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Clinton Rolls Over GOP in MN ; McCain Toughest Competitor

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The latest match-up polls between Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and each of the top six Republican presidential hopefuls shows the U.S. Senator from New York with huge double-digit leads over all candidates except John McCain.

The SurveyUSA poll of registered voters finds Clinton with big leads over national frontrunner Rudy Giuliani, southern frontrunner Fred Thompson, Iowa and New Hampshire frontrunner Mitt Romney, dark horse Mike Huckabee, and the most controversial candidate in the Republican field, Ron Paul:

Clinton 51%—Giuliani 40%
Clinton 57%—Thompson 37%
Clinton 57% - Romney 34%
Clinton 60% - Huckabee 30%
Clinton 61% - Paul 28%

Only Arizona Senator John McCain, who has experienced a resurgence in favorable media coverage since his September New Hampshire debate performance, is within shouting distance of the former First Lady in the Gopher State:
Clinton 50% - McCain 43%.

McCain, who is polling in third or fourth place in all national polls, fares the best against Clinton in match-up polls conducted by SurveyUSA in states across the country. In fact, Giuliani does not measure up more favorably than McCain in any of the ten states surveyed:

* In New Mexico, McCain leads Clinton by 7 points, with Giuliani up by just 1 point.
* In Kansas, McCain leads by 26 points, with Giuliani leading by 17 points.
* In Alabama, McCain is up 9 points over Clinton, with Giuliani up by 8 points.
* In Kentucky, McCain leads Clinton by 4 points, with Giuliani down by 2 points.
* In Washington, McCain is up by 1 point over Clinton, with Giuliani trailing by 7 points.
* In Ohio, McCain and Clinton are tied, with Giuliani trailing by 2 points.
* In Wisconsin, McCain is within 1 point of Clinton, with Giuliani 7 points behind.
* In Missouri, McCain trails by 3 points, with Giuliani 7 points back
* In Iowa, McCain and Giuliani both trail Clinton by 5 points.

This polling data contradicts the conventional wisdom that the Republican's safest bet to defeat Clinton is to nominate Giuliani.

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Remains of the Data

Who Has Won the Most Votes in US Senate Electoral History?

Only three of the Top 10 and nine of the Top 50 vote-getters of all time are currently serving in the chamber.

Political Crumbs

Six for Thirteen

Collin Peterson remarked last month that he is leaning to run for reelection to Minnesota's 7th Congressional District in 2016. If he does and is victorious, he will creep even closer to the top of the list of the longest-serving U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history. The DFL congressman is only the sixth Minnesotan to win at least 13 terms to the U.S. House of the 135 elected to the chamber in state history. Peterson trails 18-term DFLer Jim Oberstar (1975-2011), 16-term Republicans Harold Knutson (1917-1949) and August Andresen (1925-1933; 1935-1958), and 14-term DFLers Martin Sabo (1979-2007) and John Blatnik (1947-1974). Andresen died in office, Sabo and Blatnik retired, and Knutson and Oberstar were defeated at the ballot box in 1948 and 2010 respectively. At 70 years, 7 months, 11 days through Monday, Peterson is currently the ninth oldest Gopher State U.S. Representative in history. DFLer Rick Nolan of the 8th CD is the seventh oldest at 71 years, 1 month, 23 days.


Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


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