Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Tancredo Yet to Effectively Leverage Immigration Issue In Iowa

Bookmark and Share

Colorado Congressman and Republican presidential candidate Tom Tancredo boasts traditional conservative credentials, but has made a name for himself in the U.S. House during the past decade primarily on a single issue: as a staunch advocate for border security and putting an end to illegal immigration – particularly along the southern border. Tancredo has also made immigration and national security the centerpiece for his presidential campaign.

Although a significant portion of the Iowa electorate agrees with the Tancredo position on immigration, he has yet to gain any ground in early polls measuring support of likely Republican caucus voters in the Hawkeye State. In the latest KCCI-TV / Research 2000 poll, Tancredo is in a four-way tie for sixth place, at 2 percent.

Tancredo has stated his support for deportation of illegal aliens – and many Iowans would support this measure. In a January 2007 Iowa Poll (Des Moines Register), 40 percent of Iowans preferred to deport illegal aliens, while 52 percent preferred to find a way for them to stay legally if they had jobs. A Rasmussen poll in April 2006 similarly found 39 percent of Iowans advocating the forcible deportation of illegal aliens, with 39 percent opposed to that measure.

Illegal immigration is also one of the most important problems in the eyes of Iowans. When asked whether their outlook on a dozen national issues was worrisome or optimistic, immigration ranked the third most worrisome, at 62 percent – behind only the war in Iraq (70 percent) and Social Security (67 percent). Iowans were more pessimistic about immigration policy than health care, foreign relations, moral values, the cost and availability of fuel, security from terrorism, the environment, education, the economy, and agricultural policy.

Tancredo’s challenge is to tap into these concerns among Iowans, and demonstrate to them he is the candidate best suited and committed to address the illegal immigration problem. Most Iowans still have not formed an opinion about Tancredo – likely a sign most have not heard of him or seen him speak. A mid-May 2007 Iowa Poll found 9 percent of all Iowans (Republicans, Democrats, and independents) had a favorable opinion of Tancredo, 27 percent had an unfavorable opinion, and 64 percent had not formed an opinion at all. Only Chicago businessman Ron Cox (77 percent, thus far not invited to participate in the GOP debates), California Congressman Duncan Hunter (75%), and Texas Congressman Ron Paul (73%) had a higher number of Iowans who had not yet formed an opinion of the candidate.

Previous post: Edwards and Romney Maintain Advantage in Iowa
Next post: New ARG Iowa Poll Finds Rudy & Hillary On Top

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Who Has Won the Most Votes in US Senate Electoral History?

Only three of the Top 10 and nine of the Top 50 vote-getters of all time are currently serving in the chamber.

Political Crumbs

Six for Thirteen

Collin Peterson remarked last month that he is leaning to run for reelection to Minnesota's 7th Congressional District in 2016. If he does and is victorious, he will creep even closer to the top of the list of the longest-serving U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history. The DFL congressman is only the sixth Minnesotan to win at least 13 terms to the U.S. House of the 135 elected to the chamber in state history. Peterson trails 18-term DFLer Jim Oberstar (1975-2011), 16-term Republicans Harold Knutson (1917-1949) and August Andresen (1925-1933; 1935-1958), and 14-term DFLers Martin Sabo (1979-2007) and John Blatnik (1947-1974). Andresen died in office, Sabo and Blatnik retired, and Knutson and Oberstar were defeated at the ballot box in 1948 and 2010 respectively. At 70 years, 7 months, 11 days through Monday, Peterson is currently the ninth oldest Gopher State U.S. Representative in history. DFLer Rick Nolan of the 8th CD is the seventh oldest at 71 years, 1 month, 23 days.


Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting