Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Romney Again Leads GOP Iowa Caucus Hopefuls in New Poll

Bookmark and Share

Mitt Romney has solidified himself as the leader of the pack on the GOP side of the equation in the quest for Iowa caucus voters, as demonstrated by the latest monthly poll by American Research Group (ARG). Romney has the support of 25 percent of likely Republican caucus voters in the ARG survey conducted June 26-30—seven points more than Rudy Giuliani (18 percent) who has hit his lowest level of measured support in the seven polls conducted by ARG since December 2006.

Romney now leads in almost every major poll taken in Iowa since May including the Iowa Poll (Des Moines Register), Zogby, and Mason-Dixon. In the ARG poll, Romney's support has increased from 8 percent in February, to 10 percent in March, to 14 percent in April, to 16 percent in May, to 25 percent in late June. Romney's strategy to run television ads this early in the campaign in Upper Midwestern states like Iowa and Minnesota appears to be paying dividends.

Likely candidate Fred Thompson has been listed as a candidate in the ARG poll since March 2007, and now garners 14 percent of the support of likely GOP voters. John McCain comes in fourth at 13 percent—his lowest level in the seven months of ARG polling as well.

Former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson, who vows he must win the upcoming GOP Iowa Straw Poll to remain a serious presidential candidate, received 3 percent—tied for sixth with Kansas Senator Sam Brownback (both trailed non-candidate Newt Gingrich at 5 percent).

Previous post: The 'Nays' Have It: Upper Midwest Senate Delegation & Full Body Vote Against Immigration Bill
Next post: Clinton-Edwards Still in Dead Heat in Iowa

3 Comments


  • Where was Ron Paul in the poll?


  • Where was Ron Paul in the poll?

  • Paul received 1 percent - his first registered level of support in ARG's six surveys in 2007.

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

    Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

    Political Crumbs

    Evolving?

    When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


    73 Months and Counting

    January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting