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Presidency


What's So Special About South Carolina?

The Palmetto State is one of nearly two-dozen states with a perfect record in picking eventual GOP presidential nominees since 1980.

Romney Speaks 8+ Minutes More than Closest Rival at SC Debate

FOX gives the GOP frontrunner 8 minutes and 23 seconds more speaking time than his closest competitor - the largest gap in the debates thus far.

Perry's New Hampshire Tally Shy of Morry Taylor, Phil Crane, and George Romney

The Texas governor receives less support in the Granite State than many forgotten presidential candidates.

Does Rick Santorum Have a Blinking Problem?

Santorum blinks while speaking at more than twice the rate of the rest of the GOP field.

Romney Notches 30 Percent of Speaking Time in Weekend's New Hampshire Debates

The GOP frontrunner doubles up on Paul, Gingrich, and Huntsman and triples the speaking time of Perry.

Bachmann Suffers Greatest Fall for Iowa Straw Poll Winner

The Minnesota congresswoman sets a trio of unwelcome records after her poor showing in Iowa Tuesday.

Could Rick Santorum Become the First Iowa Caucus One-Hit Wonder?

Santorum could be the only presidential candidate to win the Iowa caucuses and no other state; the current low mark is held by Tom Harkin in 1992 with just two states.

The Top Five Smart Politics Reports of 2011

A look back at some of the most illuminating and controversial of the 200+ Smart Politics reports published this year.

Ron Paul Seeks First Primary/Caucus Win by GOP US Rep. Since 1964

Wisconsin's John Byrnes won the last presidential contest for a sitting GOP U.S. House member 48 years ago; John Anderson came close in Massachusetts and Vermont in 1980.

Punditry Quotes of the Week: Ron Paul Edition

What the media said about Congressman Paul after his Sioux City, Iowa debate performance.

FOX News Moderators Insert Themselves at GOP Debates More Than Any Other Outlet

FOX moderators have averaged a 40 percent larger share of speaking time compared to moderators at the other eight debates since September.

Ex-Presidents Take Center Stage at Iowa Debate

The seven candidates name-drop 12 ex-presidents 33 times on Thursday; Gingrich makes 22 references to raise his tally this debate season to 63.

Gingrich Has Most Sand in FOX News' Iowa Debate Hourglass

Former House Speaker receives more than one-fifth of the speaking time, edging Romney and Paul and doubling up on Perry.

Ron Paul Reaches All-Time Polling Highs in Iowa and New Hampshire

Paul's support is up 100 percent in Iowa and 50 percent in the Granite State from his '08 campaign peaks.

ABC Grants Romney More than Twice as Much Speaking Time as Ron Paul in Iowa Debate

Romney doubles up on Ron Paul once again and speaks more than moderators Diane Sawyer and George Stephanopoulos combined.

Will Michele Bachmann Pull a Phil Gramm in Iowa?

Bachmann is on pace for the worst ever performance at the caucuses by an Iowa Straw Poll winner - a mark currently held by Phil Gramm in 1996.

Is Newt Gingrich Too Old to Beat Barack Obama?

In only two of the nation's 56 presidential elections has the cycle's older nominee been elected with a greater age difference than Gingrich vis-à-vis Obama.

Are the Stars Aligned for an Obama Victory? Astrology and U.S. Presidential Elections

Presidential nominees born under Leo (e.g. Obama) win at a 71 percent clip with Geminis (e.g. Gingrich) coming in at just 29 percent.

Snubbed Again: Ron Paul Surges in Iowa and the Media Yawns

Despite rising to 2nd in the new Des Moines Register survey, Paul gets just 5 percent of coverage in reporting on the poll - the same as Santorum, Perry, and Bachmann.

Covering the Anti-Romney: A Five-Month Week-by-Week Media Analysis of the GOP Field

Mitt Romney has been mentioned in the most broadcast reports among the Republican field for just four of the last 22 weeks.



Political Crumbs

73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


Two Dakotas, One Voice?

For each of the last 24 presidential elections since 1920, North and South Dakota have voted in unison - casting their ballots for the same nominee. For 21 of these cycles (including each of the last 12 since 1968) Republicans carried the Dakotas with just three cycles going to the Democrats (1932, 1936, and 1964). This streak stands in contrast to the first few decades after statehood when North and South Dakota supported different nominees in four of the first seven cycles. North Dakota narrowly backed Populist James Weaver in 1892 while South Dakota voted for incumbent Republican Benjamin Harrison. In 1896, it was North Dakota backing GOPer William McKinley while South Dakota supported Democrat William Jennings Bryan by less than 200 votes. North Dakota voted Democratic in 1912 and 1916 supporting Woodrow Wilson while South Dakota cast its Electoral College votes for Progressive Teddy Roosevelt and Republican Charles Hughes respectively.


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