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October 2007


The Huckabee Surge Is Real

Mike Huckabee's second place finish in the August 2007 Republican Iowa Straw Poll was largely dismissed at the time, due to the non-participation in the event by three of the leading GOP candidates—Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Fred Thompson (who hadn't yet announced his candidacy at that time). But...

U of IA Poll Stakes Romney To Biggest Campaign '08 Lead To Date

Mitt Romney has been leading the Republican field in Iowa for several months, but the latest University of Iowa poll has measured his lead at nearly three times that of his nearest competitor. Romney received the support of 36 percent of 282 likely Republican caucus voters, according to the poll,...

Clinton Rolls Over GOP in MN ; McCain Toughest Competitor

The latest match-up polls between Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and each of the top six Republican presidential hopefuls shows the U.S. Senator from New York with huge double-digit leads over all candidates except John McCain. The SurveyUSA poll of registered voters finds Clinton with big leads over national frontrunner Rudy...

Smart Politics Live Blog At Abortion Policy Event

7:00 p.m. Sarah Stoesz, President and CEO of Planned Parenthood Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota is the featured speaker at tonight's event. The launching pad for tonight's discussion of abortion policy is South Dakota's 2006 restrictions on abortion, passed by the GOP-dominated state legislature and supported by Republican Governor Mike...

Smart Politics Live Blogging At Abortion Policy Event

Smart Politics will be blogging live tonight at a program on abortion policy held from 7:00 to 8:30 p.m. in Cowles Auditorium at the Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs. From the Humphrey press release: "The South Dakota legislature and governor enacted in 2006 the nation's strictest restrictions on the right...

Gore More Competitive Than Clinton In IA

Despite campaigning for an entire year, Hillary Clinton does not fare as well against national Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani in Iowa, as compared to non-candidate and former Vice President Al Gore. In a head-to-head matchup poll of registered Iowa voters conducted October 12-14 by SurveyUSA, Clinton leads Giuliani by...

Senator Johnson to Run for 3rd Term In South Dakota

On Friday South Dakota senior Senator Tim Johnson confirmed what had been suspected for months: the 2-term Democratic incumbent will run for a 3rd term in 2008. Senator Johnson is extremely popular in his home state, and perhaps has gained greater favor among the electorate after his near fatal brain...

Romney and Clinton Remain On Top In Iowa

With 75 days until the Iowa Caucuses (at least the Republican Caucus), Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton remain atop their respective party's field in the race for president as measured by the first Rasmussen poll of Iowans (650 likely Republican caucus voters and 1,007 likely Democratic caucus voters; the poll...

IA Republican Party Sets Caucus Date of January 3rd

After much speculation Iowa would be forced to set its caucus dates as early as December 2007 due to the compressed primary schedule brought upon by the decisions of other states, Iowa's Republican Party has officially set its caucuses for Thursday, January 3rd. On Tuesday, the State Party announced it's...

Presidential Politics in Minnesota II: The Battleground State

Even though Democrats have carried the Gopher State in eight consecutive presidential elections dating back to 1976, and 16 of the past 19, Minnesota has rightfully earned its reputation as a purple battleground state when it comes to presidential politics. Despite the Democratic dominance, the margin of victory in presidential...

Presidential Politics in Minnesota: A Historical Overview

Since Minnesotans cast their first presidential ballots in 1860, nearly 1 million more votes have been marked for Democratic (Democrat + DFL) presidential nominees compared to votes for Republican nominees, out of more than 38.6 million votes cast across 37 presidential elections. However, a larger percentage of votes (based on...

Edwards, Brownback Campaigning in Iowa the Most

It has been said John Edwards' bid for the Democratic presidential nomination begins (and ends) in Iowa. Edwards is trailing Hillary Clinton in every national poll by at least 30 points and Barack Obama by about a dozen points. Edwards remains competitive in Iowa in part due to the frequent...

Clinton Unable To Pull Away from GOP in WI

A new survey of likely Wisconsin voters finds Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton in a dead heat against three of the top four Republican candidates. Even though Wisconsin has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1984, and even though George W. Bush has a current job approval rating of...

Latest IA Poll Shows No Change At the Top

Another survey of likely caucus voters in Iowa finds Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton in the lead once again. The new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll conducted October 1-3 measures Romney's support at 29 percent, virtually the same level measured back in the paper's last poll in May (30 percent)....

Iowa Democratic Caucus Time Capsule: October 2003

As Hillary Clinton continues to lead by a modest margin in most public polls in Iowa with the caucus three months away, a look back to polls in October 2003 reminds one of how quickly things can change just a few months before the caucuses. In the three public polls...

First MN Poll of Pres. Primary Matchups Released

The Star Tribune's Minnesota Poll has released the first public poll of Democratic and Republican primary matchups in the Gopher State. It should be noted that the poll, conducted from a sample of 802 adults from September 18-23, has a very large margin of error for the Democratic (MoE =...

Latest IA Poll: Clinton Continues to Lead, GOP Race Tightens

In American Research Group's (ARG) 10th consecutive monthly poll of likely Iowa caucus voters, Hillary Clinton leads the Democratic pack for the 9th time. Clinton reached the 30 percent support mark for the 8th time, good for a 6-point lead over Barack Obama. At 24 percent, this was the largest...