Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Romney, Edwards Lead in Latest Zogby Iowa Poll

Bookmark and Share

The latest Zogby survey of likely Iowa caucus voters finds two candidates who are running third (at best) in national polls each narrowly leading a tight pack of candidates in their respective party's race in the Hawkeye State.

In a big surge, Mitt Romney—who has fared favorably in the GOP debates thus far—garnered 19 percent of the support of likely Republican caucus voters, eclipsing Rudy Giuliani (18 percent) and John McCain (18 percent) - a lead well within the survey's margin of error. Romney trails Giuliani and McCain in all national polls.

Romney's numbers have virtually doubled in each of the three Zogby polls from mid-January (5 percent) to late March (11 percent) to mid-May (19 percent). McCain's support has remained steady—holding between 17 and 19 percent the Zogby polls, while Giuliani dropped 7 points in May from his 25 percent peak in March. Fred Thompson, who has not yet announced his candidacy, was not included in the Zogby poll. Former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson was a distant fourth at 4 percent.

John Edwards (26 percent) continues to lead the pack on the Democratic side of the ticket for the fourth consecutive Zogby poll. His two-point lead over Hillary Clinton (24 percent) is within the survey's margin of error. Edwards has maintained support between 24 and 27 percent in all four Zogby polls since January. Barack Obama garnered 22 percent in the new Zogby poll, with New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson in fourth at 6 percent. Edwards trails both Clinton and Obama in all national polls.

Previous post: Smart Politics Exclusive: Interview with House Minority Leader Marty Seifert
Next post: More Iowa Election Polling: Tight at the Top, Dems Leading GOP

1 Comment


  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

    At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

    Political Crumbs

    The Second Time Around

    Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


    How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

    Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting