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Iowa Leaning Democratic for '08 Presidential Election

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A new poll conducted by the University of Iowa gives an insight into the inroads the Democratic Party may still be making—building off their success in the 2006 Election. A survey conducted July 29—August 5 of 907 registered voters asked an open-ended question of Iowans as to whom they would vote for president.

While a significant number (31 percent) were undecided, more than twice as many cited Democratic candidates (44 percent) than Republican candidates (17 percent). Several recent polls—national and statewide—have found Democratic voters to be much more satisfied with their candidates than Republicans with their field. In the University of Iowa survey, more than twice as many likely Republican caucus voters (27 percent) were unsatisfied with the field of candidates, compared to 11 percent for likely Democratic caucus voters.

In the open-ended presidential choice question, Hillary Clinton led the way with 18 percent, followed by Barack Obama with 14 percent. Mitt Romney and John Edwards received 9 percent, followed by Rudy Giuliani at percent.

But the big news coming out this week in Iowa is the possibility that the caucuses might have to move to December of 2007—more than a month ahead of the 2004 presidential election cycle. Iowa is feeling the pressure to move its caucuses before Christmas as a domino effect from Florida's controversial decision to hold its primary in the last week of January. That prompted South Carolina—normally the second primary in the nation, to move its primary date up in January, which forces New Hampshire to hold its first-in-the-nation primary even earlier in the month.

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  • i think this years elections are all messed up and i hope it does not screw over the miltary

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    Remains of the Data

    No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

    Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

    Political Crumbs

    Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

    Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


    An Idaho Six Pack

    Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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