victory Nearly 1 in 4 House Democrats Elected Via Special Election

Almost one-quarter of the Democratic caucus was first elected to the U.S. House via special election - more than double that of the GOP.



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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