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Governorships


Will Minnesotans Elect a Plurality-Winning Governor for a 4th Straight Cycle?

Only one other state has elected plurality-winning governors into office four times in a row since World War II (Alaska); Minnesota has not done so in 114 years

That Was Then, This Is Now: What (Political) Life Looked Like the Last Time Minnesota Elected a DFLer Governor

Do you remember when the cost of a postage stamp was 22 cents?

Is Military Experience No Longer Valued in Minnesota Gubernatorial Elections?

Prior to Tim Pawlenty, 10 of the previous 14 Minnesota governors had military service; Minnesotans elected veterans in 16 of 19 gubernatorial elections from 1944-1998

Out with the Old and In with the Older: Ex-Governors Have Historically Good Odds in Comeback Bids

Former governors have won 63 percent of open races in comeback campaigns and 57 percent overall since WWII; five ex-governors to be on the ballot in 2010

Remembering the Historic Gubernatorial Class of 2002

25 candidates were elected governor for the first time in 2002, the largest number since WWII; record could be eclipsed in 2010

How Does Tim Pawlenty Rank in the Gubernatorial Class of 2002 on Jobs?

Minnesota Governor has presided over 64.4 percent increase in unemployment, slightly better than his gubernatorial Class of '02 as well as the national average

Long Legislative Service Not a Prescription for Gubernatorial Electoral Success in Minnesota

Only one Minnesota Governor since statehood has spent as much time in the legislature as 2010 DFL candidates Margaret Anderson Kelliher and Matt Entenza

Will Voter ID Issue Turn Conservative Democrats Into 'Emmercrats' in MN Gubernatorial Race?

Emmer continues to highlight voter ID as core issue to 2010 campaign; popular issue may be the lure to get conservative Democrats onto his coalition's hook

Will Margaret Anderson Kelliher Break the Upper Midwestern Glass Ceiling?

Just 17 women have appeared on the gubernatorial ballot in 257 elections across Minnesota, Iowa, South Dakota, and Wisconsin; only 2 from major political parties

How High Will the GOP (Tidal) Wave Be When It Hits Minnesota in November?

All signs point to GOP momentum in states across each of Minnesota's borders

Will Minnesotans Elect a Catholic Governor in 2010?

Only one Catholic has ever been elected Governor in Minnesota history; Seifert, Emmer, Kelliher, Rukavina, Thissen among 2010 Catholic gubernatorial candidates

Will Minnesotans Elect Another Lawyer to the Governor's Mansion in 2010?

Pawlenty was first Gopher State Governor elected with a law degree since 1974; from 1910-1974, 90 percent of elected governors had a legal education

Will the DFL Cancel Minnesota's Membership to the 'Lonely Republican Governors Club' in 2010?

Minnesota could emerge from Election 2010 as one of just two states in the nation with a Republican governor and Democratic-led delegations to the U.S. Senate, U.S. House, State Senate, and State House

Tim Pawlenty Job Approval Rating Hits All-Time Low

Analysis of over 70 polls since 2003 finds Pawlenty's current job approval rating lowest in 7+ years in office

Pawlenty Prepares Veto #101 for Health Care Bill

Governor begins 8th year in office with 100 vetoes under his belt and a policy agenda undaunted by large DFL legislative majorities

A Content Analysis of Governor Pawlenty's 2010 State of the State Address

Governor's focus on jobs in speech up more than threefold from 2009 Address despite yearly drop in unemployment

Pawlenty Proposal to Get Tough on Sex Offenders Likely to Have Huge Public Support

Previous polling suggests Minnesota residents back various tougher penalties on sex offenders by greater than 3:1 margins

Why Minnesota Democrats Should Be Thankful Tim Pawlenty Is Not Running for Reelection

Republican gubernatorial incumbents in Minnesota have won 93 percent of reelection defenses since statehood (25 of 27), while losing 70 percent of open seat contests over the past century

Minnesota GOP Caucus Gubernatorial Straw Poll Voter Turnout Up Over 20 Percent from 2002

Despite the characterization that caucus night was a quiet night for Republicans in some media reports, GOP turnout nonetheless increased by more than 20 percent since the last time the party was searching for its gubernatorial nominee back in 2002

To the 'Losers' of the 2010 Minnesota Gubernatorial Straw Polls...

Tim Pawlenty, finished in 2nd place out of 3 candidates in the 2002 Republican gubernatorial straw poll

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Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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