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U.S. Senate


Why Jon Tester Can Survive an Obama Loss in Montana in 2012

Montana leads the nation in producing victorious Democratic Senate nominees in the face of Republicans carrying the state's Electoral College votes

Dean Heller Takes Narrow Historical Pathway to Nevada U.S. Senate Seat

Only four of Nevada's 24 Senators had a prior tenure in U.S. House; 75 percent of Senate bids by Nevada U.S. Representatives have failed since WWII

Tim Kaine in 2012 and Virginia's (Sometimes Sticky) New Revolving Door from Richmond to D.C.

Kaine campaign would mean seven of the last 10 Virginia ex-governors launched U.S. Senate bids, including each of the last five

Klobuchar-Franken Moving Up the List of Oldest U.S. Senate Delegations in Minnesota History

DFL duo will be the ninth oldest delegation from Gopher State at the end of Klobuchar's term in 2013 out of 42 pairings since statehood

Herb Kohl FEC Filings Do Not Tip Hand as to 2012 Election Plans

Kohl's end of the year cash on hand amounts have been pretty low throughout the decade

Ensign Departure Still Leaves Big Opportunity for Democrats in 2012 Nevada Senate Race

Partisan control has flipped in every open general election Nevada U.S. Senate race since first popular vote contest in 1908

Strange Bedfellows: The Curious Case of Chuck Grassley and Tom Harkin

Iowa U.S. Senatorial duo have now served side-by-side for the third longest period in U.S. Senate history for state delegation members of different political parties

Which States Have the Longest-Serving US Senate Delegations?

Hawaii and Iowa lead the pack with battleground states littering the Bottom 10; Daniel Inouye's 48+ years of service is equal to 33 other Senators combined

Rehberg Would Make GOP History by Defeating Tester in MT US Senate Race

Sitting at-large representatives have unseated U.S Senators just 17 percent of the time over the last 100 years - a feat never accomplished by a Republican

No GOP Challenger Yet For Amy Klobuchar? No Problem

No eventual major party nominee over the last four Minnesota U.S. Senate elections had announced their candidacy at this point in the election cycle

George Allen Attempts Historical Rarity in 2012 U.S. Senate Bid

Only 11 U.S. Senators have been elected to two interrupted full terms over the last 100 years, and just 5 did so after losing a reelection bid in between

Which States Produce the Most U.S. Senators?

Over the last 100 years Ohio, New York, and Missouri have given birth to the most Senators, while Ohio, Vermont and Mississippi boast the largest percentage of home-born Senators

Is Democratic Hold on Wisconsin's 2012 U.S. Senate Seat Tied to an Obama Victory?

Badger State has voted for same party of U.S. Senate and Presidential nominees in 14 of 16 election cycles over the last century

More Likely 2012 US Senate Scenario: Connecticut to the GOP or North Dakota to the Dems?

Connecticut has never voted for a Republican U.S. Senator and a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle

Could Republicans Sweep the Midwest in US Senate Races Again in 2012?

GOP won nine Senate seats in the region last November for the first time since 1920

What's in a Name? From Abraham to Zell, 100 Years of U.S. Senators

John, William, and James are the most common of the 313 different first names used by the more than 875 Senators elected or appointed during the last 100 years; trending: Mark and Mike

Which U.S. Senate Seats Have Had the Most Partisan Turnover?

Six seats up for election in 2012 rank in the top 10 for the most frequent change in party control since the introduction of popular vote elections, including Sherrod Brown's (OH), Claire McCaskill's (MO), and Joe Lieberman's (CT)

Could Russ Feingold Win Herb Kohl's U.S. Senate Seat in 2012?

Nineteen U.S. Senators have served both U.S. Senate seats from their state over the past 100 years including ten who (like Feingold) were previously voted out of office

History Gives Klobuchar a 2 in 3 Chance to Win Reelection in 2012

10 of 15 freshmen Minnesota U.S. Senators have won reelection to a second term since popular vote contests began 100 years ago

Murkowski Wins More Votes Than All Statewide Write-in Candidates in Alaska History Combined

Only 94,926 Alaskans had cast their ballot for statewide write-in candidates over the previous 52 years; Murkowski eclipses 100,000



Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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