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Bush Ratings Tumble To Record Lows in Iowa

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In what seems like a monthly tradition at Smart Politics comes the latest report of new record low job approval ratings for President George W. Bush in the Upper Midwest—this time in Iowa.

The latest SurveyUSA poll conducted July 13-15 of 600 adults in Iowa shows only 28 percent approve of Bush's performance as President, with a record 69 percent disapproving. Bush's approval rating has tumbled in Iowa from 43 percent in January 2006's SurveyUSA poll—and has never eclipsed 40 percent since. Two-thirds of Iowa Republicans still give Bush positive marks, but only 5 percent of Democrats and just a shade over one-quarter of independents (28 percent).

Bush's 29 percent approval rating in Minnesota ties a record low set last month in the Gopher State. Sixty-eight percent disapprove. In Wisconsin, where Bush has generally enjoyed slightly higher ratings than in Iowa and Minnesota, 35 percent approve of the President's job performance—the fifth lowest mark in the Badger State in SurveyUSA's 26 consecutive months tracking of public opinion.

Bush's marks are dropping almost across the board—even in red states like Kansas, where the President received 62 percent of the vote in the 2004 election, but now labors with a 37 percent approval rating, the second lowest recorded in that state by SurveyUSA.

Below is a complete listing of Bush's approval marks in the 15 states polled by SurveyUSA this month:

Alabama = 42%
Kentucky = 38%
Kansas = 37%
Missouri = 37%
Wisconsin = 35%
Virginia = 32%
Ohio = 31%
Oregon = 31%
New Mexico = 30%
Minnesota = 29%
Washington = 29%
Iowa = 28%
California = 25%
New York = 23%
Massachusetts = 19%

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Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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