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Smart Politics Scorecard, Part II: State Legislative Roundup

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The Democratic party scored big wins across Upper Midwest state legislatures on Tuesday night. As projected here at Smart Politics, the Democrats picked up seats in all 8 chambers and took control of three of them: the Iowa House, Wisconsin Senate, and Minnesota House. Some democratic pickups - particularly in Minnesota - were even larger than those projected here on Monday. A few state legislative races were very close, and will likely have recounts; below is a summary of the unofficial election returns.

Iowa House
Smart Politics projection: Democrats +5; Democrats win control of House.
Election results: Democrats +5; Democrats win control of House, 54-46.

Iowa Senate
Smart Politics projection: Democrats +3; Democrats maintain control of Senate.
Election results: Democrats +5; Democrats maintain control of Senate, 30-20.

Wisconsin Assembly
Smart Politics projection: Democrats +7; GOP retains control of Assembly.
Election results: Democrats +8; GOP retains control of Assembly, 52-47.

Wisconsin Senate
Smart Politics projection: Democrats +3; Democrats win control of Senate.
Election results: Democrats +4; Democrats win control of Senate, 18-15.

Minnesota House
Smart Politics projection: DFL +7; DFL wins control of House.
Election results: DFL +19; DFL wins control of House, 85-49.

Minnesota Senate
Smart Politics projection: DFL +2; DFL retains control of Senate.
Election results: DFL +6; DFL retains control of Senate, 44-23.

South Dakota House
Smart Politics projection: Democrats +4; GOP retains control of House.
Election results: Democrats +1; GOP retains control of House, 50-20.

South Dakota Senate
Smart Politics projection: Democrats +2; GOP retains control of Senate.
Election results: Democrats +5; GOP retains control of Senate, 20-15.

Previous post: The Day After: Smart Politics Scorecard, Part I
Next post: U.S. House: GOP Losses Could Have Been Far Worse

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Remains of the Data

Which States Have the Longest and Shortest Election Day Voting Hours?

Residents in some North Dakota towns have less than half as many hours to cast their ballots as those in New York State.

Political Crumbs

No 100-Year Curse for Roberts

Defeating his Tea Party primary challenger Milton Wolf with just 48.1 percent of the vote, Pat Roberts narrowly escaped becoming the first elected U.S. Senator from Kansas to lose a renomination bid in 100 years. The last - and so far only - elected U.S. Senator to lose a Kansas primary was one-term Republican Joseph Bristow in 1914. Bristow was defeated by former U.S. Senator Charles Curtis who went on to win three terms before becoming Herbert Hoover's running mate in 1928. Only one other U.S. Senator from the Sunflower State has lost a primary since the passage of the 17th Amendment: Sheila Frahm in 1996. Frahm was appointed to fill Bob Dole's seat earlier that year and finished 13.2 points behind Sam Brownback in the three-candidate primary field. Overall, incumbent senators from Kansas have won 29 times against two defeats in the direct vote era. (Curtis also lost a primary in 1912 to Walter Stubbs, one year before the nation moved to direct elections).


The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


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