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Iowa Leaning Democratic for '08 Presidential Election

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A new poll conducted by the University of Iowa gives an insight into the inroads the Democratic Party may still be making—building off their success in the 2006 Election. A survey conducted July 29—August 5 of 907 registered voters asked an open-ended question of Iowans as to whom they would vote for president.

While a significant number (31 percent) were undecided, more than twice as many cited Democratic candidates (44 percent) than Republican candidates (17 percent). Several recent polls—national and statewide—have found Democratic voters to be much more satisfied with their candidates than Republicans with their field. In the University of Iowa survey, more than twice as many likely Republican caucus voters (27 percent) were unsatisfied with the field of candidates, compared to 11 percent for likely Democratic caucus voters.

In the open-ended presidential choice question, Hillary Clinton led the way with 18 percent, followed by Barack Obama with 14 percent. Mitt Romney and John Edwards received 9 percent, followed by Rudy Giuliani at percent.

But the big news coming out this week in Iowa is the possibility that the caucuses might have to move to December of 2007—more than a month ahead of the 2004 presidential election cycle. Iowa is feeling the pressure to move its caucuses before Christmas as a domino effect from Florida's controversial decision to hold its primary in the last week of January. That prompted South Carolina—normally the second primary in the nation, to move its primary date up in January, which forces New Hampshire to hold its first-in-the-nation primary even earlier in the month.

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1 Comment


  • i think this years elections are all messed up and i hope it does not screw over the miltary

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    Remains of the Data

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    Political Crumbs

    Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

    Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


    Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

    Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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