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U.S. Senate


Which US Senate Seats Will Flip in 2014? A Survey of Media Rankings

Media election forecasters can only agree on one slot of the Top 12 U.S. Senate seats most likely to change control after the November elections.

Inhofe Eyes Record-Breaking Election Win in 2014

The senior senator from Oklahoma is looking to win a record fifth U.S. Senate election this fall and would become the longest-serving member in the chamber from the Sooner State mid-way through his next term.

Republican US Senators Hitting Historic Lows in Primaries

Four Republicans have already set state records for low water marks by a sitting GOP U.S. Senator in a primary election - after just eight contests

Lindsey Graham Gets Into the Record Books

The two-term incumbent sets a new low water mark in primary voter support for a Republican U.S. Senator from South Carolina.

Lindsey Graham and the Half-Dozen Would-Be Kingslayers

No U.S. Senator in South Carolina history has inspired so many primary challengers as the two-term Republican incumbent this cycle.

Ernst Surges After History-Making Primary Win

Ernst is in a dead heat with Bruce Braley on the heels of setting the mark for the largest victory by a non-incumbent in a contested Iowa Republican U.S. Senate primary.

McDaniel vs Cochran 2nd Most Competitive US Senate Primary in Mississippi History

The 2014 Mississippi Republican U.S. Senate primary is one of just two in state history decided by less than one point by either party.

Ernst Eyes Outright Primary Victory in Iowa GOP US Senate Race

Only one out of 68 Democratic and Republican U.S. Senate primaries has gone to a special nominating convention in Hawkeye State history.

Will Michigan Split Its Ticket This November?

In one out of every three cycles for the past century the Wolverine State has split its vote for governor and U.S. Senator.

Is a Rough Road Ahead for David Perdue?

Only one of eight run-off bound first place primary finishers in a Georgia U.S. Senate race went on to win the seat; Perdue is also coming off the lowest ever first place finish by either party in Georgia U.S. Senate primary history.

McConnell Records Weakest Kentucky US Senate Incumbent Primary Victory in 75+ Years

McConnell wins the lowest percentage of the primary vote among the last 22 Kentucky U.S. Senators vying for a renomination bid dating back to 1938.

Will the Number of Female US Senators Drop After 2014?

The number of women in the chamber has remained stable or increased in every cycle since the late 1970s.

North Carolina GOP Eyes 2nd Ever US Senate Primary Runoff

A record number of GOP U.S. Senate candidates could drag Thom Tillis into the party's second runoff in history; the last five North Carolina Democratic and GOP run-off victors lost the general election.

Crowded 2014 South Dakota US Senate Field Ties State Records

This cycle finds the Mount Rushmore State equaling historical marks for the most U.S. Senate candidates qualifying for the ballot as well as the most Republicans (or candidates from any party) in a primary race.

Choices, Choices: South Dakota Voters Get Rare Options in 2014 US Senate Race

It has been more than 80 years since South Dakotans had so many candidates from which to choose in a U.S. Senate election.

Which 1-Term US Senator Will Fall in 2014?

First-term Senators account for more than half of all defeated incumbents over the last century; at least one 1-term U.S. Senator has lost reelection in all but four of the 50 election cycles in the direct election era.

Will Kathleen Sebelius Seek a Rare Political Trifecta?

Sebelius could become the first woman to serve as governor, U.S. Senator, and cabinet head, and just the ninth individual to do so during the last 100+ years.

Will Montana Split Its Congressional Ballot Again in 2014?

Only two of 27 states have split their vote for U.S. Senate and at-large U.S. House seats in a majority of elections over the last century: Montana (78 percent of the time) and South Dakota (60 percent).

Which States Are Bellwethers for Partisan Control of the US Senate?

Two states - Rhode Island and Nevada - have elected U.S. Senators into the majority party of the subsequent Congress 75+ percent of the time over the last 100 years; Virginia has done so in each of the last six elections.

Cornyn Records Weakest Ever Primary Win for Texas GOP US Senator

He may have cruised to a 40-point win, but the two-term Republican incumbent was still less than 10 points from a runoff while recording the worst ever primary performance by a Texas Republican Senator.



Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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