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U.S. Senate


Patriotic Exits? 35 Members of Congress Who Died on July 4th

Four members of the U.S. House died on Independence Day while in office; North Carolina and Pennsylvania delegations have had the most pass on the 4th of July.

Which US Senate Seats Will Flip in 2014? A Survey of Media Rankings

Media election forecasters can only agree on one slot of the Top 12 U.S. Senate seats most likely to change control after the November elections.

Inhofe Eyes Record-Breaking Election Win in 2014

The senior senator from Oklahoma is looking to win a record fifth U.S. Senate election this fall and would become the longest-serving member in the chamber from the Sooner State mid-way through his next term.

Republican US Senators Hitting Historic Lows in Primaries

Four Republicans have already set state records for low water marks by a sitting GOP U.S. Senator in a primary election - after just eight contests

Lindsey Graham Gets Into the Record Books

The two-term incumbent sets a new low water mark in primary voter support for a Republican U.S. Senator from South Carolina.

Lindsey Graham and the Half-Dozen Would-Be Kingslayers

No U.S. Senator in South Carolina history has inspired so many primary challengers as the two-term Republican incumbent this cycle.

Ernst Surges After History-Making Primary Win

Ernst is in a dead heat with Bruce Braley on the heels of setting the mark for the largest victory by a non-incumbent in a contested Iowa Republican U.S. Senate primary.

McDaniel vs Cochran 2nd Most Competitive US Senate Primary in Mississippi History

The 2014 Mississippi Republican U.S. Senate primary is one of just two in state history decided by less than one point by either party.

Ernst Eyes Outright Primary Victory in Iowa GOP US Senate Race

Only one out of 68 Democratic and Republican U.S. Senate primaries has gone to a special nominating convention in Hawkeye State history.

Will Michigan Split Its Ticket This November?

In one out of every three cycles for the past century the Wolverine State has split its vote for governor and U.S. Senator.

Is a Rough Road Ahead for David Perdue?

Only one of eight run-off bound first place primary finishers in a Georgia U.S. Senate race went on to win the seat; Perdue is also coming off the lowest ever first place finish by either party in Georgia U.S. Senate primary history.

McConnell Records Weakest Kentucky US Senate Incumbent Primary Victory in 75+ Years

McConnell wins the lowest percentage of the primary vote among the last 22 Kentucky U.S. Senators vying for a renomination bid dating back to 1938.

Will the Number of Female US Senators Drop After 2014?

The number of women in the chamber has remained stable or increased in every cycle since the late 1970s.

North Carolina GOP Eyes 2nd Ever US Senate Primary Runoff

A record number of GOP U.S. Senate candidates could drag Thom Tillis into the party's second runoff in history; the last five North Carolina Democratic and GOP run-off victors lost the general election.

Crowded 2014 South Dakota US Senate Field Ties State Records

This cycle finds the Mount Rushmore State equaling historical marks for the most U.S. Senate candidates qualifying for the ballot as well as the most Republicans (or candidates from any party) in a primary race.

Choices, Choices: South Dakota Voters Get Rare Options in 2014 US Senate Race

It has been more than 80 years since South Dakotans had so many candidates from which to choose in a U.S. Senate election.

Which 1-Term US Senator Will Fall in 2014?

First-term Senators account for more than half of all defeated incumbents over the last century; at least one 1-term U.S. Senator has lost reelection in all but four of the 50 election cycles in the direct election era.

Will Kathleen Sebelius Seek a Rare Political Trifecta?

Sebelius could become the first woman to serve as governor, U.S. Senator, and cabinet head, and just the ninth individual to do so during the last 100+ years.

Will Montana Split Its Congressional Ballot Again in 2014?

Only two of 27 states have split their vote for U.S. Senate and at-large U.S. House seats in a majority of elections over the last century: Montana (78 percent of the time) and South Dakota (60 percent).

Which States Are Bellwethers for Partisan Control of the US Senate?

Two states - Rhode Island and Nevada - have elected U.S. Senators into the majority party of the subsequent Congress 75+ percent of the time over the last 100 years; Virginia has done so in each of the last six elections.



Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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