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U.S. Senate


When Will Wyoming Elect a Democrat to D.C.?

The Equality State has not been represented by a Democrat on Capitol Hill for 11,925 days and counting (32+ years).

Shays to Seek Connecticut US Senate Seat Despite Narrow Historical Pathway

Only two former U.S. Representatives have been popularly elected to the U.S. Senate in Connecticut; neither won their first Senate race.

GOP Aims to Hold All North Dakota Seats on Capitol Hill for 1st Time in Over 50 Years

Republicans last held all of North Dakota's U.S. Senate and House seats in January 1959.

Pawlenty Defeats Klobuchar? Don't Hold Your Breath

Sitting or former Minnesota governors have lost 11 of 12 U.S. Senate campaigns since popular vote elections were introduced 100 years ago.

Could Amy Klobuchar Win 60 percent of the Vote in 2012?

Only two Democratic Senate candidates in Minnesota have ever reached the 60 percent mark in state history.

'The Hill' Finds Republicans Beautiful

GOPers dominate Democrats 27 to 16 on the annual '50 Most Beautiful' list after Democrats held a 111-70 advantage over the four previous years.

Old Guard 2012 US Senate Incumbent Fundraising Down Millions from 2006

Contributions have dropped more than $6 million in real dollars among the nine 2+ term Senators on the ballot in 2012; almost all among Democrats.

Minnesota 2012 US Senate Race Fundraising Down 65 Percent from 2008

Nearly $7 million more dollars had been raised at this stage of the 2008 campaign.

Hoekstra Challenge in Michigan U.S. Senate Race Faces Long Historical Odds

It has been over 150 years since an ex-U.S. Representative won a Senate seat in Michigan.

Tim Kaine's Ball and Chain: His DNC Past

Only one party chair has successfully entered or reentered political office by winning a U.S. Senate seat in the last 100 years.

Will Any Century-Long Streaks End in 2012 U.S. Senate Races?

More than a dozen states have never popularly elected a GOP Senator while voting for a Democratic presidential nominee in the same cycle; will any break with tradition in 2012?

U.S. Senate Eyes First Session During 4th of July Holiday Since Watergate

The last time Congress did not take a July 4th recess was in 1974 in the midst of President Richard Nixon's last days in office at the climax of the Watergate scandal.

Gillibrand Scores Biggest Fundraising Surge Among 2012 U.S. Senate Incumbents

New York junior Senator jumps from #17 to #5 for cash on hand among 2012 U.S. Senate incumbents last quarter.

Could Tommy Thompson Win Wisconsin's U.S. Senate Seat?

No ex- (non-sitting) Wisconsin governor has ever been elected to a 1st term in the U.S. Senate

Joe Donnelly Tries to Pull a Quayle

Only one sitting U.S. House member has won a Senate race from Indiana since popular vote elections were introduced: Dan Quayle

Ensign Is First Nevada Senator to Resign Before Election Day

Ensign is one of just two Senators in Nevada history to resign from office before the end of his term, and the only one to do so for more than technical, procedural reasons

Which States Have the Most Split-Ticket Voting in Presidential-U.S. Senate Election Cycles?

Montana is the only state in the nation to split its presidential-U.S. Senate ticket in a majority of elections

2012 U.S. Senate Incumbent Cash on Hand Rankings

Most "safe" incumbents lagging behind the pack in cash on hand through 2010

Connie Mack Faces Long Historical Odds in Launching Florida U.S. Senate Bid

Only 2 of 14 Florida U.S. Representatives have notched winning U.S. Senate campaigns since 1970 (14 percent), and just 4 of 17 over the last 100 years

Could Dianne Feinstein Lose Her U.S. Senate Seat in 2012?

Feinstein's approval rating has dropped steadily since 2006



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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