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Smart Politics
 


May 2007


Clinton Regains Lead in New Iowa Poll

One month after John Edwards outpolled Hillary Clinton for the first time in American Research Group's (ARG) monthly survey of likely Iowa Democratic caucus voters, Clinton has once again pulled ahead of the former Vice Presidential nominee. Clinton had lead Edwards by 11 points in December 2006, 17 points...

McCain Leading in Clean Sweep of 3 Early Primary States

Despite lukewarm performances at the first two GOP debates and a national campaign that appears to be lagging well behind Rudy Giuliani, Arizona Senator John McCain continues to lead the Republican frontrunner in new polls released by American Research Group (ARG) in 3 key states: Iowa (caucus = January...

In Case You're Not Counting...

... there are just 7 months and 19 days until the Iowa Caucuses on Monday, January 14, 2008. That presumes, however, that the Iowa Caucuses are not moved up even further. For the state to maximize its influence on the 2008 presidential candidate selection process, it would like to distance...

Illegal Immigration Issue Hits Minnesota While Bill Moves Through Congress

As Congress attempts to push a controversial immigration bill through Capitol Hill, the issue of illegal immigration came to the forefront in Minnesota this week. More than two-dozen individuals in a prostitution ring were indicted on Monday by federal authorities after arrests made over the weekend. The indictment claims...

New Lows for Bush in Wisconsin and Iowa

President George W. Bush's job approval ratings have dipped to record lows in both Wisconsin and Iowa, according to the latest round of surveys released this month by the pollster SurveyUSA. In a poll of 600 adults conducted May 11-13, only 32 percent of Wisconsinites approved of Bush's performance—down...

And A Third Iowa Poll: Romney Breaks Out

The third poll of likely Iowa caucus voters released inside of a week solidifies Mitt Romney as the leader of the top-tier Republican presidential hopefuls in the influential Hawkeye State. Romney's support had increased noticeably in polls released by Zogby and KCCI-TV to move him into a statistical tie...

More Iowa Election Polling: Tight at the Top, Dems Leading GOP

A new KCCI-TV / Research 2000 poll of likely Iowa voters finds John McCain and Hillary Clinton edging out their respective party rivals, within the survey's margin of error. The survey, conducted May 14-16 (overlapping the May 14-15 field dates of the Zogby poll discussed at Smart Politics yesterday), finds...

Romney, Edwards Lead in Latest Zogby Iowa Poll

The latest Zogby survey of likely Iowa caucus voters finds two candidates who are running third (at best) in national polls each narrowly leading a tight pack of candidates in their respective party's race in the Hawkeye State. In a big surge, Mitt Romney—who has fared favorably in the...

Smart Politics Exclusive: Interview with House Minority Leader Marty Seifert

Smart Politics recently conducted an exclusive interview with Minnesota House Minority Leader Marty Seifert (District 21A). Seifert was first elected to the legislature in 1996, and has been a formidable, vocal opponent of the House DFL agenda, becoming a media favorite for his quick wit, consistent political message, and...

Minnesota House Gas Tax Increase In Step With Statewide Majority View

In the seven weeks since its initial House approval in late March, the DFL found 7 more votes in a bill passage earlier this week that would raise the state's gas tax by a nickel per gallon to a potential (though unlikely) veto-proof majority. In March, there were 4 DFL...

Coleman Maintains Large Leads Over DFL Challengers

A new Minnesota Public Radio poll of 625 registered voters finds Norm Coleman maintaining 20+ point leads over both Al Franken and Mike Ciresi—the leading contenders for the DFL U.S. Senate nomination. The new poll numbers are virtually identical to a poll taken of 632 registered voters by Survey...

Live Blogging: Senator Norm Coleman Event

9:45 a.m. Republican Senator Norm Coleman will be speaking on energy and politics at 10 am today at the Humphrey's Cowles Auditorium. Coleman's speech is entitled: "Building from the Center: Getting the Job Done on Renewable Energy." This is the 4th in a series of the Center for the Study...

Ramstad Petitions Bush to Find Iraq Solution

Republican Congressman Jim Ramstad (MN-03) joined 10 of his fellow GOP Congressmen in a meeting at the White House earlier this week to discuss the war in Iraq with President Bush along with members of his cabinet (Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates and Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice) and...

Smart Politics Live Blogging at Sen. Coleman Event

Smart Politics will be blogging live from the Humphrey Institute on Monday, May 14th, from 10:00 am to 11:15 am at Senator Norm Coleman's speech on renewable energy. The talk, sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance, is entitled "Building from the Center: Getting the Job...

Pawlenty Wins Minor Battle in Fight Against Illegal Immigration

The DFL dropped provisions from a higher education bill—passed by the House and Senate—that would have allowed children of illegal immigrants in Minnesota to qualify for in-state tuition. The inclusion of the so-called "DREAM Act" would assuredly have been met with a veto from Governor Tim Pawlenty. Pawlenty had...

Who Is Driving Upper Midwest Support of Edwards?

As discussed in the May 4th Smart Politics entry, John Edwards is faring much better than Hillary Clinton in head-to-head matchups against GOP frontrunner Rudy Giuliani across the nation, and in the Upper Midwest in particular (as measured by recent American Research Group polling). Edwards holds leads against Giuliani...

Edwards Emerges Giuliani's Strongest Opponent

Despite running third behind Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in every national poll to become the Democratic presidential nominee, John Edwards has emerged as the only candidate poised thus far to defeat leading GOP contender, Rudy Giuliani. Earlier this week, SurveyUSA released polls in 11 states of head-to-head candidate...

McCain Opens Up First Lead Over Giuliani in Iowa

Despite trailing Rudy Giuliani in most national polls by double digits, Arizona Senator and Republican presidential candidate John McCain has opened up his first lead over the former New York City mayor in the Hawkeye State, 26 to 19 percent (American Research Group, April 27-30). Two months ago, the...

Edwards Edges Clinton in Volatile Iowa Polling

For the first time in the five polls conducted monthly by American Research Group (ARG) since December 2006, John Edwards is now polling ahead of Hillary Clinton among likely Democratic caucus voters in Iowa. Edwards received 27 percent of support in the poll, conducted April 27-30, with Clinton coming...

Klobuchar & Coleman Still Get High Marks

Minnesota DFL Senator Amy Klobuchar continues to garner a strong approval rating—now four months into her tenure as junior senator from the Gopher State. The most recent SurveyUSA April poll found 58 percent of Minnesotans approve of her performance. Only 34 percent disapprove, which means most state residents have...