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Clinton Rolls Over GOP in MN ; McCain Toughest Competitor

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The latest match-up polls between Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and each of the top six Republican presidential hopefuls shows the U.S. Senator from New York with huge double-digit leads over all candidates except John McCain.

The SurveyUSA poll of registered voters finds Clinton with big leads over national frontrunner Rudy Giuliani, southern frontrunner Fred Thompson, Iowa and New Hampshire frontrunner Mitt Romney, dark horse Mike Huckabee, and the most controversial candidate in the Republican field, Ron Paul:

Clinton 51%—Giuliani 40%
Clinton 57%—Thompson 37%
Clinton 57% - Romney 34%
Clinton 60% - Huckabee 30%
Clinton 61% - Paul 28%

Only Arizona Senator John McCain, who has experienced a resurgence in favorable media coverage since his September New Hampshire debate performance, is within shouting distance of the former First Lady in the Gopher State:
Clinton 50% - McCain 43%.

McCain, who is polling in third or fourth place in all national polls, fares the best against Clinton in match-up polls conducted by SurveyUSA in states across the country. In fact, Giuliani does not measure up more favorably than McCain in any of the ten states surveyed:

* In New Mexico, McCain leads Clinton by 7 points, with Giuliani up by just 1 point.
* In Kansas, McCain leads by 26 points, with Giuliani leading by 17 points.
* In Alabama, McCain is up 9 points over Clinton, with Giuliani up by 8 points.
* In Kentucky, McCain leads Clinton by 4 points, with Giuliani down by 2 points.
* In Washington, McCain is up by 1 point over Clinton, with Giuliani trailing by 7 points.
* In Ohio, McCain and Clinton are tied, with Giuliani trailing by 2 points.
* In Wisconsin, McCain is within 1 point of Clinton, with Giuliani 7 points behind.
* In Missouri, McCain trails by 3 points, with Giuliani 7 points back
* In Iowa, McCain and Giuliani both trail Clinton by 5 points.

This polling data contradicts the conventional wisdom that the Republican's safest bet to defeat Clinton is to nominate Giuliani.

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Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


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