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Early Signs Edwards Most Electable Democrat in Key Battleground States

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While Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama continue their 1-2 punch in all national polls and most state polls, John Edwards consistently fares the best among the Democratic field when matched up against the leading Republican contenders. This is especially the case in key battleground states.

In recent polling in Iowa (KCCI-TV), Ohio (Quinnipiac), and Pennsylvania (Quinnipiac), Hillary Clinton holds a lead in head-to-head matchups against Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson in all three states, by a combined sum of 85 points (+13 against Giuliani, +36 against Romney, and +36 against Thompson).

Barack Obama falls just short of that, leading in all matchups except against Giuliani in Pennyslvania. Overall, the Illinois Senator leads the three candidates by a combined sum of 80 points (+5 against Giuliani, +39 against Romney, and +36 against Thompson).

While Edwards is also in a dead heat against Giuliani in Pennsylvania (down by 2 points), he has significantly bigger leads overall, especially against Thompson and Romney. Edwards leads the three GOP candidates by the combined sum of 123 points (+14 against Giuliani, +55 against Romney, and +54 against Thompson).

During recent endorsements during the past week, key labor unions have stated they felt Edwards was the Democrat most likely to be successful in a general election campaign. His big early lead in polls against the Republicans in key battleground states seems to bolster the views of these labor groups.

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Remains of the Data

Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Political Crumbs

Evolving?

When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


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