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Redistricting


Time for a Change: Turnover in Wisconsin's US House Seats in 2014?

More than 1 in 5 Wisconsin U.S. House seats have flipped in cycles ending in '4' (one full cycle after redistricting).

Democracy in Action: Major Party Competition in US House Elections

Indiana has placed Democratic and Republican candidates on the ballot in a nation-best 180 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana all tallying 100 or more.

Michigan Democrats' Gerrymandering Problem at Historic Level

In 2012, Michigan tied a state record by electing the lowest rate of U.S. Representatives by a major party whilst simultaneously casting its electoral votes for that party's presidential nominee across the 45 presidential election cycles since statehood.

Ohio: Gerrymandering 1, Obama Coattails 0

With only four Democratic U.S. Representatives elected from Ohio in 2012, the Buckeye State is sending the smallest number and percentage of allies of a newly-elected president to D.C. in state history.

Minnesota Eyes Most Competitive US House Races Since 1994

The last time three Gopher State congressional races were decided by single digits was during the Republican Revolution.

Will Iowa Republicans Lose Every US House Seat for the First Time in History?

Republicans have won at least one U.S. House seat from the Hawkeye State since 1856.

Bachmann Blasts "Liberal Courts" Over "Injustice" and "Biased" New Map

The congresswoman sends a message to supporters seeking to raise money in light of being out-districted in 2012.

Will New Redistricting Map Bring Minnesota More Competitive US House Races?

History says no: Gopher State elections in redistricting years ending in '2' have been the second least competitive, behind only years ending in '6'

Kucinich Flirtation with Washington Yields Modest Fundraising Boost from Evergreen State

The State of Washington ranks fifth in large donor contributions (and eighth per capita) to Kucinich's 2012 reelection campaign.

Will the DFL Compete in All Eight Minnesota U.S. House Races?

The DFL has landed a candidate on the ballot in every Gopher State U.S. House race since the merger in 1944, spanning 283 consecutive contests.

Can Massachusetts GOP End Its 88 US House Seat Pick-Up Drought in Frank's Open 4th CD?

Bay State Republicans have the second biggest dry spell in the nation and have picked off just 2 of 284 Democratic U.S. House seats since 1944.

Significant Partisan Shift Likely in 2012 US House Races

Redistricting cycles have seen the greatest net partisan advantage change in the US House over the last 100 years compared to election years ending in 0, 4, 6, or 8.

History Says Wisconsin's Freshmen GOP U.S. House Members Will be Safe in 2012

It has been 100 years since the last Wisconsin House freshman lost in a redistricting cycle

King vs. Latham Matchup Would Be 1 in 100 Event in Iowa GOP Politics

Only 1 pair of 101 Republican U.S. Representatives serving in a redistricting cycle has squared off in a renomination battle in Iowa history

Could Walker Have Used Redistricting as a Stick to Keep Wisconsin Senate Democrats in Madison?

Would Senate Democrats have left the state in the first instance if they knew Wisconsin's new legislative and congressional district maps could be created and voted on without any of their input?

Wisconsin Closes 3rd Least Competitive Congressional Redistricting Period in State History

Average margin of victory in Wisconsin's U.S. House races since 2002 is 37.4 points - eclipsed by only two other redistricting periods

Event Highlights Redistricting from National, State, and Local Political Perspectives

Should Minnesota reduce its number of state legislative districts?

Redistricting Historically Fails to Make Minnesota U.S. Representatives Vulnerable

Only 10 Representatives from Minnesota's Congressional Districts have been defeated after redistricting in election years ending in '2' since statehood

Has Gerrymandering Lost Its Punch?

Current redistricting period has produced the closest relationship between votes received and seats won by party across the nation's 435 U.S. House districts since the 1940s

Is the Democratic Party 'Overrepresented' in the U.S. House?

Democratic candidates have won 772 more U.S. House seats since 1942 than their cumulative 'proportional vote share,' or 23 seats per election cycle; +27 seats in 2008

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Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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