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Zogby Poll: Clinton Surges to Top in Iowa

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For the first time in five Zogby polls of likely Democratic caucus voters conducted in Iowa this year, Hillary Clinton has moved into sole possession of first place. At 30 percent, Clinton's measured support is also the highest received by any Democratic candidate in Zogby's 2007 horserace polling in the Hawkeye State. Clinton also reached the 30 percent mark in American Research Group's survey three weeks ago.

John Edwards came in second at 23 percent. The former North Carolina Senator's base of support in Iowa is still strong, however; Zogby has measured his support between 23 and 27 percent in all five polls this year.

The telephone survey, taken August 17-19, found Barack Obama in third place with 19 percent and Bill Richardson in fourth with 10 percent. Richardson has now consistently reached the double-digit mark in almost all recent polls in Iowa.

Joe Biden came in fifth with 3 percent, followed by Dennis Kucinich at 1 percent. Neither Chris Dodd nor Mike Gravel received a measurable amount of support. Thirteen percent of likely Iowa caucus voters were not sure which Democratic candidate they would support at this time.

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Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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