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Clinton Rolls Over GOP in MN ; McCain Toughest Competitor

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The latest match-up polls between Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and each of the top six Republican presidential hopefuls shows the U.S. Senator from New York with huge double-digit leads over all candidates except John McCain.

The SurveyUSA poll of registered voters finds Clinton with big leads over national frontrunner Rudy Giuliani, southern frontrunner Fred Thompson, Iowa and New Hampshire frontrunner Mitt Romney, dark horse Mike Huckabee, and the most controversial candidate in the Republican field, Ron Paul:

Clinton 51%—Giuliani 40%
Clinton 57%—Thompson 37%
Clinton 57% - Romney 34%
Clinton 60% - Huckabee 30%
Clinton 61% - Paul 28%

Only Arizona Senator John McCain, who has experienced a resurgence in favorable media coverage since his September New Hampshire debate performance, is within shouting distance of the former First Lady in the Gopher State:
Clinton 50% - McCain 43%.

McCain, who is polling in third or fourth place in all national polls, fares the best against Clinton in match-up polls conducted by SurveyUSA in states across the country. In fact, Giuliani does not measure up more favorably than McCain in any of the ten states surveyed:

* In New Mexico, McCain leads Clinton by 7 points, with Giuliani up by just 1 point.
* In Kansas, McCain leads by 26 points, with Giuliani leading by 17 points.
* In Alabama, McCain is up 9 points over Clinton, with Giuliani up by 8 points.
* In Kentucky, McCain leads Clinton by 4 points, with Giuliani down by 2 points.
* In Washington, McCain is up by 1 point over Clinton, with Giuliani trailing by 7 points.
* In Ohio, McCain and Clinton are tied, with Giuliani trailing by 2 points.
* In Wisconsin, McCain is within 1 point of Clinton, with Giuliani 7 points behind.
* In Missouri, McCain trails by 3 points, with Giuliani 7 points back
* In Iowa, McCain and Giuliani both trail Clinton by 5 points.

This polling data contradicts the conventional wisdom that the Republican's safest bet to defeat Clinton is to nominate Giuliani.

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Remains of the Data

Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Political Crumbs

Evolving?

When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


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