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Remember When? Bachmann Once Led the Cheers for Ron Paul 2012 Candidacy

Less than two years ago, Bachmann was Paul's opening act and applauded his prospective 2012 candidacy; on Monday the two U.S. Representatives share the New Hampshire stage as equals.

Apologygate: Could Joe Barton Lose His U.S. House Seat?

Barton has enjoyed a 39-point average margin of victory since 1984

U.S. Military Service in the U.S. House of Representatives

GOP caucus has 60 percent higher rate of service than Democratic caucus; 17 state delegations have no members with military background

The Top 50 Most Competitive U.S. House Districts in the Nation (2002-2008)

Jim Gerlach's PA-06 seat is the only U.S. House district in the nation decided by less than 10 points in each of the last four election cycles; Democrats currently hold 35 of the Top 50 most competitive seats

Live Blog: Texas Caucuses

11:40 p.m. A total of 67 delegates are tied to the Democratic caucuses in Texas tonight. Returns are just starting to trickle in. Obama has won 11 of 13 caucus contests to date. 11:42 p.m. Democratic (5% reporting) Obama = 56% Clinton = 44% 12:19 a.m. Democratic (13% reporting) Obama...

Live Blog: Texas Primary

7:09 p.m. On the Democratic side 126 delegates are tied to Texas' primary while another 67 delegates are tied to the Texas Democratic caucuses - also held tonight. 8:05 p.m. CNN, NBC News, and Fox News characterize the Democratic race in Texas as 'too close to call,' and call the...

Pollsters Do Not Inspire Confidence On the Eve of OH, TX Primaries

As even the casual political bystander has learned during the past two months of the primary season, the influx of political polling in Campaign 2008 has given pollsters more and more opportunities...to miss the mark. New Hampshire and California have been the two biggest black eyes on survey research firms...

Poll Roundup: The March 4th Primaries (Democrats)

With less than 72 hours before polls close in four primary states on Tuesday, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton appear to be headed for a draw. With Obama leading in the delegate count, a draw would continue his path to the Democratic nomination. However, if Clinton wins 2 states and/or...



Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


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