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Presidency


Bachmann Suffers Greatest Fall for Iowa Straw Poll Winner

The Minnesota congresswoman sets a trio of unwelcome records after her poor showing in Iowa Tuesday.

Could Rick Santorum Become the First Iowa Caucus One-Hit Wonder?

Santorum could be the only presidential candidate to win the Iowa caucuses and no other state; the current low mark is held by Tom Harkin in 1992 with just two states.

The Top Five Smart Politics Reports of 2011

A look back at some of the most illuminating and controversial of the 200+ Smart Politics reports published this year.

Ron Paul Seeks First Primary/Caucus Win by GOP US Rep. Since 1964

Wisconsin's John Byrnes won the last presidential contest for a sitting GOP U.S. House member 48 years ago; John Anderson came close in Massachusetts and Vermont in 1980.

Punditry Quotes of the Week: Ron Paul Edition

What the media said about Congressman Paul after his Sioux City, Iowa debate performance.

FOX News Moderators Insert Themselves at GOP Debates More Than Any Other Outlet

FOX moderators have averaged a 40 percent larger share of speaking time compared to moderators at the other eight debates since September.

Ex-Presidents Take Center Stage at Iowa Debate

The seven candidates name-drop 12 ex-presidents 33 times on Thursday; Gingrich makes 22 references to raise his tally this debate season to 63.

Gingrich Has Most Sand in FOX News' Iowa Debate Hourglass

Former House Speaker receives more than one-fifth of the speaking time, edging Romney and Paul and doubling up on Perry.

Ron Paul Reaches All-Time Polling Highs in Iowa and New Hampshire

Paul's support is up 100 percent in Iowa and 50 percent in the Granite State from his '08 campaign peaks.

ABC Grants Romney More than Twice as Much Speaking Time as Ron Paul in Iowa Debate

Romney doubles up on Ron Paul once again and speaks more than moderators Diane Sawyer and George Stephanopoulos combined.

Will Michele Bachmann Pull a Phil Gramm in Iowa?

Bachmann is on pace for the worst ever performance at the caucuses by an Iowa Straw Poll winner - a mark currently held by Phil Gramm in 1996.

Is Newt Gingrich Too Old to Beat Barack Obama?

In only two of the nation's 56 presidential elections has the cycle's older nominee been elected with a greater age difference than Gingrich vis-à-vis Obama.

Are the Stars Aligned for an Obama Victory? Astrology and U.S. Presidential Elections

Presidential nominees born under Leo (e.g. Obama) win at a 71 percent clip with Geminis (e.g. Gingrich) coming in at just 29 percent.

Snubbed Again: Ron Paul Surges in Iowa and the Media Yawns

Despite rising to 2nd in the new Des Moines Register survey, Paul gets just 5 percent of coverage in reporting on the poll - the same as Santorum, Perry, and Bachmann.

Covering the Anti-Romney: A Five-Month Week-by-Week Media Analysis of the GOP Field

Mitt Romney has been mentioned in the most broadcast reports among the Republican field for just four of the last 22 weeks.

CNN Rewards Gingrich's Frontrunner Status with Most Speaking Time at DC Debate

Romney cedes the top spot in speaking time at a debate for the first time since the September 12th gathering in Tampa, Florida.

Jesse Ventura, Judge Tunheim to Review JFK Assassination Evidence at Humphrey School Event

On Tuesday afternoon, the University of Minnesota's Humphrey School of Public Affairs will host an event discussing the evidence of the President Kennedy assassination on the 48th anniversary since the shooting.

Win One for The Gipper: Invoking Reagan at the GOP Debates

Reagan has been mentioned 53 times in the Republican debates compared to 38 mentions for all other 42 ex-presidents combined; Gingrich leads the way with 21 with Romney last with zero.

Untouchable: Is the GOP Field Afraid to Criticize Newt Gingrich in Debates?

The former House Speaker is the only candidate yet to be attacked at the seven debates conducted since Rick Perry joined the GOP field.

Gingrich's Long Hiatus from Political Office Would Make Presidential History

"President Gingrich" would own the largest gap on record between his last day serving in political office and Inauguration Day.



Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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