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Presidency


GOP US House Members in Super Tuesday States Withholding Endorsements

Republican U.S. Representatives from Super Tuesday states have endorsed presidential candidates at half the rate (27 percent) of pre-Super Tuesday states (53 percent).

A State Divided: Will Romney or Santorum Reach 40 Percent in Michigan?

Tuesday's winner could set the all-time state mark for the lowest victory total in a Michigan presidential primary.

CNN Gives Candidates the Most Rope While FOX Has the Tightest Leash at GOP Debates

FOX debate moderators speak at a 65 percent higher rate than those at CNN.

Santorum Given the Most Airtime at Arizona GOP Debate

Santorum clocks in with the most speaking time for just the second time in 20 debates this cycle.

Presidents' Day Special: Small State Blues

A president has been elected from a state with less than 10 electoral votes just four times since 1789.

Will Mitt Romney Win the Battle for the Middle Class?

The former Massachusetts governor has discussed middle class Americans in debates more than all other candidates combined.

O Canada: Ron Paul Excels in Northern Border States

The vote for Paul is nearly double in states bordering Canada compared to the rest of the nation for both caucuses and primaries during the 2008 and 2012 election cycles.

Snowflakes and Fingerprints: No Two Media GOP Delegate Counts Are Alike

Each media outlet uses its own math to estimate the current delegate tally of the four remaining GOP candidates...and comes up with different numbers.

Minnesota Caucuses: Paul Reaches Record High, Romney Nears Record Low

Minnesotans deliver the Texas Congressman his best performance in a GOP primary or caucus over the last two cycles...and Romney one of his worst.

The Walker Effect? Wisconsin Ranks Dead Last in Donations to 2012 GOP Field

Utah, Connecticut, and Texas lead the way in large donor per capita contributions to Republican presidential candidates with Wisconsin, Arkansas, and Indiana at the bottom.

Ron Paul Outraising Mitt Romney in 10 States

The Texas Congressman has netted more large donor money than Romney in 10 states including Tuesday's caucus state of Minnesota.

Media Overload on Mitt Romney's "Poor" Comment Comes Nearly Four Months Late

The former Massachusetts governor served up a nearly identical quote at the Dartmouth College New Hampshire debate in mid-October.

Ron Paul: Don't Pin Me Down!

The Texas Congressman is the only major 2012 Republican presidential candidate to take the debate stage without once wearing a lapel pin.

Candidate Code Names: Fun with Anagrams and the 2012 Republican Field

Would Barack Obama rather run against "Metro Minty," "Ethnic Wronging," or "Cranium Stork?"

Why is Mitt Romney Feeling Blue? Candidate Necktie Colors at the GOP Debates

Romney has worn a blue tie in 17 of 18 presidential debates; his opponents usually wear red and Gingrich has not worn a blue tie once.

"My Message is Simple": Obama's SOTU Written at 8th Grade Level for Third Straight Year

Obama's SOTU addresses have the lowest average Flesch-Kincaid score of any modern president; Obama owns three of the six lowest-scoring addresses since FDR.

Romney Plays the Florida Card...in Spades

Romney makes more Sunshine State references in the NBC debate than Gingrich, Paul, and Santorum combined.

Number of Presidential Candidates Tops 330 and Counting

Individuals still filing at a rate of nearly one per day; men file at a 10:1 rate over women.

Gingrich Remains Go-To Candidate for Opening Question in GOP Debates

The former House Speaker has received the moderator's first question in six of the last seven debates.

What's So Special About South Carolina?

The Palmetto State is one of nearly two-dozen states with a perfect record in picking eventual GOP presidential nominees since 1980.



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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