Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Tancredo Yet to Effectively Leverage Immigration Issue In Iowa

Bookmark and Share

Colorado Congressman and Republican presidential candidate Tom Tancredo boasts traditional conservative credentials, but has made a name for himself in the U.S. House during the past decade primarily on a single issue: as a staunch advocate for border security and putting an end to illegal immigration – particularly along the southern border. Tancredo has also made immigration and national security the centerpiece for his presidential campaign.

Although a significant portion of the Iowa electorate agrees with the Tancredo position on immigration, he has yet to gain any ground in early polls measuring support of likely Republican caucus voters in the Hawkeye State. In the latest KCCI-TV / Research 2000 poll, Tancredo is in a four-way tie for sixth place, at 2 percent.

Tancredo has stated his support for deportation of illegal aliens – and many Iowans would support this measure. In a January 2007 Iowa Poll (Des Moines Register), 40 percent of Iowans preferred to deport illegal aliens, while 52 percent preferred to find a way for them to stay legally if they had jobs. A Rasmussen poll in April 2006 similarly found 39 percent of Iowans advocating the forcible deportation of illegal aliens, with 39 percent opposed to that measure.

Illegal immigration is also one of the most important problems in the eyes of Iowans. When asked whether their outlook on a dozen national issues was worrisome or optimistic, immigration ranked the third most worrisome, at 62 percent – behind only the war in Iraq (70 percent) and Social Security (67 percent). Iowans were more pessimistic about immigration policy than health care, foreign relations, moral values, the cost and availability of fuel, security from terrorism, the environment, education, the economy, and agricultural policy.

Tancredo’s challenge is to tap into these concerns among Iowans, and demonstrate to them he is the candidate best suited and committed to address the illegal immigration problem. Most Iowans still have not formed an opinion about Tancredo – likely a sign most have not heard of him or seen him speak. A mid-May 2007 Iowa Poll found 9 percent of all Iowans (Republicans, Democrats, and independents) had a favorable opinion of Tancredo, 27 percent had an unfavorable opinion, and 64 percent had not formed an opinion at all. Only Chicago businessman Ron Cox (77 percent, thus far not invited to participate in the GOP debates), California Congressman Duncan Hunter (75%), and Texas Congressman Ron Paul (73%) had a higher number of Iowans who had not yet formed an opinion of the candidate.

Previous post: Edwards and Romney Maintain Advantage in Iowa
Next post: New ARG Iowa Poll Finds Rudy & Hillary On Top

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Is There a Presidential Drag On Gubernatorial Elections?

Only five of the 20 presidents to serve since 1900 have seen their party win a majority of gubernatorial elections during their administrations, and only one since JFK.

Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting