Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Clinton Rolls Over GOP in MN ; McCain Toughest Competitor

Bookmark and Share

The latest match-up polls between Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and each of the top six Republican presidential hopefuls shows the U.S. Senator from New York with huge double-digit leads over all candidates except John McCain.

The SurveyUSA poll of registered voters finds Clinton with big leads over national frontrunner Rudy Giuliani, southern frontrunner Fred Thompson, Iowa and New Hampshire frontrunner Mitt Romney, dark horse Mike Huckabee, and the most controversial candidate in the Republican field, Ron Paul:

Clinton 51%—Giuliani 40%
Clinton 57%—Thompson 37%
Clinton 57% - Romney 34%
Clinton 60% - Huckabee 30%
Clinton 61% - Paul 28%

Only Arizona Senator John McCain, who has experienced a resurgence in favorable media coverage since his September New Hampshire debate performance, is within shouting distance of the former First Lady in the Gopher State:
Clinton 50% - McCain 43%.

McCain, who is polling in third or fourth place in all national polls, fares the best against Clinton in match-up polls conducted by SurveyUSA in states across the country. In fact, Giuliani does not measure up more favorably than McCain in any of the ten states surveyed:

* In New Mexico, McCain leads Clinton by 7 points, with Giuliani up by just 1 point.
* In Kansas, McCain leads by 26 points, with Giuliani leading by 17 points.
* In Alabama, McCain is up 9 points over Clinton, with Giuliani up by 8 points.
* In Kentucky, McCain leads Clinton by 4 points, with Giuliani down by 2 points.
* In Washington, McCain is up by 1 point over Clinton, with Giuliani trailing by 7 points.
* In Ohio, McCain and Clinton are tied, with Giuliani trailing by 2 points.
* In Wisconsin, McCain is within 1 point of Clinton, with Giuliani 7 points behind.
* In Missouri, McCain trails by 3 points, with Giuliani 7 points back
* In Iowa, McCain and Giuliani both trail Clinton by 5 points.

This polling data contradicts the conventional wisdom that the Republican's safest bet to defeat Clinton is to nominate Giuliani.

Previous post: Smart Politics Live Blog At Abortion Policy Event
Next post: U of IA Poll Stakes Romney To Biggest Campaign '08 Lead To Date

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting