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Governorships


Smart Politics Projections: Gubernatorial Races

Nail-biters abound in several of the nation's 37 gubernatorial contests, with third-party watchers glued to the elections in Rhode Island and Colorado

Dan Maes Poised to Set Record Low for GOP in Colorado Gubernatorial Election History

Tom Tancredo looks to land the best third party showing in Colorado since the 1890s

Emmer Defeat During GOP Wave Would End Nearly 100-Year Trend in Minnesota Gubernatorial Elections

Minnesota has elected a GOP governor during every Republican wave dating back to 1916

Fun Facts about Minnesota's Gubernatorial Race

Many Gopher State records could be set or tied during another barn burner of a gubernatorial election in 2010

Gubernatorial Horserace Polling Down Slightly from 2006, Rasmussen Dominates the Field

Polling up substantially in New York and Nevada but down big in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Maryland

Democrats on the Verge of Historic Collapse in Iowa Governor's Race

Culver on pace to produce biggest cycle-to-cycle decline in Iowa Democratic gubernatorial vote in state history

Pollster Interest in Minnesota Gubernatorial Race Only Up Slightly from 2006

Modest uptick in polling at this point in the campaign is a bit curious considering 2010 is an open-seat race with three viable candidates

Tom Emmer: Running for Governor, Not Sheriff

Emmer strikes moderate, cooperative tone in education speech at University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute

Mark Dayton on Tax Policy: "I Didn't Start the War"

DFL gubernatorial candidate launches 16 attacks against his 2010 rivals' tax and budget plans and outgoing Pawlenty administration in hour long U of MN event

History Says Barrett Win in Wisconsin Governor's Race Hinges on Feingold Victory

Democrats have never won a gubernatorial election in Wisconsin when they have lost their U.S. Senate race

Which States Host the Most Competitive Gubernatorial Elections?

New Mexico, Alaska, and Indiana have provided the tightest gubernatorial races in the nation since 1900; over the last three decades: Mississippi, Illinois, and Virginia

Will the Defeat of Handel and Anderson Kelliher Dash 'Year of the Woman' Prospects?

Female gubernatorial candidates still on track to break records for total number of nominees on the ballot and elections won in 2010, despite set-backs in Minnesota and Georgia

Dayton Eyes Minnesota History as Gubernatorial Campaign Moves Forward

Election of Dayton to a third statewide office this November would set multiple Minnesota electoral records

Is Winning a Contested Primary in Minnesota a Path to General Election Success?

Many DFLers since 2000 who won less than 2/3 of the primary vote in statewide elections went on to win in November

You Say You Want a Revolution? Third Party Gubernatorial Candidates Thriving in 2010

Third party gubernatorial candidates rivaling 1994 for their best showing since the Great Depression

Can the DFL Win Minnesota's Governorship in the Face of a GOP Sweep of its Upper Midwestern Neighbors?

Democrats have won gubernatorial elections in Minnesota only four times since statehood without also holding one of its neighboring four states; last time was 1954

Emmer's Statewide Support Still Ahead of Pawlenty's 2002 Pace

Pawlenty did not poll at 30 percent until mid-October 2002 before winning first term

Is Tim Pawlenty Running for a 3rd Term?

DFL gubernatorial candidate TV ads target outgoing governor eight times more than attacks on GOP endorsee Tom Emmer

Face Time: DFL Gubernatorial Candidate Communication Strategies in TV Ads

Anderson Kelliher delivers more face time in ads than other candidates; Dayton utilizes more voice-over artists

Republican Party Poised to Win Most Gubernatorial Seats in 90 Years

Republicans on pace to eclipse the 24 seats won in 1928, 1966, and the Republican Revolution of 1994

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Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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