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Edwards Support in Wisconsin at Half 2004 Level

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The first public opinion poll measuring support for 2008 presidential candidates in Wisconsin was released this week by Strategic Vision—a Republican research firm. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton was the favorite of 36 percent of the 800 likely voters polled, followed by Barack Obama at 21 percent.

Former Senator John Edwards , who ran a very strong campaign in the Badger State in 2004, polled at only 17 percent—or just half the level of support he received in the 2004 Wisconsin primary. In 2004, as Howard Dean's campaign went into a tailspin in late January and February of that year, Edwards was a large beneficiary in the movement of Dean supporters to other campaings; Edwards garnered a surprising 34 percent of the primary vote in Wisconsin and 24 delegates, just six behind John Kerry's 30 delegates. The fate of Edwards' 2008 presidential bid may not be determined by whether he can ultimately catch Hillary Clinton, but whether or not Al Gore decides to enter the race.

Wesley Clark and Dennis Kucinich are the only other Democratic candidates listed in this survey who were on the 2004 primary ballot in Wisconsin. Clark—who has not yet announced his candidacy—polled at 5 percent, more than twice the amount of support he received in 2004 in the Wisconsin primary (2 percent). Kucinich polled at just 1 percent in the Strategic Vision poll, less than the 3 percent he received in 2004 when he was one of the few Democratic candidates who spoke openly against the Iraq war (along with Howard Dean).

Democratic Wisconsinites overwhelmingly disapprove of Bush's handling of the Iraq War (71 to 21 percent), though only 34 percent believe Congressional Democrats have a better plan to resolve the conflict. Nearly half of the polling sample (49 percent) want Congress to deny funding to send additional troops to Iraq and a majority (57 percent) want a withdrawal of all troops from the country within six months.

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1 Comment


  • I encourage everyone to ignore all the polls for now since most can be one sided depending upon who takes them. Consider exit polls for the last two election that both showed a democrat win and that those specific polls have never in history been so wrong to see the opposite party win.

    Go with your gut feeling and don't be swayed on your vote because someone tells you "they are winning" as if you should run with the masses. If you look at history the 2008 winner will be a democrat; how, because since Kennedy the Republicians have smothered America both financially and under the war machines to only pass along their mess to the democrats usually 8 years later. Then it takes 2 years for fiscal irresponsability to unfold, the Republicians then can blame it on the Democrats and win back the white house 4 years later, to then rape America and us Americans again.

    Look into yourself for a poll, there it cannot be wrong. Don't let the poll makers/takers decide for you...

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

    The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

    Political Crumbs

    Seeing Red

    Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


    Home Field Advantage?

    When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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