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Presidency


Wisconsin Eyes Just Fourth Plurality Winner in GOP Primary Since 1912

Republican primary and caucus victors have reached the 50 percent mark just six times in 29 contests in the 2012 cycle, down from 10 at this stage in 2008.

Will Rick Santorum Win 20 States?

If he remains in the race, Santorum will end up with the third or fourth most states ever won by a failed presidential candidate .

Wisconsin Republican Primary Results Mirror Illinois in Modern Era

The Badger and Prairie States have voted for the same Republican presidential candidate for 11 consecutive election cycles, with a victory margin differential usually within single digits between the two states

Full House: Santorum Presidency Would Have 2nd Most Children Under 18 in White House History

Only Teddy Roosevelt had more children who were under 18 years of age upon taking office - one more than a potential Rick Santorum presidency

Wisconsin, Midwest Lag in Presidential Endorsements from US Representatives

None of the five Badger State US House members have formally backed a candidate with the Midwest at a regional low rate of 36 percent.

Moments in Etch A Sketch Political History

Al Gore and Barack Obama have both been likened to the classic Ohio Art Company toy.

Romney Carries Illinois Primary with Lowest Ever Winning Percentage

The former Massachusetts governor becomes one of just three winners in 100 years of the primary to fail to reach the 50 percent mark.

Will Santorum Give Illinois Its Most Competitive GOP Primary in 100 Years?

Only one Illinois Republican presidential primary has been decided by less than 10 points out of 25 contests since 1912.

Brokered Convention Media Chatter More Than Doubles from 2008

Nearly 200 broadcast reports have discussed the possibility of an open GOP convention this cycle.

Gingrich Advocated Brokered Convention in 2008 GOP Presidential Race

The former House Speaker's dream of an open convention for his party has been lingering for years.

Mississippi to Hold Its First Ever Competitive GOP Presidential Primary

The state's most competitive race has been a 34-point blow-out since its first Republican presidential primary in 1980.

Turnout at Kansas GOP Caucuses Soars 53 Percent from 2008

The Sunflower State records the biggest increase in GOP primary or caucus voter participation in the nation compared to the 2008 cycle.

Gingrich Records Weakest GOP Home State Victory in Modern History

Gingrich ties John McCain for the second lowest home state tally for a major GOP presidential candidate since 1972, besting only Pat Robertson.

How to Handicap the Super Tuesday Contests

Santorum vote totals are averaging nearly five points higher than the final polling numbers in primary and caucus states; Paul vote totals average four points higher in caucus states

Rick Perry Edging Herman Cain for the Ex-Candidate Vote

More than 50,000 votes have been cast for ex-GOP presidential candidates this cycle.

Land Baron: Santorum Winning Nearly 60 Percent of Counties in GOP Contests

Buoyed by support in rural areas, Rick Santorum has won 215 more counties than Mitt Romney and 58 percent overall after the first 11 contests.

GOP US House Members in Super Tuesday States Withholding Endorsements

Republican U.S. Representatives from Super Tuesday states have endorsed presidential candidates at half the rate (27 percent) of pre-Super Tuesday states (53 percent).

A State Divided: Will Romney or Santorum Reach 40 Percent in Michigan?

Tuesday's winner could set the all-time state mark for the lowest victory total in a Michigan presidential primary.

CNN Gives Candidates the Most Rope While FOX Has the Tightest Leash at GOP Debates

FOX debate moderators speak at a 65 percent higher rate than those at CNN.

Santorum Given the Most Airtime at Arizona GOP Debate

Santorum clocks in with the most speaking time for just the second time in 20 debates this cycle.



Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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