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Mitt Romney Wins Iowa Straw Poll; Tommy Thompson and Duncan Hunter Fall Short

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Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney met expectations by easily winning the GOP Iowa Straw Poll on Saturday, garnering 31.5 percent of the vote. Romney was expected to win because of his strong showing in early scientific polls and due to the no-shows at the Straw Poll of three other top candidates: Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Fred Thompson. The Straw Poll is not scientific, as attendees must pay a fee to vote, though candidates publicly claim it to be a good measure of 'grassroots support.'

Romney, the other six Republican candidates, plus Illinois attorney John Cox (who has not been allowed to participate in any of the debates thus far) were each allowed to give 15 minute speeches to the Straw Poll attendees in Ames, Iowa.

Former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson came in just sixth place, winning 7.3 percent of the vote—far short of his own stated expectations. In the preceding weeks Thompson claimed he needed to finish in the top 2 at the Straw Poll to remain competitive heading into the fall. Despite the absence of Giuliani, McCain, and Fred Thompson, California Congressman Duncan Hunter only received the support of 1.2 percent of the attendees—approximately the same level of support he receives in scientific polling that does include those candidates.

Mike Huckabee (18.1 percent), Sam Brownback (15.3 percent), and Tom Tancredo (13.7 percent) all had strong showings that should keep them in the race well into the fall. Ron Paul (9.1 percent) had a raucous band of supporters, and his fifth place showing will not likely deter his campaign—Paul has proven to be one of the better fundraisers in the GOP field, despite polling in the low single digits in all scientific polls both nationally and in Iowa.

The key question in the coming weeks is whether or not the absence of Giuliani, Fred Thompson, and McCain at the Straw Poll will negatively impact their candidacies statewide, and, if so, whether Huckabee, Brownback, or Tancredo can capitalize and close the gap between themselves and the 'top tier.'

The final results of the 200y Iowa Straw Poll are:

Mitt Romney -- 4,516 votes (31.5%)
Mike Huckabee -- 2,587 votes (18.1%)
Sam Brownback -- 2,192 votes (15.3%)
Tom Tancredo -- 1,961 votes (13.7%)
Ron Paul -- 1,305 votes (9.1%)
Tommy Thompson -- 1,039 votes (7.3%)
Fred Thompson -- 203 votes (1.4%)
Rudy Giuliani -- 183 votes (1.3%)
Duncan Hunter -- 174 votes (1.2%)
John McCain -- 101 votes (1%)
John Cox -- 41 votes (0.1%)

14,302 total ballots were cast.

Previous post: Iowa Leaning Democratic for '08 Presidential Election
Next post: Tommy Thompson Ends Presidential Bid

2 Comments


  • Nevermind the 5 boys… Has ANYONE in the Romney family EVER served in the United States Military?

  • No idea about it

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

    The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

    Political Crumbs

    Seeing Red

    Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


    Home Field Advantage?

    When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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