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Presidency


Rick Perry: My Kingdom for a Typewriter?

Perry is the only major presidential candidate to hand write his Statement of Candidacy to the FEC.

Ron Paul Raising Money at Twice the Rate of 2008 Campaign

Paul is netting $80K per day this cycle compared to $40K per day at this point four years ago.

Anatomy of a Non-Candidacy: Media Coverage of Christie, Palin, and Giuliani in 2011

Despite a recent surge in attention on the New Jersey governor, Palin coverage has outpaced that of Christie for 35 of 39 weeks this year.

Herman Cain Media Coverage Quintuples after Florida Straw Poll Win

Cain eclipses Bachmann in media coverage for the first time since she entered the race.

Chris Christie and New Jersey's 95-Year Presidential Nominee Drought

Only two states with larger populations than New Jersey have had longer droughts in producing a major party presidential nominee (Florida and North Carolina).

The Cliché King: Rick Perry's Verbal Crutches at the GOP Debates

Perry has used nearly twice as many classic political clichés in the Republican debates than all other candidates combined.

The Presidential Name Game: Flip-Flopping from an Early Age?

Seven US presidents and four 2012 GOP candidates are known by names other than their birth name .

Mitt Romney's Gold Star for Electability

It has been 115 years since a presidential candidate was nominated from a state without a single U.S. Representative from his own party.

Paul and Romney Lead 2012 GOP Field in Strongest Anti-Washington Rhetoric

Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have levied the most attacks against the role, scope, and effectiveness of the federal government during the first four Republican debates.

Romney Only Candidate Not to Invoke Reagan at Reagan Library Debate

Reagan's name was mentioned 24 times by the GOP presidential candidates, but not once by Romney.

Thursday Addresses before Joint Session of Congress a Rarity

Since Ronald Reagan, 85 percent of presidential addresses before Congress have been held on Tuesdays or Wednesdays.

Romney's Strongest 2012 Fundraising Locales Identical to 2008: UT, CT, DC, MA, ID

Per capita itemized donations to Mitt Romney's presidential campaign are led by the same five locales in each of his White House bids.

Check Mate: Does Rick Perry Play Chess?

None of the last five Republican presidents were chess players, whereas eight of the last nine Democratic presidents played the game.

Ron Paul's Hotbeds of Financial Support: New Hampshire, Nevada, Wyoming, and Alaska

Paul's Top 4 states in large donor per capita individual contributions are identical in 2012 from his 2008 presidential bid.

Ex-Pawlenty Supporter Hubbard Has Given Thousands to Bachmann (and Democrats) Over the Years

The Hubbard Broadcasting head and his wife have donated significantly to Michele Bachmann and Democratic candidates over recent election cycles.

Pawlenty's Exit is Quickest in History Among 3rd Place Iowa Straw Poll Candidates

The swiftest previous departure from the GOP nomination race for a third-place finisher at Ames was 67 days after the Straw Poll.

How Many GOP Presidential Candidates Will Drop Out Before the Iowa Caucuses?

A Top 5 finish at the Iowa Straw Poll is often not enough to sustain a presidential campaign even to the end of the year.

What Happened to $5 per Gallon Gasoline?

Despite dire predictions, the average price of gasoline in the US has not yet even hit $4.00 per gallon this year.

Top Google Autocomplete Search Results for the 2012 GOP Presidential Field

"Affair," "gay," "wives," and "Paul Revere" are among the most commonly-searched terms associated with announced and rumored 2012 Republican presidential candidates.

Will Any Century-Long Streaks End in 2012 U.S. Senate Races?

More than a dozen states have never popularly elected a GOP Senator while voting for a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle; will any break with tradition in 2012?

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Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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