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Presidency


Face Time: Which Republican Candidate Won the Battle for the Camera Lens?

Romney spoke for 11 minutes and 21 seconds with five other candidates clocking in at less than 9 minutes and 40 seconds; Pawlenty came in second with 10:51.

Remember When? Bachmann Once Led the Cheers for Ron Paul 2012 Candidacy

Less than two years ago, Bachmann was Paul's opening act and applauded his prospective 2012 candidacy; on Monday the two U.S. Representatives share the New Hampshire stage as equals.

Obama the Most Veto-Shy President Since James Garfield

Obama has issued just one veto every 435 days; the presidential average since 1881 is once every 20 days.

Rick Santorum, Catholicism, and the 2012 Republican Ticket

Republicans have nominated a Catholic just once on the presidential ballot in 152 years, compared to seven times for the Democrats since 1928.

Bachmann vs. Pawlenty: How do Same-State Same Party Presidential Rivals Fare?

More than two-dozen pairs of candidates from the same state have sought the same major party nomination in the post-Civil War era; 15 have won the nomination and nine the presidency.

Flashback Fail: Tim Pawlenty is the "Arnold Schwarzenegger of the Midwest"

In 2004, Club for Growth founder and then President Stephen Moore called T-Paw "Arnold Schwarzenegger of the Midwest"

From Rumor to Reality: Pawlenty's 2,456-Day Presidential Candidacy Roll Out

National chatter of a T-Paw presidential bid first began nearly seven years ago at the 2004 RNC

Reading the Tweet Leaves: Sarah Palin's Vanishing Act

Palin tweeting 64 percent less frequently in 2011 compared to 2010

Humphrey Event: Direct National Popular Vote in Presidential Elections

Humphrey event examines the movement afoot that seeks to implement an electoral system with a direct, nationwide popular vote

Gingrich Launches First Presidential Bid by House Speaker Since 1940

Gingrich becomes just the 4th sitting or ex-House Speaker to run for president since 1900 and the first since World War II

A House Divided: A Content Analysis of Congressional Press Releases on the bin Laden Killing

Less than 25 percent of Republican U.S. House members give credit to Obama in press releases on the bin Laden kill; less than 3 percent of Democrats acknowledge Bush

Ron Paul to Become 3rd Oldest Major Party Presidential Candidate in U.S. History

Only Minnesota's Harold Stassen and Alaska's Mike Gravel would have made older presidents if elected

Can Haley Barbour End Mississippi's Presidential Drought?

Mississippi has not produced a competitive presidential candidate who has been close to winning a major party nomination across four-dozen election cycles since statehood in 1817

Will 2nd Time Be a Charm for Mitt Romney as He Attempts to Buck History in 2012?

Only five candidates have been elected to the White House on their second attempt

Which States Have the Most Split-Ticket Voting in Presidential-U.S. Senate Election Cycles?

Montana is the only state in the nation to split its presidential-U.S. Senate ticket in a majority of elections

Presidents' Day Special: Will Obama's Youth Be an Asset Again in 2012?

At five consecutive cycles, the U.S. is in the midst of its longest period in presidential election history in which the younger candidate has won the popular vote

Meet the New Bellwether States: Ohio and Nevada

Ohio has the longest current streak in the nation with 12 consecutive elections voting for the winning presidential candidate; Nevada has the highest rate over the last 100 years at 96 percent (24 of 25 cycles)

Can Mark Dayton Give Barack Obama a Boost in Minnesota in 2012?

History suggests having a DFLer in St. Paul is unlikely to be a decisive factor, but may be worth +1.4 points to Obama in next year's presidential race

Presidential Battleground States by the Numbers Since 1968

Wisconsin and Pennsylvania lead the way with nine races decided by single-digits over the last 11 presidential election cycles; Missouri and Oregon are next with eight

How High Is Too High? Unemployment and the 2012 Presidential Race

Ronald Reagan got reelected in a landslide in 1984 with an unemployment rate of 7.2 percent, while George H.W. Bush was defeated in 1992 with a nearly identical 7.4 percent rate

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Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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