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Iowa Leaning Democratic for '08 Presidential Election

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A new poll conducted by the University of Iowa gives an insight into the inroads the Democratic Party may still be making—building off their success in the 2006 Election. A survey conducted July 29—August 5 of 907 registered voters asked an open-ended question of Iowans as to whom they would vote for president.

While a significant number (31 percent) were undecided, more than twice as many cited Democratic candidates (44 percent) than Republican candidates (17 percent). Several recent polls—national and statewide—have found Democratic voters to be much more satisfied with their candidates than Republicans with their field. In the University of Iowa survey, more than twice as many likely Republican caucus voters (27 percent) were unsatisfied with the field of candidates, compared to 11 percent for likely Democratic caucus voters.

In the open-ended presidential choice question, Hillary Clinton led the way with 18 percent, followed by Barack Obama with 14 percent. Mitt Romney and John Edwards received 9 percent, followed by Rudy Giuliani at percent.

But the big news coming out this week in Iowa is the possibility that the caucuses might have to move to December of 2007—more than a month ahead of the 2004 presidential election cycle. Iowa is feeling the pressure to move its caucuses before Christmas as a domino effect from Florida's controversial decision to hold its primary in the last week of January. That prompted South Carolina—normally the second primary in the nation, to move its primary date up in January, which forces New Hampshire to hold its first-in-the-nation primary even earlier in the month.

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1 Comment


  • i think this years elections are all messed up and i hope it does not screw over the miltary

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    Remains of the Data

    Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

    The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

    Political Crumbs

    Seeing Red

    Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


    Home Field Advantage?

    When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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